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Motherwell v St. Mirren : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 28th Sep, 15:00 BST, Fir Park, Motherwell

It's a long trek for Stephen Robinson's St. Mirren side on Saturday afternoon, as they head to the Fir Park for a Premiership clash with Stuart Kettlewell's Motherwell. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Motherwell and St. Mirren have served up a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motherwell are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Motherwell
40%
13/1011/8
Draw
26%
11/512/5
St. Mirren
33%
15/82/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Motherwell 1-0
10%
7/16/1
St. Mirren 1-0
9%
8/17/1
Motherwell 2-1
9%
17/215/2
St. Mirren 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
7%
17/215/2
Motherwell 2-0
7%
10/19/1
St. Mirren 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Motherwell 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Motherwell 3-0
3%
22/116/1
St. Mirren 3-1
3%
22/118/1
Motherwell 3-2
2%
28/120/1
St. Mirren 3-0
2%
28/122/1
St. Mirren 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
47%
19/2019/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/17/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/19/2
Home/draw
67%
4/112/5
Away/draw
60%
8/154/7
Home/away
74%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/511/5
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/212/5
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/215/2
Home DNB
59%
4/64/6
Away DNB
52%
11/1011/10
Motherwell win to nil
22%
3/1-
St. Mirren win to nil
18%
4/1-
Motherwell / Motherwell
21%
3/127/10
Motherwell / St. Mirren
3%
28/122/1
Motherwell / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Motherwell
15%
9/29/2
Draw / St. Mirren
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
St. Mirren / Motherwell
3%
25/120/1
St. Mirren / St. Mirren
17%
15/418/5
St. Mirren / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premiership table
Motherwell
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
St. Mirren
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Feb 1
-
Oct 27
Dec 26
 Celtic51415 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 5
Mar 1
-
-
Mar 29
Jan 5
l
 
2-1A
 Aberdeen5715 
Nov 23
l
 
3-1A
-
Jan 25
-
Mar 1
Dec 29
l
 
2-1A
 Rangers5510 
Dec 26
Oct 27
-
Feb 22
-
Feb 22
Dec 14
Oct 30
 Dundee Utd528 
Oct 5
Nov 30
Jan 11
-
-
-
-
-
 Motherwell H517 
Dec 7
Sep 28
-
Mar 15
Feb 26
-
Oct 19
Dec 4
 Dundee506 
Dec 29
d
 
2-2F
-
Apr 5
Mar 15
-
Sep 28
Dec 7
 St. Mirren A5-25 
-
-
-
-
-
Jan 11
Nov 30
Oct 5
 Hibernian5-35 
w
 
3-0F
Nov 9
Feb 15
-
Feb 15
-
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 23
 Ross County5-55 
Nov 2
Dec 21
Apr 12
-
-
Jan 25
Nov 9
w
 
1-2F
 St. Johnstone5-33 
Oct 30
Dec 14
Feb 1
-
-
Apr 5
Dec 21
Nov 2
 Kilmarnock5-92 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 2
Mar 29
-
Apr 12
-
w
 
