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Croatia v Portugal : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 18th Nov, 19:45 BST, ,

It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our extensive database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Best Tip: Portugal to win

Going to and winning is incredibly difficult, especially in the UEFA Nations League, but we're predicting Portugal manager Roberto Martínez Montoliú is capable of inspiring his side to do exactly that. Statistics, head-to-head (H2H) records and odds from the bookies all suggest an away win is highly likely, and we make it the best bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 62% chance of Portugal coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Croatia
22%
-21/10
204%
Draw
16%
-23/10
224%
Portugal
62%
-13/10
125%
Portugal 3-1
6%
-14/1
Portugal 2-1
6%
-15/2
Portugal 3-2
6%
-20/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-11/1
Portugal 4-1
5%
-1/50
Portugal 4-2
5%
-1/50
Draw 1-1
4%
-5/1
Draw 3-3
4%
-33/1
Croatia 2-1
4%
-1/50
Croatia 3-2
4%
-22/1
Portugal 3-0
3%
-16/1
Portugal 2-0
3%
-9/1
Portugal 5-1
3%
-55/1
Portugal 4-3
3%
-1/50
Portugal 5-2
3%
-66/1
Over 2.5 Goals
87%
-10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
13%
-5/6
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
53%
--
No 1st Goal
0%
--
BTTS - Yes
81%
-3/4
72%
BTTS - No
19%
-1/1
96%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
-9/2
439%
BTTS - Draw
15%
-16/5
312%
BTTS - Away Win
48%
-10/3
325%
Home/draw
38%
-3/5
57%
Away/draw
78%
-7/20
32%
Home/away
84%
-1/3
30%
Over 1.5 Goals
96%
-3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
4%
-23/10
Over 3.5 Goals
73%
-11/5
Under 3.5 Goals
27%
-3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
55%
-5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
44%
-1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
38%
-11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
62%
-1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
99%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
1%
-15/2
Home DNB
33%
-6/5
116%
Away DNB
74%
-8/13
59%
Croatia win to nil
4%
--
Portugal win to nil
15%
--
Croatia / Croatia
16%
-19/5
371%
Croatia / Portugal
4%
-20/1
1959%
Croatia / Draw
6%
-11/1
1076%
Draw / Croatia
12%
-11/2
537%
Draw / Portugal
15%
-17/4
415%
Draw / Draw
17%
-18/5
351%
Portugal / Croatia
3%
-22/1
2155%
Portugal / Portugal
21%
-13/5
253%
Portugal / Draw
6%
-11/1
1076%
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Win / draw / win form
Croatia
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Croatia2 - 1Scotland
Croatia1 - 0Poland
Croatia1 - 1Italy
Croatia2 - 2Albania
Croatia3 - 0Macedonia
Croatia1 - 0Armenia
Croatia0 - 1Turkey
Croatia5 - 0Latvia
Croatia1 - 1Wales
Croatia2 - 1Morocco
Croatia0 - 0Brazil
Croatia0 - 0Belgium
Croatia4 - 1Canada
Croatia2 - 1Denmark
Croatia1 - 1France
Croatia0 - 3Austria
Croatia2 - 1Bulgaria
Croatia1 - 1Slovenia
Croatia1 - 0Russia
Croatia2 - 2Slovakia
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACroatia3 - 3Poland
HCroatia2 - 1Scotland
HCroatia1 - 0Poland
ACroatia1 - 2Portugal
HCroatia1 - 1Italy
HCroatia2 - 2Albania
ACroatia0 - 3Spain
ACroatia2 - 1Portugal
HCroatia3 - 0Macedonia
ACroatia4 - 2Egypt
ACroatia0 - 0Tunisia
HCroatia1 - 0Armenia
ACroatia2 - 0Latvia
ACroatia1 - 2Wales
HCroatia0 - 1Turkey
ACroatia1 - 0Armenia
HCroatia5 - 0Latvia
ACroatia2 - 0Turkey
HCroatia1 - 1Wales
HCroatia2 - 1Morocco
Portugal
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Scotland0 - 0Portugal
Poland1 - 3Portugal
Georgia2 - 0Portugal
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Slovenia2 - 0Portugal
Liechtenstein0 - 2Portugal
Bosnia0 - 5Portugal
Slovakia0 - 1Portugal
Iceland0 - 1Portugal
Luxembourg0 - 6Portugal
Morocco1 - 0Portugal
South Korea2 - 1Portugal
Czech Rep0 - 4Portugal
Switzerland1 - 0Portugal
Spain1 - 1Portugal
Ireland0 - 0Portugal
Azerbaijan0 - 3Portugal
Qatar1 - 3Portugal
Belgium1 - 0Portugal
Hungary0 - 3Portugal
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortugal0 - 0Scotland
APortugal3 - 1Poland
HPortugal2 - 1Scotland
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
HPortugal0 - 0France
HPortugal0 - 0Slovenia
APortugal0 - 2Georgia
APortugal3 - 0Turkey
HPortugal2 - 1Czech Rep
HPortugal3 - 0Ireland
HPortugal1 - 2Croatia
HPortugal4 - 2Finland
APortugal0 - 2Slovenia
HPortugal5 - 2Sweden
HPortugal2 - 0Iceland
APortugal2 - 0Liechtenstein
APortugal5 - 0Bosnia
HPortugal3 - 2Slovakia
HPortugal9 - 0Luxembourg
APortugal1 - 0Slovakia
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Croatia since 1996
Croatia
Portugal
Goals: Scored
2
7
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
D
1
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Croatia
2 - 3Portugal
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Portugal
League games at Portugal since 2020
Portugal
Croatia
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Portugal2 - 1
Portugal4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Croatia have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Portugal on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Croatia Portugal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
3.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Croatia will score 1 or more goals
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
25%
There is a 25% probability that Portugal will score 5 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Croatia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Portugal have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275087/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Croatia
PG (predicted goals)
Portugal
1.9
3.1
Attack rating
CRO
POR
4%
better
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first11
12
Goals scored34
47
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game13
14
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.9
2
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
CRO
POR
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets8
10
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded20
16
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.9
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Croatia v Portugal will show here when available.

Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
113312518
L ModricI PerisicI PerisicI Perisic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID1252018
9
-
I Perisic FWD1203125
17
1
M Kovacic MID9945
16
-
A Kramaric FWD99298
1
-
M Pasalic MID68104
2
-
D Livakovic GLK60
3
1
B Petkovic FWD41113
5
-
J Gvardiol DEF372
3
-
L Majer MID3383
1
-
A Budimir FWD2734
6
-
D Caleta-Car DEF2611
8
-
B Sosa MID2522
-
M Pjaca FWD2511
2
-
J Sutalo DEF21
-
L Ivanusec FWD2012
2
-
L Sučić MID14
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF10
2
-
M Baturina MID711
1
-
K Jakic MID7
-
P Sučić MID411
1
-
I Matanovic FWD41
-
N Labrovic GLK2
-
D Kotarski GLK1
-
Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
127972721
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD1359719
21
-
B Silva MID971327
5
-
B Fernandes MID752422
8
-
R Dias DEF643
7
-
R Neves MID515
5
-
D Jota  FWD461410
5
-
J Félix FWD4384
4
-
N Semedo DEF384
4
-
R Leão FWD3547
3
-
J Palhinha MID3321
7
-
D Costa GLK31
-
N Mendes  DEF313
3
-
D Dalot DEF2534
2
-
Vitinha MID241
1
-
A Silva DEF161
-
P Neto FWD1312
2
-
G Inácio DEF1222
-
J Neves MID11
-
F Trincão FWD8
-
P Gonçalves FWD3
-
J Sá GLK2
-
R Silva GLK1
-
R Veiga DEF1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
Fri 15th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Serbia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Spain
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Croatia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45