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Denmark v Spain : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 15th Nov, 19:45 BST, Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

We’ve UEFA Nations League action to look forward to on Friday evening, as Morten Wieghorst and his Denmark side host Luis De la Fuente Castillo’s Spain at the Parken Stadium. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Denmark and Spain a maximum of 3 goals combined during this UEFA Nations League match according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

A slim 0-1 away win for Spain is out most likely final scoreline, with KickOff’s predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 13% chance of it coming in.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Denmark
23%
4.504.33
4%
Draw
25%
3.25
7%
3.30
6%
Spain
51%
1.91
6%
1.83
2%
Spain 1-0
13%
6.506.00
Draw 1-1
12%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
Spain 2-0
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
7%
Spain 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Draw 0-0
8%
8.00
11%
7.50
6%
Denmark 1-0
8%
11.00
8%
9.50
5%
Denmark 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Spain 3-0
5%
15.0013.00
8%
Spain 3-1
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Denmark 2-0
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Spain 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Spain 4-0
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Spain 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Denmark 3-1
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.10
2%
2.05
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.70
3%
1.70
2%
Home 1st Goal
42%
2.75
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.57
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.50
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.91
4%
1.85
3%
BTTS - No
51%
1.80
2%
1.75
3%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.008.00
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.50
5%
4.50
6%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4.33
8%
4.00
3%
Home/draw
49%
1.83
6%
1.85
5%
Away/draw
77%
1.181.20
Home/away
75%
1.33
3%
1.33
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.331.35
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.252.90
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.75
7%
3.50
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.25
3%
1.25
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.007.00
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.081.08
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
19.00
12%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.021.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.071.07
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.007.50
6%
Home DNB
41%
3.25
4%
3.00
6%
Away DNB
69%
1.33
2%
1.35
4%
Denmark win to nil
13%
7.00
13%
-
Spain win to nil
30%
3.00
9%
-
Denmark / Denmark
12%
7.00
7%
7.00
Denmark / Spain
4%
23.0019.00
Denmark / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Denmark
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
6%
Draw / Spain
17%
4.75
6%
4.50
2%
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.40
8%
Spain / Denmark
2%
41.0029.00
Spain / Spain
26%
3.10
8%
3.00
7%
Spain / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
bet365
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Correct score form
13
Spain have not conceded more than 1 goal for 13 consecutive games
Denmark
20 league games
Home
Overall
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
0-0
1-1
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-1
3-1
3-1
3-1
4-0
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-1
3-1
4-0
+2
or more
Spain
20 league games
Away
Overall
13
2-0
-2
or more
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
1-1
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
3-1
4-1
5-0
5-3
7-1
+2
or more
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
3-3
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
3-0
3-1
3-1
4-1
4-1
5-0
5-1
6-0
+2
or more
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Spain's defensive record is to be admired, L. De la Fuente Castillo's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Denmark makes sense in this context.

Spain have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Denmark on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Denmark Spain
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Denmark scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Denmark’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Spain have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275063/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/CS
Denmark
PG (predicted goals)
Spain
1
1.6
Attack rating
DEN
ESP
28%
better
view stats
Games scored15
18
Failed to score5
2
Scored first12
15
Goals scored29
50
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.5
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for1
1.9
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
DEN
ESP
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets8
10
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded15
12
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against12%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Denmark v Spain will show here when available.

Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10635208
K SchmeichelC EriksenC EriksenP Höjbjerg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Eriksen MID1093520
3
-
K Schmeichel GLK106
6
-
Y Poulsen FWD851410
7
-
P Höjbjerg MID831110
8
-
K Dolberg FWD52112
1
-
J Vestergaard DEF4631
3
-
J Andersen DEF383
7
-
A Olsen FWD3588
-
J Wind FWD3487
3
-
C Nörgaard MID3011
6
-
M Damsgaard FWD2949
1
-
R Kristensen DEF24
3
-
A Bah DEF1911
1
-
V Kristiansen DEF153
2
-
V Nelsson DEF15
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1311
5
-
A Grönbaek MID41
1
-
G Isaksen FWD41
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD31
-
M Frendrup MID1
-
Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
62371012
Álvaro MorataÁlvaro MorataF RuizD Carvajal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álvaro Morata FWD81377
7
-
Rodri MID5742
11
-
D Carvajal DEF5117
12
-
F Torres FWD47215
3
-
U Simón GLK46
2
-
D Olmo MID40119
3
-
M Oyarzabal FWD40125
2
-
A Laporte DEF392
6
-
F Ruiz MID33610
4
-
M Merino MID3023
2
-
Pedri MID2822
-
N Williams FWD2247
-
R Normand DEF191
6
1
Joselu FWD1764
-
L Yamal FWD1738
2
-
M Zubimendi MID141
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF121
-
D Raya GLK10
1
-
A Grimaldo DEF91
-
D Vivian DEF7
1
-
Álex Baena FWD72
-
A Pérez FWD311
1
-
F. Lopez Marin MID21
-
Álex Remiro GLK1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
Fri 15th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Serbia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Spain
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Croatia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45