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Finland v Greece : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 17th Nov, 17:00 BST, ,

We've got odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's fairly unlikely that this match will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Finland and Greece haven't typically treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in the UEFA Nations League individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Greece coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Finland
32%
-21/10
3%
Draw
27%
-21/10
3%
Greece
41%
-29/20
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
-5/1
Greece 1-0
11%
-5/1
8%
Finland 1-0
10%
-11/2
13%
Greece 2-1
9%
-8/1
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
-5/1
14%
Greece 2-0
7%
-17/2
Finland 2-1
7%
-9/1
Finland 2-0
6%
-11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
-14/1
15%
Greece 3-1
4%
-18/1
12%
Greece 3-0
3%
-18/1
12%
Finland 3-1
3%
-22/1
10%
Greece 3-2
2%
-28/1
26%
Finland 3-0
2%
-22/1
12%
Finland 3-2
2%
-33/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
-6/4
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
-10/21
9%
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
-23/20
10%
BTTS - No
50%
-13/20
8%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
-6/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-18/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
-19/4
15%
Home/draw
59%
-8/15
3%
Away/draw
68%
-4/11
1%
Home/away
73%
-4/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
-1/2
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
-29/20
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
-19/5
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
-2/13
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
-9/1
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
-1/25
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
-20/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
-1/1000
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
-1/10
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
-5/1
14%
Home DNB
51%
-21/20
5%
Away DNB
60%
-4/6
3%
Finland win to nil
18%
--
Greece win to nil
23%
--
Finland / Finland
15%
-4/1
Finland / Greece
3%
-22/1
Finland / Draw
6%
-12/1
Draw / Finland
13%
-5/1
8%
Draw / Greece
15%
-17/4
Draw / Draw
19%
-3/1
5%
Greece / Finland
3%
-25/1
Greece / Greece
20%
-29/10
5%
Greece / Draw
6%
-12/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
5
Finland have lost 5 consecutive games
7
Finland have not won in 7 consecutive games
Finland
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
Greece
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Finland since 2014
Finland
Greece
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
FIN
2
D
1
League games at Greece since 2015
Greece
Finland
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
FIN
1
GRE
3
Goal Statistics

Greece's defensive record is to be admired, Ivan Jovanovic's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Finland makes sense in this context.

Finland Greece
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Finland will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Greece will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Finland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Greece’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275079/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Finland
PG (predicted goals)
Greece
1.1
1.3
Attack rating
FIN
GRE
8%
better
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score6
6
Scored first9
13
Goals scored27
36
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
FIN
GRE
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
9
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded33
15
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against18%
10%
Avg. XG against1.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+43%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Finland v Greece will show here when available.

Finland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8836148
T PukkiT PukkiT PukkiR Schüller 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Pukki FWD1023614
6
-
L Hradecky GLK85
2
-
J Pohjanpalo FWD71155
6
-
R Lod MID70611
5
-
R Schüller  MID693
8
-
J Uronen DEF6313
5
1
G Kamara MID6222
7
-
R Ivanov DEF341
5
-
F Jensen MID3382
1
-
L Väisänen DEF271
2
-
B Källman FWD2573
3
-
I Niskanen MID2111
1
-
K Kairinen MID18
1
-
J Joronen GLK17
-
O Antman FWD1762
1
-
A Hoskonen DEF161
-
M Peltola DEF141
1
-
U Nissilä MID141
1
-
D HÃ¥kans FWD94
1
-
L Walta MID61
-
T Galvez DEF51
1
-
T Ollila DEF4
1
-
M Tenho DEF4
1
-
T Keskinen FWD4
-
V Sinisalo GLK3
-
A Stahl DEF3
-
Greece UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
59161211
A BakasetasA BakasetasA BakasetasP Mantalos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bakasetas MID721612
9
-
P Mantalos MID6679
11
-
O Vlachodimos GLK47
2
-
A Bouchalakis MID471
6
-
G Masouras FWD46104
5
-
V Pavlidis FWD4381
5
-
D Pelkas MID4147
7
-
K Tsimikas DEF383
5
-
P Chatzidiakos DEF35
5
1
M Siopis MID351
9
-
K Mavropanos DEF322
3
1
D Giannoulis DEF303
3
1
L Rota DEF201
2
-
C Tzolis FWD1932
2
-
A Douvikas FWD1813
-
A Chatzigiovanis FWD15
-
P Retsos DEF14
3
-
F Ioannidis FWD145
1
-
K Koulierakis DEF101
4
-
G Konstantelias MID91
3
-
S Alexandropoulos MID91
-
K Galanopoulos MID81
-
C Zafeiris MID5
2
-
G Vagiannidis DEF3
-
A Ndoj DEF2
-
K Tzolakis GLK1
-
C Mandas GLK1
-
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Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
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Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
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Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
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Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45