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Turkey v Wales : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th Nov, 17:00 BST, Kadir Has Stadium, Kayseri

All of the key stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Turkey and Wales's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Turkey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Turkey
56%
7/10
6%
4/6
7%
Draw
24%
27/10
6%
11/4
1%
Wales
20%
15/4
6%
18/5
6%
Turkey 1-0
12%
11/25/1
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Turkey 2-0
11%
7/113/2
7%
Turkey 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
18%
15/2
6%
Wales 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Turkey 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Turkey 3-1
6%
14/111/1
8%
Wales 2-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
13%
Wales 2-0
3%
22/118/1
12%
Turkey 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Turkey 3-2
3%
28/120/1
9%
Turkey 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Wales 3-1
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/1
5%
19/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/5
6%
4/5
8%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/6
4%
10/11
5%
BTTS - No
51%
5/6
2%
4/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
11/4
13%
27/10
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/27/1
Home/draw
80%
2/112/11
3%
Away/draw
44%
11/10
8%
21/20
3%
Home/away
76%
2/71/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/10
2%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
12/5
5%
11/5
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/5
9%
23/10
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10
4%
3/10
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
13%
11/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/10
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
29%
8/1
13%
Home DNB
73%
2/7
1%
2/7
3%
Away DNB
37%
5/2
3%
23/10
6%
Turkey win to nil
33%
7/4-
Wales win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
Turkey / Turkey
30%
7/4
5%
13/8
5%
Turkey / Wales
2%
40/128/1
Turkey / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Turkey
18%
7/217/5
Draw / Wales
9%
17/2
6%
8/1
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
Wales / Turkey
4%
22/118/1
Wales / Wales
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
8%
Wales / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
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Win / draw / win form
3
Turkey have won 3 consecutive games
Turkey
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Turkey1 - 0Montenegro
Turkey3 - 1Iceland
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Turkey3 - 1Georgia
Turkey4 - 0Latvia
Turkey1 - 1Armenia
Turkey2 - 0Wales
Turkey0 - 2Croatia
Turkey3 - 3Luxembourg
Turkey2 - 0Lithuania
Turkey4 - 0Faroes
Turkey2 - 3Italy
Turkey6 - 0Gibraltar
Turkey1 - 1Norway
Turkey2 - 2Montenegro
Turkey0 - 2Wales
Turkey0 - 3Italy
Turkey2 - 0Moldova
Turkey0 - 0Guinea
Turkey2 - 1Azerbaijan
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATurkey4 - 2Iceland
HTurkey1 - 0Montenegro
HTurkey3 - 1Iceland
ATurkey0 - 0Wales
ATurkey1 - 2Netherlands
ATurkey2 - 1Austria
ATurkey2 - 1Czech Rep
HTurkey0 - 3Portugal
HTurkey3 - 1Georgia
ATurkey1 - 2Poland
ATurkey0 - 0Italy
ATurkey1 - 6Austria
ATurkey0 - 1Hungary
ATurkey1 - 1Wales
ATurkey3 - 2Germany
HTurkey4 - 0Latvia
ATurkey1 - 0Croatia
ATurkey2 - 4Japan
HTurkey1 - 1Armenia
HTurkey2 - 0Wales
Wales
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Iceland2 - 2Wales
Montenegro1 - 2Wales
Slovakia4 - 0Wales
Gibraltar0 - 0Wales
Armenia1 - 1Wales
Latvia0 - 2Wales
Turkey2 - 0Wales
Croatia1 - 1Wales
USA1 - 1Wales
Belgium2 - 1Wales
Netherlands3 - 2Wales
Poland2 - 1Wales
Estonia0 - 1Wales
Czech Rep2 - 2Wales
Belarus2 - 3Wales
Finland0 - 0Wales
Italy1 - 0Wales
Turkey0 - 2Wales
France3 - 0Wales
Belgium3 - 1Wales
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWales1 - 0Montenegro
AWales2 - 2Iceland
AWales2 - 1Montenegro
HWales0 - 0Turkey
AWales0 - 4Slovakia
AWales0 - 0Gibraltar
HWales0 - 0Poland
HWales4 - 1Finland
HWales1 - 1Turkey
AWales1 - 1Armenia
HWales2 - 1Croatia
HWales4 - 0Gibraltar
AWales2 - 0Latvia
HWales0 - 0South Korea
AWales0 - 2Turkey
HWales2 - 4Armenia
HWales1 - 0Latvia
AWales1 - 1Croatia
HWales0 - 3England
HWales0 - 2Iran
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Turkey have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Wales on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Turkey Wales
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Turkey will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Wales scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Turkey’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Wales’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275071/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Turkey
PG (predicted goals)
Wales
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
22%
better
TUR
WAL
view stats
Games scored16
12
Failed to score4
8
Scored first9
10
Goals scored32
23
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
TUR
WAL
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
12
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded28
23
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Turkey v Wales will show here when available.

Turkey UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
84201515
H Calhanoglu H Calhanoglu H Calhanoglu C Söyüncü
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Calhanoglu  MID932015
13
-
K Ayhan DEF6654
10
-
C Söyüncü DEF5621
15
-
Z Celik DEF5122
10
-
M Demiral DEF5144
8
-
O Yokuslu MID4611
7
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD37104
2
-
I Kahveci  FWD3742
7
-
O Kökcü MID3626
7
-
M Müldür  DEF3122
5
-
M Günok GLK30
1
-
U Cakir GLK291
2
-
B Yılmaz FWD2321
3
-
S Özcan MID221
4
-
I Yüksek MID1912
4
-
A Bardakci DEF1611
5
-
A Güler MID1633
3
-
K. Yildiz FWD1613
3
-
E Elmali  DEF121
-
S Akaydin DEF1111
3
-
A Bayındır GLK10
1
-
U Nayir FWD511
-
S Kilicsoy FWD3
-
E Topçu DEF1
-
C Uzun MID1
-
Wales UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
82161115
B DaviesA RamseyH WilsonK Moore
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Davies DEF8824
10
-
A Ramsey MID64169
9
1
C Roberts DEF5832
7
-
H Wilson FWD581111
9
1
E Ampadu MID541
13
1
J Rodon DEF48
3
-
C Mepham DEF471
12
-
K Moore FWD47132
14
1
N Williams DEF4244
6
1
D Ward GLK41
2
-
B Johnson FWD3143
4
-
J James MID14
7
-
R Matondo FWD121
1
-
S Thomas FWD12
1
-
B Cabango DEF11
-
R Colwill MID91
-
J Sheehan MID8
2
-
M Harris FWD7
-
A Davies GLK5
-
O Cooper MID5
-
L Cullen FWD5
-
L. Koumas FWD4
-
K Darlow GLK2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
Fri 15th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Serbia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Spain
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Croatia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45