3-1F
Jan 2
 Hearts5-71 
Sep 21
Oct 19
-
Feb 26
Win / draw / win form
Motherwell 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Motherwell3 - 1Hearts
Motherwell0 - 0Ross County
Motherwell1 - 2St. Johnstone
Motherwell4 - 1Livingston
Motherwell1 - 1Hibernian
Motherwell1 - 1St. Mirren
Motherwell0 - 1Aberdeen
Motherwell1 - 3Celtic
Motherwell5 - 0Ross County
Motherwell1 - 1Kilmarnock
Motherwell3 - 1Livingston
Motherwell0 - 2Rangers
Motherwell1 - 1St. Johnstone
Motherwell3 - 3Dundee
Motherwell1 - 2Hearts
Motherwell2 - 4Aberdeen
Motherwell3 - 3Ross County
Motherwell1 - 2Celtic
Motherwell0 - 1St. Mirren
Motherwell2 - 1Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMotherwell1 - 2Aberdeen
AMotherwell2 - 1St. Johnstone
HMotherwell3 - 1Hearts
AMotherwell1 - 2Rangers
HMotherwell0 - 0Ross County
HMotherwell1 - 2St. Johnstone
AMotherwell0 - 3Hibernian
AMotherwell5 - 1Ross County
HMotherwell4 - 1Livingston
AMotherwell0 - 1Aberdeen
HMotherwell1 - 1Hibernian
AMotherwell3 - 2Dundee
HMotherwell1 - 1St. Mirren
HMotherwell0 - 1Aberdeen
AMotherwell2 - 1Rangers
AMotherwell3 - 1Livingston
HMotherwell1 - 3Celtic
AMotherwell0 - 2Hearts
AMotherwell3 - 3Aberdeen
HMotherwell5 - 0Ross County
St. Mirren 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundee2 - 2St. Mirren
Aberdeen3 - 1St. Mirren
Celtic3 - 2St. Mirren
Dundee1 - 3St. Mirren
Celtic3 - 0St. Mirren
Motherwell1 - 1St. Mirren
Kilmarnock5 - 2St. Mirren
Ross County1 - 1St. Mirren
Livingston1 - 0St. Mirren
Hibernian0 - 3St. Mirren
Aberdeen0 - 3St. Mirren
Hearts2 - 0St. Mirren
St. Johnstone1 - 0St. Mirren
Rangers2 - 0St. Mirren
Ross County1 - 0St. Mirren
Dundee4 - 0St. Mirren
Celtic2 - 1St. Mirren
Kilmarnock1 - 1St. Mirren
Motherwell0 - 1St. Mirren
Livingston1 - 1St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Kilmarnock
ASt. Mirren2 - 2Dundee
HSt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
ASt. Mirren1 - 3Aberdeen
HSt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
ASt. Mirren2 - 3Celtic
HSt. Mirren2 - 2Hearts
HSt. Mirren0 - 1Kilmarnock
ASt. Mirren3 - 1Dundee
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Rangers
ASt. Mirren0 - 3Celtic
HSt. Mirren1 - 2Hearts
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Motherwell
ASt. Mirren2 - 5Kilmarnock
HSt. Mirren2 - 1Aberdeen
ASt. Mirren1 - 1Ross County
HSt. Mirren2 - 0St. Johnstone
ASt. Mirren0 - 1Livingston
HSt. Mirren2 - 0Dundee
ASt. Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Motherwell since 2018
Motherwell
St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
14
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
MTW
4
D
3
MIR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1St. Mirren
Motherwell2 - 1
Motherwell4 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Motherwell1 - 0
0 - 1St. Mirren
1 - 2St. Mirren
Motherwell2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1St. Mirren
League games at St. Mirren since 2018
St. Mirren
Motherwell
Goals: Scored
4
10
Games: Scored
4 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
5 / 9
MTW
4
D
4
MIR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Mirren
Draw0 - 0Draw
St. Mirren1 - 0
0 - 1Motherwell
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Motherwell
1 - 2Motherwell
0 - 2Motherwell
Goal Statistics
Motherwell 5th St. Mirren 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Motherwell will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that St. Mirren will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Motherwell have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+1
St. Mirren’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281903/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Motherwell
PG (predicted goals)
St. Mirren
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
MTW
MIR
12%
better
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored7
8
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for16
23
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
16%
better
MTW
MIR
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded6
10
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
21%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%

Motherwell v St. Mirren Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5221
A OxboroughM EbiyeL MillerS O'Donnell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Oxborough GLK5
-
S O'Donnell DEF51
1
-
D Casey DEF511
-
L Gordon DEF5
-
P McGinn DEF51
1
-
A Halliday  MID51
1
-
L Miller MID52
-
D Zdravkovski MID5
1
-
Z Robinson FWD5
1
-
M Ebiye FWD42
-
T Sparrow MID31
-
T Watt FWD3
-
T Maswanhise FWD3
-
S Seddon DEF2
-
J Vale FWD2
1
-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD2
-
M. Kaleta DEF1
-
S Blaney DEF1
-
R Callachan MID1
-
J Tavares FWD1
-
St. Mirren Premiership squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5323
E BalcombeT OlusanyaJ BrownS Rooney
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Balcombe GLK5
-
S Rooney DEF5
3
-
J Brown DEF52
1
-
M Fraser  DEF51
-
A Gogic MID5
1
-
R Idowu MID51
1
-
M Mandron FWD51
1
-
T Olusanya FWD53
1
-
J Ayunga FWD5
-
A Iacovitti DEF4
1
-
R Taylor DEF4
1
-
C Boyd-Munce MID41
-
D Adeniran MID4
2
-
E Bwomono DEF3
1
-
S Tanser DEF3
1
-
O Smyth MID32
-
M O'Hara MID31
1
-
J Scott FWD32
-
K Phillips MID2
-
K Veen FWD1
-