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Netherlands v Spain : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Mar, 19:45 BST, De Kuip, Rotterdam

Ronald Koeman's Netherlands side enjoy home advantage in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday evening, as Luis De la Fuente Castillo's Spain travel to the De Kuip. For every UEFA Nations League match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Netherlands or Spain are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Spain coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Netherlands
36%
-9/5
Draw
24%
-12/5
3%
Spain
40%
-6/4
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
-5/1
Spain 2-1
9%
-15/2
Netherlands 2-1
8%
-17/2
Spain 1-0
8%
-13/2
Netherlands 1-0
7%
-7/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-11/1
Spain 2-0
6%
-9/1
Netherlands 2-0
5%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
-15/2
Spain 3-1
4%
-14/1
Netherlands 3-1
4%
-16/1
Spain 3-2
3%
-20/1
Spain 3-0
3%
-18/1
Netherlands 3-2
3%
-22/1
Netherlands 3-0
3%
-20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
-19/20
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
-3/4
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
60%
-4/5
BTTS - No
40%
-19/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
-17/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
-10/3
BTTS - Away Win
21%
-19/5
4%
Home/draw
60%
-8/15
Away/draw
64%
-4/9
3%
Home/away
76%
-3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
-1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
-21/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
-12/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
-2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
-11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
-1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-15/2
Home DNB
53%
-19/20
Away DNB
57%
-3/4
Netherlands win to nil
17%
--
Spain win to nil
19%
--
Netherlands / Netherlands
17%
-17/5
Netherlands / Spain
4%
-20/1
Netherlands / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Netherlands
13%
-5/1
Draw / Spain
14%
-9/2
Draw / Draw
17%
-18/5
Spain / Netherlands
3%
-22/1
Spain / Spain
20%
-29/10
Spain / Draw
6%
-11/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Spain have won 5 consecutive games
16
Spain have not lost in 16 consecutive games
Netherlands
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands4 - 0Hungary
Netherlands2 - 2Germany
Netherlands5 - 2Bosnia
Netherlands1 - 2England
Netherlands2 - 1Turkey
Netherlands2 - 3Austria
Netherlands0 - 0France
Netherlands4 - 0Iceland
Netherlands4 - 0Canada
Netherlands4 - 0Scotland
Netherlands1 - 0Ireland
Netherlands1 - 2France
Netherlands3 - 0Greece
Netherlands3 - 0Gibraltar
Netherlands2 - 2Argentina
Netherlands3 - 1USA
Netherlands2 - 0Qatar
Netherlands1 - 1Ecuador
Netherlands1 - 0Belgium
Netherlands3 - 2Wales
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANetherlands1 - 1Bosnia
HNetherlands4 - 0Hungary
ANetherlands0 - 1Germany
ANetherlands1 - 1Hungary
HNetherlands2 - 2Germany
HNetherlands5 - 2Bosnia
HNetherlands1 - 2England
HNetherlands2 - 1Turkey
ANetherlands3 - 0Romania
HNetherlands2 - 3Austria
HNetherlands0 - 0France
ANetherlands2 - 1Poland
HNetherlands4 - 0Iceland
HNetherlands4 - 0Canada
ANetherlands1 - 2Germany
HNetherlands4 - 0Scotland
ANetherlands6 - 0Gibraltar
HNetherlands1 - 0Ireland
ANetherlands1 - 0Greece
HNetherlands1 - 2France
Spain
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Denmark1 - 2Spain
Switzerland1 - 4Spain
Serbia0 - 0Spain
Albania0 - 1Spain
Cyprus1 - 3Spain
Norway0 - 1Spain
Georgia1 - 7Spain
Scotland2 - 0Spain
Morocco0 - 0Spain
Japan2 - 1Spain
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Switzerland0 - 1Spain
Czech Rep2 - 2Spain
Greece0 - 1Spain
Italy1 - 2Spain
Kosovo0 - 2Spain
Sweden2 - 1Spain
Italy1 - 1Spain
Switzerland1 - 1Spain
Croatia3 - 5Spain
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSpain3 - 2Switzerland
ASpain2 - 1Denmark
HSpain3 - 0Serbia
HSpain1 - 0Denmark
ASpain4 - 1Switzerland
ASpain0 - 0Serbia
HSpain2 - 1England
HSpain2 - 1France
HSpain1 - 1Germany
HSpain4 - 1Georgia
ASpain1 - 0Albania
HSpain1 - 0Italy
HSpain3 - 0Croatia
HSpain5 - 1N Ireland
HSpain5 - 0Andorra
HSpain3 - 3Brazil
HSpain0 - 1Colombia
HSpain3 - 1Georgia
ASpain3 - 1Cyprus
ASpain1 - 0Norway
Goal Statistics

Spain have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Netherlands on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Netherlands Spain
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Netherlands will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Netherlands have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Spain have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288844/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Netherlands
PG (predicted goals)
Spain
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
NED
ESP
1%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
2
Scored first13
15
Goals scored45
47
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
NED
ESP
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded18
15
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against12%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Netherlands v Spain will show here when available.

Netherlands UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
62141410
S VrijW WeghorstD DumfriesD Dumfries
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Vrij DEF6943
4
-
D Dumfries DEF63914
10
-
M Ligt DEF4823
4
2
W Weghorst FWD42142
5
-
D Malen FWD4197
2
-
C Gakpo FWD36146
2
-
T Koopmeiners MID2332
3
-
T Reijnders MID2032
1
-
B Verbruggen GLK18
-
J Timber DEF181
2
-
R Gravenberch MID1811
1
-
M Wieffer MID1211
2
-
N Lang FWD1222
1
-
J Frimpong MID1011
-
M Flekken GLK8
-
B Brobbey FWD711
-
J Zirkzee FWD611
-
J Hato DEF51
-
Q Timber MID5
-
J Kluivert MID3
-
J Hecke DEF2
-
D Rensch DEF21
-
Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6337108
Álvaro MorataÁlvaro MorataD OlmoÁlvaro Morata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Morata FWD83377
8
-
D Olmo MID411110
3
-
A Laporte DEF402
6
-
F Ruiz MID35610
4
-
M Merino MID3123
2
-
Pedri MID3022
-
N Williams FWD2448
-
Y Pino MID1432
3
-
M Cucurella  DEF131
-
D Raya GLK11
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF101
-
D Vivian DEF8
1
-
P Porro DEF61
1
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF51
-
B Gil FWD511
-
A Pérez FWD422
1
-
R Sánchez GLK3
-
Álex Remiro GLK2
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF2
-
M Torras MID2
-
B Zaragoza FWD21
1
-
A Paredes DEF1
-
P Barrios MID1
-