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Croatia v France : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Mar, 19:45 BST, Stadion Poljud, Split

Zlatko Dalić welcomes Didier Deschamps to the Stadion Poljud on Thursday evening, as their Croatia and France charges do battle in the UEFA Nations League. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of Croatia and France serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this UEFA Nations League tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of France coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Croatia
28%
-12/5
3%
Draw
24%
-12/5
France
48%
-11/10
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
-5/1
France 2-1
9%
-7/1
France 1-0
9%
-6/1
France 2-0
7%
-8/1
Croatia 2-1
7%
-9/1
Croatia 1-0
6%
-8/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-11/1
France 3-1
5%
-12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
-15/2
France 3-0
4%
-14/1
Croatia 2-0
4%
-14/1
15%
France 3-2
3%
-20/1
Croatia 3-1
3%
-20/1
Croatia 3-2
3%
-25/1
France 4-1
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
-19/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
-4/5
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
52%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
-4/5
BTTS - No
41%
-10/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
-5/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-17/5
BTTS - Away Win
25%
-3/1
5%
Home/draw
52%
-8/11
4%
Away/draw
72%
-3/10
2%
Home/away
76%
-3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
-3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
-11/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
-23/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
-3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
-5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
-1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-15/2
Home DNB
45%
-29/20
7%
Away DNB
64%
-1/2
2%
Croatia win to nil
13%
--
France win to nil
23%
--
Croatia / Croatia
15%
-17/4
Croatia / France
4%
-18/1
Croatia / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Croatia
11%
-6/1
Draw / France
15%
-4/1
Draw / Draw
16%
-19/5
France / Croatia
3%
-25/1
13%
France / France
24%
-9/4
2%
France / Draw
6%
-11/1
Win / draw / win form
5
France have not lost in 5 consecutive games
Croatia
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
France
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Croatia since 2004
Croatia
France
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
FRA
1
League games at France since 2020
France
Croatia
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
CRO
1
FRA
1
Goal Statistics

France's defensive record is to be admired, D. Deschamps's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Croatia makes sense in this context.

Croatia France
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Croatia will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that France will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Croatia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
France’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288847/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Croatia
PG (predicted goals)
France
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
CRO
FRA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first9
13
Goals scored32
44
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
CRO
FRA
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first10
3
Goals conceded20
17
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Croatia v France will show here when available.

Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
115332518
L ModricI PerisicI PerisicI Perisic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID1272019
9
-
I Perisic FWD1263325
17
1
A Kramaric MID101298
2
-
M Kovacic MID10145
16
-
M Pasalic MID71104
3
-
D Livakovic GLK61
3
1
N Vlasic MID5783
2
-
J Gvardiol DEF393
3
-
D Caleta-Car DEF2811
9
-
M Pjaca FWD2711
2
-
M Orsic FWD2727
-
A Budimir FWD2734
6
-
B Sosa MID2622
-
J Sutalo DEF23
-
L Sučić MID16
1
-
M Pongracic  DEF10
2
-
K Jakic MID91
-
M Baturina MID911
1
-
I Ivusic GLK6
2
-
P Sučić MID511
2
-
I Matanovic FWD51
-
M Pašalić FWD51
-
D Kotarski GLK2
-
N Labrovic GLK2
-
N Moro MID2
-
France UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
578109
N Kanté K ComanT HernándezB Pavard
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Kanté  MID6422
8
-
K Coman FWD5885
2
-
B Pavard DEF5553
9
-
L Digne DEF507
6
-
A Rabiot MID5064
8
-
J Koundé DEF40
2
1
T Hernández DEF36210
3
-
M Thuram FWD2923
1
-
M Maignan  GLK28
1
-
D Upamecano DEF282
2
-
R Muani FWD2782
1
-
W Saliba DEF26
2
-
E Camavinga MID2421
4
-
I Konaté DEF21
2
-
J Clauss  DEF1423
-
C Nkunku  FWD1412
-
M Guendouzi MID1222
2
-
B Barcola FWD1121
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID61
-
M Koné MID4
2
-
M Olise MID4
-
B Samba GLK3
-
W Fofana DEF1
-
MSG
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