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Denmark v Portugal : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Mar, 19:45 BST, Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Jakup a Borg welcomes Roberto Martínez Montoliú to the Parken Stadium on Thursday evening, as their Denmark and Portugal troops meet in the UEFA Nations League. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Denmark and Portugal will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookmakers have it at 1.35.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Portugal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Denmark
31%
-9/4
Draw
25%
-23/10
Portugal
44%
-6/5
Draw 1-1
12%
-5/1
Portugal 2-1
9%
-15/2
Portugal 1-0
9%
-11/2
Denmark 2-1
7%
-9/1
Denmark 1-0
7%
-15/2
Portugal 2-0
7%
-17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-12/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-7/1
Portugal 3-1
5%
-14/1
Denmark 2-0
5%
-12/1
Portugal 3-0
4%
-16/1
Denmark 3-1
3%
-20/1
Portugal 3-2
3%
-20/1
Denmark 3-2
3%
-25/1
Denmark 3-0
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
-21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
-7/10
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
51%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
-17/20
BTTS - No
43%
-17/20
BTTS - Home Win
16%
-5/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
-17/5
BTTS - Away Win
22%
-17/5
Home/draw
56%
-13/20
Away/draw
69%
-1/3
Home/away
75%
-1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
-7/20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
-2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
-5/2
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
-1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
-6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
-1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-7/1
Home DNB
48%
-5/4
Away DNB
62%
-4/7
Denmark win to nil
15%
--
Portugal win to nil
22%
--
Denmark / Denmark
15%
-4/1
Denmark / Portugal
4%
-20/1
Denmark / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Denmark
12%
-11/2
Draw / Portugal
15%
-4/1
Draw / Draw
17%
-7/2
Portugal / Denmark
3%
-25/1
Portugal / Portugal
22%
-5/2
Portugal / Draw
6%
-11/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
8
Portugal have not lost in 8 consecutive games
Denmark
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Denmark1 - 2Spain
Denmark2 - 0Serbia
Denmark2 - 0Switzerland
Denmark0 - 0Serbia
Denmark1 - 1England
Denmark3 - 1Norway
Denmark2 - 1Sweden
Denmark2 - 0Faroes
Denmark0 - 0Switzerland
Denmark2 - 1Slovenia
Denmark3 - 1Kazakhstan
Denmark4 - 0San Marino
Denmark1 - 0N Ireland
Denmark3 - 1Finland
Denmark0 - 0Tunisia
Denmark2 - 0France
Denmark2 - 0Austria
Denmark0 - 1Croatia
Denmark3 - 0Serbia
Denmark3 - 1Faroes
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 2Spain
ADenmark2 - 2Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 1Spain
HDenmark2 - 0Serbia
HDenmark2 - 0Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 2Germany
HDenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 1England
ADenmark1 - 1Slovenia
HDenmark3 - 1Norway
HDenmark2 - 1Sweden
HDenmark2 - 0Faroes
HDenmark0 - 0Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 2N Ireland
HDenmark2 - 1Slovenia
ADenmark2 - 1San Marino
HDenmark3 - 1Kazakhstan
ADenmark1 - 0Finland
HDenmark4 - 0San Marino
Portugal
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Croatia1 - 1Portugal
Scotland0 - 0Portugal
Poland1 - 3Portugal
Georgia2 - 0Portugal
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Slovenia2 - 0Portugal
Liechtenstein0 - 2Portugal
Bosnia0 - 5Portugal
Slovakia0 - 1Portugal
Iceland0 - 1Portugal
Luxembourg0 - 6Portugal
Morocco1 - 0Portugal
South Korea2 - 1Portugal
Czech Rep0 - 4Portugal
Switzerland1 - 0Portugal
Spain1 - 1Portugal
Ireland0 - 0Portugal
Azerbaijan0 - 3Portugal
Qatar1 - 3Portugal
Belgium1 - 0Portugal
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortugal1 - 1Croatia
HPortugal5 - 1Poland
APortugal0 - 0Scotland
APortugal3 - 1Poland
HPortugal2 - 1Scotland
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
HPortugal0 - 0France
HPortugal0 - 0Slovenia
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
HPortugal3 - 2Slovakia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Denmark since 1996
Denmark
Portugal
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
DEN
1
D
1
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Denmark
0 - 1Portugal
2 - 3Portugal
Denmark2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Portugal since 2010
Portugal
Denmark
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Portugal1 - 0
Portugal3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Portugal's defensive record is to be admired, R. Martínez Montoliú's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Denmark makes sense in this context.

Denmark Portugal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Denmark will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Portugal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Denmark have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-33
Portugal have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288849/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Denmark
PG (predicted goals)
Portugal
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
DEN
POR
17%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score6
5
Scored first11
12
Goals scored28
43
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.2
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for0.9
2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
3%
better
DEN
POR
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded16
18
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+3%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Denmark v Portugal will show here when available.

Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10837219
K SchmeichelC EriksenC EriksenP Höjbjerg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Eriksen MID1113721
3
-
K Schmeichel GLK108
6
-
Y Poulsen FWD861410
7
-
P Höjbjerg MID841110
9
-
K Dolberg FWD54112
2
-
J Vestergaard DEF4831
3
-
J Andersen DEF393
8
-
A Olsen FWD3788
-
J Wind FWD3487
3
-
C Nörgaard MID3211
7
-
M Damsgaard MID3149
1
-
R Höjlund FWD2271
3
-
A Bah DEF2011
1
-
V Kristiansen DEF173
2
-
V Nelsson DEF16
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1511
5
-
A Grönbaek MID61
1
-
G Isaksen FWD62
1
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF41
-
M O'Riley MID2
-
M Roerslev DEF1
-
M Frendrup MID1
-
Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1331042723
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD14110420
23
-
B Silva MID981327
6
-
B Fernandes MID762522
9
-
J Cancelo DEF60105
10
-
J Félix FWD4594
4
-
N Semedo DEF384
4
-
R Leão FWD3757
3
-
N Mendes  DEF334
3
-
D Costa GLK32
-
D Dalot DEF2734
2
-
Vitinha MID264
1
-
O Otávio MID2232
1
-
A Silva DEF171
-
P Neto FWD1422
2
-
J Neves MID13
1
-
F Trincão FWD9
-
F Conceição FWD812
2
-
J Sá GLK3
-
R Veiga DEF3
1
-
S Costa MID2
-
R Silva GLK1
-
T Djaló DEF1
-
N Tavares DEF1
1
-
T Araújo DEF1
-
F Silva FWD1
1
-