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Scotland v Croatia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 15th Nov, 19:45 BST, Hampden Park, Glasgow

the Hampden Park faithful welcome Croatia's supporters on Friday evening, as Steve Clarke's Scotland face Zlatko Dalić's troops in the UEFA Nations League. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Scotland and Croatia's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Scotland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Scotland
30%
3.403.40
Draw
25%
3.403.40
Croatia
45%
2.15
2%
2.15
2%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Croatia 1-0
10%
8.007.00
7%
Croatia 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Scotland 1-0
8%
11.009.00
5%
Croatia 2-0
7%
11.009.50
Scotland 2-1
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 0-0
6%
11.008.50
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
Croatia 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Scotland 2-0
5%
17.0015.00
Croatia 3-0
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Scotland 3-1
3%
26.0019.00
10%
Croatia 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Scotland 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Scotland 3-0
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.95
3%
1.85
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.85
3%
1.85
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.38-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.67-
No 1st Goal
4%
10.00
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.731.75
1%
BTTS - No
44%
2.002.00
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.505.75
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.334.00
Home/draw
55%
1.67
2%
1.67
2%
Away/draw
70%
1.301.30
Home/away
75%
1.301.30
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29
3%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.50
7%
3.30
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.253.10
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.505.75
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.111.11
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.00
15%
11.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.03
1%
1.03
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.051.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.009.00
Home DNB
48%
2.382.38
1%
Away DNB
62%
1.531.53
2%
Scotland win to nil
15%
6.00-
Croatia win to nil
23%
3.75-
Scotland / Scotland
15%
5.505.25
Scotland / Croatia
4%
23.0019.00
Scotland / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Scotland
11%
7.00
7%
7.00
Draw / Croatia
15%
5.505.00
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
Croatia / Scotland
3%
29.0023.00
Croatia / Croatia
24%
3.503.30
Croatia / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
8
Scotland have not won in 8 consecutive games
Scotland
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Scotland0 - 0Portugal
Scotland2 - 3Poland
Scotland0 - 1Hungary
Scotland1 - 1Switzerland
Scotland2 - 2Finland
Scotland0 - 1N Ireland
Scotland3 - 3Norway
Scotland1 - 3England
Scotland2 - 0Georgia
Scotland2 - 0Spain
Scotland3 - 0Cyprus
Scotland2 - 1Ireland
Scotland3 - 0Ukraine
Scotland2 - 0Armenia
Scotland1 - 3Ukraine
Scotland1 - 1Poland
Scotland2 - 0Denmark
Scotland3 - 2Israel
Scotland1 - 0Moldova
Scotland0 - 2Czech Rep
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HScotland0 - 0Portugal
AScotland1 - 2Croatia
AScotland1 - 2Portugal
HScotland2 - 3Poland
HScotland0 - 1Hungary
HScotland1 - 1Switzerland
AScotland1 - 5Germany
HScotland2 - 2Finland
AScotland2 - 0Gibraltar
HScotland0 - 1N Ireland
AScotland0 - 4Netherlands
HScotland3 - 3Norway
AScotland2 - 2Georgia
AScotland1 - 4France
AScotland0 - 2Spain
HScotland1 - 3England
AScotland3 - 0Cyprus
HScotland2 - 0Georgia
AScotland2 - 1Norway
HScotland2 - 0Spain
Croatia
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland3 - 3Croatia
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Spain3 - 0Croatia
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Egypt2 - 4Croatia
Tunisia0 - 0Croatia
Latvia0 - 2Croatia
Wales2 - 1Croatia
Armenia0 - 1Croatia
Turkey0 - 2Croatia
Argentina3 - 0Croatia
Japan1 - 1Croatia
Morocco0 - 0Croatia
Austria1 - 3Croatia
France0 - 1Croatia
Denmark0 - 1Croatia
Malta1 - 7Croatia
Cyprus0 - 3Croatia
Slovakia0 - 1Croatia
Russia0 - 0Croatia
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACroatia3 - 3Poland
HCroatia2 - 1Scotland
HCroatia1 - 0Poland
ACroatia1 - 2Portugal
HCroatia1 - 1Italy
HCroatia2 - 2Albania
ACroatia0 - 3Spain
ACroatia2 - 1Portugal
HCroatia3 - 0Macedonia
ACroatia4 - 2Egypt
ACroatia0 - 0Tunisia
HCroatia1 - 0Armenia
ACroatia2 - 0Latvia
ACroatia1 - 2Wales
HCroatia0 - 1Turkey
ACroatia1 - 0Armenia
HCroatia5 - 0Latvia
ACroatia2 - 0Turkey
HCroatia1 - 1Wales
HCroatia2 - 1Morocco
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Croatia's defensive record is very strong, Z. Dalić's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Scotland makes sense in this context.

Croatia have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Scotland on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Scotland Croatia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Scotland will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Croatia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Scotland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Croatia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275062/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Scotland
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
SCO
CRO
14%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score5
3
Scored first9
11
Goals scored26
34
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
13
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for0.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
SCO
CRO
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
12
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded36
20
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Scotland v Croatia will show here when available.

Scotland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7318914
A RobertsonJ McGinnA RobertsonS McTominay
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Robertson DEF7439
10
-
J McGinn MID71189
12
-
S McTominay MID56112
14
-
R Christie MID5677
6
-
G Hanley DEF5223
7
-
K McLean MID4623
1
-
S McKenna DEF401
7
-
L Dykes FWD4095
8
-
C Adams FWD3562
2
-
B Gilmour MID342
3
-
J Forrest MID3353
1
-
A Ralston DEF1611
2
-
A Gunn GLK15
1
-
L Shankland FWD1531
-
G Taylor DEF142
2
-
R Porteous DEF121
2
1
J Souttar  DEF111
2
-
L Morgan  MID7
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
R Gauld MID4
-
T Conway FWD2
-
Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
113312518
L ModricI PerisicI PerisicI Perisic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID1252018
9
-
I Perisic FWD1203125
17
1
M Kovacic MID9945
16
-
A Kramaric FWD99298
1
-
M Pasalic MID68104
2
-
D Livakovic GLK60
3
1
B Petkovic FWD41113
5
-
J Gvardiol DEF372
3
-
L Majer MID3383
1
-
A Budimir FWD2734
6
-
D Caleta-Car DEF2611
8
-
B Sosa MID2522
-
M Pjaca FWD2511
2
-
J Sutalo DEF21
-
L Ivanusec FWD2012
2
-
L Sučić MID14
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF10
2
-
M Baturina MID711
1
-
K Jakic MID7
-
P Sučić MID411
1
-
I Matanovic FWD41
-
N Labrovic GLK2
-
D Kotarski GLK1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
Fri 15th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Serbia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Spain
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Croatia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45