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Ukraine v Belgium : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Mar, 19:45 BST, Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia

Sergiy Rebrov's Ukraine side are on home soil in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday evening, as Luis Garcia's Belgium visit the Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to UEFA Nations League match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Ukraine and Belgium will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Sergiy Rebrov or Luis Garcia has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.33 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Belgium coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ukraine
24%
-4.20
3%
Draw
23%
-3.60
4%
Belgium
53%
-1.85
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
-6.50
Belgium 2-1
10%
-8.00
7%
Belgium 1-0
10%
-6.00
Belgium 2-0
9%
-7.50
Ukraine 2-1
6%
-12.00
Ukraine 1-0
6%
-9.50
Belgium 3-1
6%
-13.00
Draw 2-2
5%
-13.00
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
-8.50
Belgium 3-0
5%
-12.00
Ukraine 2-0
3%
-17.00
Belgium 3-2
3%
-21.00
Belgium 4-1
3%
-23.00
Belgium 4-0
2%
-23.00
10%
Ukraine 3-1
2%
-26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
-2.00
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
-1.73
1%
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
54%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
56%
-1.95
BTTS - No
44%
-1.80
BTTS - Home Win
12%
-7.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
-4.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
-4.00
3%
Home/draw
47%
-1.95
3%
Away/draw
76%
-1.22
2%
Home/away
77%
-1.29
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
-1.33
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
-3.10
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
-3.50
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
-1.29
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
-7.00
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
-1.09
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-8.50
Home DNB
40%
-2.90
6%
Away DNB
70%
-1.35
2%
Ukraine win to nil
11%
--
Belgium win to nil
27%
--
Ukraine / Ukraine
12%
-6.50
Ukraine / Belgium
4%
-19.00
Ukraine / Draw
6%
-13.00
Draw / Ukraine
10%
-8.00
6%
Draw / Belgium
17%
-4.50
Draw / Draw
16%
-5.00
Belgium / Ukraine
3%
-29.00
Belgium / Belgium
27%
-2.88
7%
Belgium / Draw
6%
-13.00
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Belgium have lost 3 consecutive games
5
Belgium have not won in 5 consecutive games
Ukraine
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ukraine1 - 1Czech Rep
Ukraine1 - 0Georgia
Ukraine1 - 2Albania
Ukraine0 - 0Belgium
Ukraine2 - 1Iceland
Ukraine0 - 0Italy
Ukraine2 - 0Macedonia
Ukraine1 - 1England
Ukraine1 - 0Malta
Ukraine0 - 0Scotland
Ukraine1 - 1Ireland
Ukraine3 - 0Armenia
Ukraine1 - 1Bulgaria
Ukraine1 - 1Bosnia
Ukraine1 - 1France
Ukraine0 - 4England
Ukraine0 - 1Austria
Ukraine2 - 1Macedonia
Ukraine4 - 0Cyprus
Ukraine1 - 0N Ireland
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUkraine2 - 1Albania
AUkraine1 - 1Georgia
HUkraine1 - 1Czech Rep
HUkraine1 - 0Georgia
AUkraine2 - 3Czech Rep
HUkraine1 - 2Albania
HUkraine0 - 0Belgium
AUkraine2 - 1Slovakia
AUkraine0 - 3Romania
AUkraine4 - 0Moldova
AUkraine1 - 3Poland
AUkraine0 - 0Germany
HUkraine2 - 1Iceland
AUkraine2 - 1Bosnia
HUkraine0 - 0Italy
AUkraine3 - 1Malta
HUkraine2 - 0Macedonia
AUkraine1 - 2Italy
HUkraine1 - 1England
HUkraine1 - 0Malta
Belgium
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Israel1 - 0Belgium
Italy2 - 2Belgium
France2 - 0Belgium
France1 - 0Belgium
Ukraine0 - 0Belgium
England2 - 2Belgium
Ireland0 - 0Belgium
Austria2 - 3Belgium
Azerbaijan0 - 1Belgium
Estonia0 - 3Belgium
Germany2 - 3Belgium
Sweden0 - 3Belgium
Croatia0 - 0Belgium
Netherlands1 - 0Belgium
Poland0 - 1Belgium
Wales1 - 1Belgium
Ireland2 - 2Belgium
Wales1 - 1Belgium
Italy2 - 1Belgium
Belarus0 - 1Belgium
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABelgium0 - 1Israel
HBelgium0 - 1Italy
HBelgium1 - 2France
ABelgium2 - 2Italy
ABelgium0 - 2France
HBelgium3 - 1Israel
ABelgium0 - 1France
ABelgium0 - 0Ukraine
HBelgium2 - 0Romania
HBelgium0 - 1Slovakia
HBelgium3 - 0Luxembourg
HBelgium2 - 0Montenegro
ABelgium2 - 2England
ABelgium0 - 0Ireland
HBelgium5 - 0Azerbaijan
HBelgium1 - 0Serbia
HBelgium1 - 1Sweden
ABelgium3 - 2Austria
HBelgium5 - 0Estonia
ABelgium1 - 0Azerbaijan
Goal Statistics

Belgium's defensive record is to be admired, Luis Garcia's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Ukraine makes sense in this context.

Ukraine Belgium
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Ukraine will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Belgium will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Ukraine have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Belgium’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288842/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ukraine
PG (predicted goals)
Belgium
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
3%
better
UKR
BEL
view stats
Games scored16
13
Failed to score4
7
Scored first8
10
Goals scored27
31
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
UKR
BEL
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded21
16
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
11
Conversion rate against10%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Ukraine v Belgium will show here when available.

Ukraine UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7317712
M MatvienkoR YaremchukO ZinchenkoO Zinchenko
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Matvienko DEF752
6
-
O Zinchenko DEF69107
12
-
R Yaremchuk FWD59176
6
-
V Mykolenko DEF4613
8
1
I Zabarnyi  DEF461
4
-
M Shaparenko  MID4123
5
-
O Zubkov FWD3723
2
-
A Dovbyk FWD35114
3
-
M Mudryk FWD2942
3
-
H Sudakov MID2635
1
-
Y Konoplia DEF2123
7
-
A Trubin GLK19
-
G Bushchan GLK19
1
-
V. Brazhko MID9
-
V Vanat FWD91
1
-
M Taloverov DEF7
2
-
O Hutsuliak MID5
-
V Bondar DEF4
1
-
I Kalyuzhnyi MID4
1
-
D Kryskiv MID3
1
-
O Nazarenko MID3
-
D Riznyk GLK2
-
O Sych DEF1
-
Belgium UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8081136
R Lukaku R Lukaku R Lukaku R Lukaku 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Lukaku  FWD988113
6
-
T Castagne DEF5326
6
-
L Trossard FWD41105
1
-
L Openda FWD2631
2
-
W Faes DEF253
2
-
D Lukébakio FWD2423
2
-
A Theate DEF232
2
-
O Mangala MID232
4
-
K Casteels GLK201
-
A Onana MID201
5
-
J Bakayoko FWD1812
1
-
Z Debast DEF16
-
M Sels GLK8
-
M Cuyper DEF61
-
A Al-Dakhil DEF6
1
-
A Vermeeren MID6
-
A Engels MID4
-
A Lokonga MID2
-
K Sardella DEF1
-
M Smets DEF1
-
R Lavia MID1
-
N Bassette FWD1
-