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Portugal v Poland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 15th Nov, 19:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Poland, led by manager Michal Probierz, visit Roberto Martínez Montoliú and his Portugal side at the Estádio do Dragão on Friday evening in the UEFA Nations League. Analysing both teams' last 20 UEFA Nations League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Portugal to win

We think there's an outright winner in this game, and it's Portugal. Their latest form stats show their ability on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Poland too. The odds point towards Roberto Martínez Montoliú's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Friday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
77%
1.25
6%
1.22
8%
Draw
15%
6.00
20%
6.50
24%
Poland
8%
13.00
44%
11.00
29%
Portugal 2-0
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
8%
Portugal 3-0
11%
7.50
12%
7.00
13%
Portugal 1-0
10%
8.007.00
Portugal 2-1
9%
9.50
12%
8.00
7%
Portugal 3-1
7%
11.009.50
Draw 1-1
7%
11.00
16%
10.00
11%
Portugal 4-0
7%
11.00
27%
10.00
17%
Portugal 4-1
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Draw 0-0
4%
15.0015.00
15%
Portugal 5-0
3%
21.00
19%
17.00
11%
Draw 2-2
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Poland 1-0
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Portugal 3-2
3%
29.00
26%
21.00
11%
Poland 2-1
2%
29.00
26%
23.00
21%
Portugal 5-1
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.53
4%
1.53
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.40
4%
2.38
6%
Home 1st Goal
63%
1.18
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
5.00
15%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.10
10%
2.10
8%
BTTS - No
54%
1.67
7%
1.67
7%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
3.00
4%
2.88
BTTS - Draw
11%
7.50
15%
7.50
15%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
21.00
40%
15.00
15%
Home/draw
92%
1.04
3%
1.05
2%
Away/draw
23%
3.75
15%
3.90
22%
Home/away
85%
1.12
4%
1.11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17
1%
1.17
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00
11%
4.60
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.25
10%
2.30
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.57
5%
1.55
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.00
8%
3.90
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.22
2%
1.22
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.00
11%
7.00
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.08
1%
1.08
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00
13%
15.00
15%
Home DNB
87%
1.06
4%
1.06
3%
Away DNB
19%
10.00
43%
8.00
23%
Portugal win to nil
46%
1.91
13%
-
Poland win to nil
4%
19.00
27%
-
Portugal / Portugal
46%
1.73
11%
1.75
8%
Portugal / Poland
2%
51.0046.00
12%
Portugal / Draw
4%
21.00
24%
19.00
12%
Draw / Portugal
21%
3.75
6%
3.80
3%
Draw / Poland
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
13%
Draw / Draw
9%
8.50
13%
8.50
21%
Poland / Portugal
4%
19.0017.00
Poland / Poland
4%
21.00
40%
15.00
25%
Poland / Draw
4%
23.00
21%
19.00
12%
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Win / draw / win form
6
Portugal have not lost in 6 consecutive games
Portugal
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal0 - 0France
Portugal0 - 0Slovenia
Portugal2 - 1Czech Rep
Portugal3 - 0Ireland
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Portugal4 - 2Finland
Portugal5 - 2Sweden
Portugal2 - 0Iceland
Portugal3 - 2Slovakia
Portugal9 - 0Luxembourg
Portugal3 - 0Bosnia
Portugal4 - 0Liechtenstein
Portugal6 - 1Switzerland
Portugal2 - 0Uruguay
Portugal3 - 2Ghana
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Portugal2 - 0Czech Rep
Portugal4 - 0Switzerland
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortugal0 - 0Scotland
APortugal3 - 1Poland
HPortugal2 - 1Scotland
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
HPortugal0 - 0France
HPortugal0 - 0Slovenia
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
HPortugal3 - 2Slovakia
HPortugal9 - 0Luxembourg
APortugal1 - 0Slovakia
Poland
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Croatia1 - 0Poland
Scotland2 - 3Poland
France1 - 1Poland
Wales0 - 0Poland
Faroes 0 - 2Poland
Albania2 - 0Poland
Moldova3 - 2Poland
Czech Rep3 - 1Poland
France3 - 1Poland
Mexico0 - 0Poland
Wales0 - 1Poland
Netherlands2 - 2Poland
Belgium6 - 1Poland
Scotland1 - 1Poland
Andorra1 - 4Poland
Albania0 - 1Poland
San Marino1 - 7Poland
Sweden3 - 2Poland
Spain1 - 1Poland
England2 - 1Poland
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPoland3 - 3Croatia
HPoland1 - 3Portugal
APoland0 - 1Croatia
APoland3 - 2Scotland
APoland1 - 1France
HPoland1 - 3Austria
HPoland1 - 2Netherlands
HPoland2 - 1Turkey
HPoland3 - 1Ukraine
APoland0 - 0Wales
HPoland5 - 1Estonia
HPoland2 - 0Latvia
HPoland1 - 1Czech Rep
HPoland1 - 1Moldova
APoland2 - 0Faroes
APoland0 - 2Albania
HPoland2 - 0Faroes
APoland2 - 3Moldova
HPoland1 - 0Germany
HPoland1 - 0Albania
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Portugal since 2007
Portugal
Poland
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Poland since 2006
Poland
Portugal
Goals: Scored
5
8
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
POR
2
D
1
POL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Poland
1 - 3Portugal
2 - 3Portugal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Poland2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Portugal Poland
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 72% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Poland scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Portugal have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Poland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275061/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Poland
2.5
0.7
Attack rating
3%
better
POR
POL
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score5
3
Scored first12
13
Goals scored47
32
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for2
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
24%
better
POR
POL
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded16
25
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+24%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Portugal v Poland will show here when available.

Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
127972721
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD1359719
21
-
B Silva MID971327
5
-
B Fernandes MID752422
8
-
R Dias DEF643
7
-
R Neves MID515
5
-
D Jota  FWD461410
5
-
J Félix FWD4384
4
-
N Semedo DEF384
4
-
R Leão FWD3547
3
-
J Palhinha MID3321
7
-
D Costa GLK31
-
N Mendes  DEF313
3
-
D Dalot DEF2534
2
-
Vitinha MID241
1
-
A Silva DEF161
-
P Neto FWD1312
2
-
G Inácio DEF1222
-
J Neves MID11
-
F Trincão FWD8
-
P Gonçalves FWD3
-
J Sá GLK2
-
R Silva GLK1
-
R Veiga DEF1
-
Poland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
102682215
R Lewandowski R Lewandowski R Lewandowski J Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Lewandowski  FWD1076822
6
-
P Zielinski MID931313
3
-
J Bednarek DEF641
15
-
B Bereszynski DEF552
8
-
P Frankowski MID4736
4
-
S Szymanski MID4054
2
-
K Swiderski FWD37112
3
-
K Piatek FWD3212
4
-
J Moder MID3021
3
-
J Kiwior DEF291
1
-
N Zalewski MID2535
3
-
A Buksa  FWD177
1
-
P Dawidowicz DEF16
2
-
J Kaminski FWD1611
1
-
T Puchacz DEF143
4
-
B Slisz MID13
4
-
L Skorupski GLK12
2
-
J Piotrowski  MID1021
2
-
K Urbański MID93
-
S Walukiewicz DEF71
1
-
M Wieteska DEF4
1
-
K Piatkowski DEF41
-
M Bulka  GLK3
-
B Dragowski GLK2
-
M Bogusz MID1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
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San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
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Switzerland v Serbia
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Denmark v Spain
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Scotland v Croatia
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Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
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Luxembourg v Bulgaria
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Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45