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San Marino v Gibraltar : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 15th Nov, 19:45 BST, Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, Serravalle

Home advantage can be vital in the UEFA Nations League, and Fabrizio Costantini’s San Marino will have the joy of it on Friday evening. Julio César Ribas Vlahovic’s Gibraltar are their opponents at the Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle. Form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as San Marino and Gibraltar go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

A slim 0-1 away win for Gibraltar is out most likely final scoreline, with KickOff’s predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 14% chance of it coming in.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
San Marino
31%
3.25
5%
3.30
2%
Draw
31%
2.80
7%
2.90
3%
Gibraltar
38%
2.45
7%
2.40
Gibraltar 1-0
14%
5.505.25
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw 0-0
13%
5.505.25
5%
San Marino 1-0
12%
6.506.50
Gibraltar 2-0
8%
10.00
5%
9.00
Gibraltar 2-1
7%
12.00
9%
9.50
San Marino 2-1
6%
13.0012.00
9%
San Marino 2-0
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 2-2
3%
23.0017.00
Gibraltar 3-0
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
Gibraltar 3-1
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
San Marino 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
San Marino 3-0
2%
34.0029.00
12%
Gibraltar 3-2
1%
51.00
24%
34.00
San Marino 3-2
1%
51.0041.00
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3.00
9%
2.90
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
1.36
3%
1.36
3%
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.50-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.91
4%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
5.50-
BTTS - Yes
40%
2.502.40
1%
BTTS - No
60%
1.501.53
1%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.50
6%
8.00
7%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7.50
7%
6.50
8%
Home/draw
62%
1.53
3%
1.55
Away/draw
69%
1.33
2%
1.33
Home/away
69%
1.40
3%
1.40
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1.621.65
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
2.202.15
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
6.00
9%
6.00
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1.11
1%
1.11
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10.0013.00
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
17.0026.00
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1.001.00
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1.14
2%
1.13
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
5.00
9%
5.25
5%
Home DNB
52%
2.10
5%
2.20
2%
Away DNB
60%
1.67
3%
1.60
1%
San Marino win to nil
21%
4.33-
Gibraltar win to nil
26%
3.40
5%
-
San Marino / San Marino
15%
5.505.25
San Marino / Gibraltar
2%
41.0026.00
San Marino / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Draw / San Marino
12%
6.506.50
8%
Draw / Gibraltar
15%
5.50
10%
5.00
Draw / Draw
22%
3.753.70
1%
Gibraltar / San Marino
2%
41.0029.00
Gibraltar / Gibraltar
20%
4.003.90
Gibraltar / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
bet365
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Correct score form
20
San Marino have not scored more than 1 goal for 20 consecutive games
San Marino
20 league games
Home
Overall
20
10-0
2-0
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
3-0
3-1
4-0
4-0
4-1
7-1
-2
or more
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
x
1-0
+1
goal
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
3-1
3-1
4-0
4-0
4-0
4-0
4-1
6-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
x
1-0
+1
goal
+2
or more
Gibraltar
20 league games
Away
Overall
14-0
3-0
3-0
3-0
3-1
4-0
4-0
4-0
4-1
5-0
5-1
5-1
6-0
6-0
6-0
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
0-0
x
1-0
+1
goal
+2
or more
14-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
3-0
3-0
4-0
4-0
4-0
5-0
5-1
6-0
-2
or more
1-0
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
+1
goal
+2
or more
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for San Marino, with F. Costantini's men having not found the back of the net in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings.

Goals have been an issue for Gibraltar of late. It has been 11 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against San Marino.

San Marino Gibraltar
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of San Marino scoring 1 goal or less
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Gibraltar will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
San Marino’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Gibraltar’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.4
average goals scored
0.3
average goals scored
2.8
conceded
3.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275066/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/CS
San Marino
PG (predicted goals)
Gibraltar
0.9
1.1
Attack rating
SMR
GIB
15%
better
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score14
14
Scored first2
3
Goals scored6
7
Avg. goals scored0.3
0.4
Avg. shots per game4
4
Avg. shots per goal14
10
Conversion rate for7
10
Avg. XG for0.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
SMR
GIB
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded50
62
Avg. goals conceded2.5
3.1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
18
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
18%
Avg. XG against0.9
1
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between San Marino v Gibraltar will show here when available.

San Marino UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
403212
M VitaioliF BerardiM VitaioliM Vitaioli
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Vitaioli MID6612
12
-
M Battistini DEF491
10
-
A Golinucci MID481
7
-
E Golinucci MID43
4
-
M Mularoni MID42
10
-
N Nanni FWD391
4
-
A Grandoni  DEF351
2
-
D Rossi DEF34
6
-
F Berardi FWD313
3
-
A D'Addario DEF30
3
-
F Fabbri DEF271
5
-
M Cevoli DEF25
3
-
A Tosi DEF18
4
-
S Franciosi DEF101
3
-
E Colombo GLK8
-
A. Contadini MID7
2
-
N. Sensoli MID71
1
-
S Pancotti FWD7
1
-
G. Valentini DEF3
-
M. Pasolini DEF3
2
-
Gibraltar UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
685412
L WalkerL WalkerL WalkerL Casciaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Walker MID7054
6
1
L Casciaro FWD6033
12
-
J Mascarenhas-Olivero DEF58
6
1
J Chipolina DEF4821
10
1
L Annesley DEF461
11
-
T Barr FWD4532
11
-
E Britto DEF3913
4
-
D Coleing GLK32
2
1
G Torrilla MID2912
8
-
J Valarino MID241
1
-
B Lopes DEF23
1
-
N Pozo MID13
1
-
B Banda GLK11
-
E Haro MID9
2
-
E Santos DEF8
1
A Hmidi MID8
-
J. Scanlon FWD81
-
J. Bartolo FWD6
1
-
D Bent MID41
1
-
M Ruiz MID1
1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
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Israel v Belgium
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Italy v France
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Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45