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Italy v France : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th Nov, 19:45 BST, ,

Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a well-informed wager is shown below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Italy or France are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of France coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Italy
35%
-188
3%
Draw
25%
-240
3%
France
40%
-140
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
-500
France 2-1
9%
-750
6%
France 1-0
9%
-600
Italy 2-1
8%
-850
Italy 1-0
8%
-650
France 2-0
6%
-850
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
-1200
Draw 0-0
6%
-700
7%
Italy 2-0
5%
-1100
France 3-1
4%
-1600
Italy 3-1
4%
-1800
France 3-0
3%
-1600
11%
France 3-2
3%
-2200
Italy 3-2
3%
-2500
Italy 3-0
2%
-2000
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
-110
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--149
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--110
3%
BTTS - No
42%
--120
1%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
-475
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-360
2%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
-400
Home/draw
60%
--182
1%
Away/draw
65%
--250
Home/away
75%
--333
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--278
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
-190
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
-270
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--400
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
-650
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--1429
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-1400
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--10000
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--1667
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-700
Home DNB
52%
-105
5%
Away DNB
58%
--143
3%
Italy win to nil
17%
--
France win to nil
20%
--
Italy / Italy
17%
-360
2%
Italy / France
3%
-2200
12%
Italy / Draw
6%
-1200
Draw / Italy
12%
-550
Draw / France
14%
-450
4%
Draw / Draw
17%
-380
4%
France / Italy
3%
-2500
France / France
21%
-280
3%
France / Draw
6%
-1200
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Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
Italy have not lost in 5 consecutive games
Italy
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy4 - 1Israel
Italy2 - 2Belgium
Italy2 - 1Albania
Italy1 - 0Bosnia
Italy0 - 0Turkey
Italy2 - 1Venezuela
Italy5 - 2Macedonia
Italy4 - 0Malta
Italy2 - 1Ukraine
Italy1 - 2England
Italy1 - 0England
Italy2 - 1Hungary
Italy1 - 1Germany
Italy0 - 1Macedonia
Italy1 - 1Switzerland
Italy2 - 1Belgium
Italy1 - 2Spain
Italy5 - 0Lithuania
Italy1 - 1Bulgaria
Italy1 - 1England
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AItaly1 - 0Belgium
HItaly4 - 1Israel
HItaly2 - 2Belgium
AItaly2 - 1Israel
AItaly3 - 1France
AItaly0 - 2Switzerland
AItaly1 - 1Croatia
AItaly0 - 1Spain
HItaly2 - 1Albania
HItaly1 - 0Bosnia
HItaly0 - 0Turkey
AItaly2 - 0Ecuador
HItaly2 - 1Venezuela
AItaly0 - 0Ukraine
HItaly5 - 2Macedonia
AItaly1 - 3England
HItaly4 - 0Malta
HItaly2 - 1Ukraine
AItaly1 - 1Macedonia
AItaly2 - 0Malta
France
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium1 - 2France
Israel1 - 4France
Spain2 - 1France
Portugal0 - 0France
Netherlands0 - 0France
Austria0 - 1France
Greece2 - 2France
Netherlands1 - 2France
Germany2 - 1France
Gibraltar0 - 3France
Ireland0 - 1France
Argentina2 - 2France
England1 - 2France
Tunisia1 - 0France
Denmark2 - 0France
Austria1 - 1France
Croatia1 - 1France
Finland0 - 2France
Spain1 - 2France
Belgium2 - 3France
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFrance0 - 0Israel
AFrance2 - 1Belgium
AFrance4 - 1Israel
HFrance2 - 0Belgium
HFrance1 - 3Italy
AFrance1 - 2Spain
AFrance0 - 0Portugal
HFrance1 - 0Belgium
HFrance1 - 1Poland
AFrance0 - 0Netherlands
AFrance1 - 0Austria
HFrance0 - 0Canada
HFrance3 - 0Luxembourg
HFrance3 - 2Chile
HFrance0 - 2Germany
AFrance2 - 2Greece
HFrance14 - 0Gibraltar
HFrance4 - 1Scotland
AFrance2 - 1Netherlands
AFrance1 - 2Germany
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Italy since 2006
Italy
France
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Italy
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at France since 2000
France
Italy
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
ITA
2
D
1
FRA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT France
1 - 3Italy
0 - 2Italy
France3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

France have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Italy on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Italy France
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Italy will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that France will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
France have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275083/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Italy
PG (predicted goals)
France
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
0%
better
ITA
FRA
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first13
12
Goals scored35
42
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
ITA
FRA
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded18
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+8%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy v France will show here when available.

Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
68857
G DonnarummaD FrattesiG RaspadoriG Lorenzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK70
4
-
G Lorenzo DEF4354
7
-
L Pellegrini MID3762
4
1
G Raspadori FWD3575
-
A Bastoni DEF322
2
-
F Dimarco DEF2735
2
-
D Frattesi MID2481
-
S Tonali MID2014
5
-
M Kean FWD1852
2
-
M Retegui FWD1761
1
-
A Cambiaso DEF1212
2
-
A Buongiorno DEF8
1
-
R Calafiori DEF81
2
-
D Udogie DEF83
1
-
M Zaccagni FWD711
-
N Fagioli MID6
1
-
S Ricci MID6
-
F Gatti DEF5
2
-
R Bellanova MID4
-
A Meret GLK3
-
G Vicario GLK3
-
M Brescianini MID2
-
France UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
116483010
A GriezmannK MbappéA GriezmannA Griezmann
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Griezmann FWD1364330
10
-
K Mbappé FWD864830
8
-
N Kanté  MID6422
8
-
O Dembélé FWD5264
5
-
J Koundé DEF39
2
1
A Tchouameni MID3831
5
-
T Hernández DEF36210
3
-
D Upamecano DEF282
2
-
M Thuram FWD2823
1
-
M Maignan  GLK27
1
-
R Muani FWD2682
-
W Saliba DEF25
2
-
Y Fofana MID2431
1
-
I Konaté DEF20
2
-
J Clauss  DEF1423
-
F Mendy DEF10
-
B Barcola FWD1021
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID61
-
A Areola GLK5
-
M Olise FWD4
-
B Samba GLK3
-
M Koné MID3
2
-
W Fofana DEF1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
Fri 15th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Serbia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Spain
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Croatia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45