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Belgium v Ukraine : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Mar, 19:45 BST, Den Dreef Stadium, Heverlee

It's an away match for Sergiy Rebrov's Ukraine side on Sunday evening, as they head to the Den Dreef Stadium for a UEFA Nations League tie with Luis Garcia's Belgium. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 UEFA Nations League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Belgium
46%
--
Draw
23%
--
Ukraine
31%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Belgium 2-1
9%
--
Belgium 1-0
8%
--
Ukraine 2-1
7%
--
Belgium 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Ukraine 1-0
6%
--
Belgium 3-1
5%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Ukraine 2-0
4%
--
Belgium 3-0
4%
--
Belgium 3-2
4%
--
Ukraine 3-1
3%
--
Ukraine 3-2
3%
--
Belgium 4-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
62%
--
BTTS - No
38%
--
BTTS - Home Win
25%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
69%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
62%
--
Away DNB
47%
--
Belgium win to nil
20%
--
Ukraine win to nil
13%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Belgium
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium0 - 1Italy
Belgium1 - 2France
Belgium3 - 1Israel
Belgium2 - 0Romania
Belgium0 - 1Slovakia
Belgium3 - 0Luxembourg
Belgium2 - 0Montenegro
Belgium5 - 0Azerbaijan
Belgium1 - 0Serbia
Belgium1 - 1Sweden
Belgium5 - 0Estonia
Belgium1 - 1Austria
Belgium0 - 2Morocco
Belgium1 - 0Canada
Belgium2 - 1Wales
Belgium6 - 1Poland
Belgium1 - 4Netherlands
Belgium3 - 0Burkina Faso
Belgium3 - 1Estonia
Belgium2 - 3France
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABelgium0 - 1Israel
HBelgium0 - 1Italy
HBelgium1 - 2France
ABelgium2 - 2Italy
ABelgium0 - 2France
HBelgium3 - 1Israel
ABelgium0 - 1France
ABelgium0 - 0Ukraine
HBelgium2 - 0Romania
HBelgium0 - 1Slovakia
HBelgium3 - 0Luxembourg
HBelgium2 - 0Montenegro
ABelgium2 - 2England
ABelgium0 - 0Ireland
HBelgium5 - 0Azerbaijan
HBelgium1 - 0Serbia
HBelgium1 - 1Sweden
ABelgium3 - 2Austria
HBelgium5 - 0Estonia
ABelgium1 - 0Azerbaijan
Ukraine
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Albania1 - 2Ukraine
Georgia1 - 1Ukraine
Czech Rep3 - 2Ukraine
Slovakia1 - 2Ukraine
Romania3 - 0Ukraine
Moldova0 - 4Ukraine
Poland3 - 1Ukraine
Germany0 - 0Ukraine
Bosnia1 - 2Ukraine
Malta1 - 3Ukraine
Italy2 - 1Ukraine
Macedonia2 - 3Ukraine
Germany3 - 3Ukraine
England2 - 0Ukraine
Armenia0 - 5Ukraine
Scotland3 - 0Ukraine
Ireland0 - 1Ukraine
Wales1 - 0Ukraine
Scotland1 - 3Ukraine
Bosnia0 - 2Ukraine
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AUkraine2 - 1Albania
AUkraine1 - 1Georgia
HUkraine1 - 1Czech Rep
HUkraine1 - 0Georgia
AUkraine2 - 3Czech Rep
HUkraine1 - 2Albania
HUkraine0 - 0Belgium
AUkraine2 - 1Slovakia
AUkraine0 - 3Romania
AUkraine4 - 0Moldova
AUkraine1 - 3Poland
AUkraine0 - 0Germany
HUkraine2 - 1Iceland
AUkraine2 - 1Bosnia
HUkraine0 - 0Italy
AUkraine3 - 1Malta
HUkraine2 - 0Macedonia
AUkraine1 - 2Italy
HUkraine1 - 1England
HUkraine1 - 0Malta
Goal Statistics

Belgium's defensive record is very strong, Luis Garcia's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Ukraine makes sense in this context.

Belgium Ukraine
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Belgium will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Ukraine will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Belgium have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+37
Ukraine have scored 37% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288862/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Belgium
PG (predicted goals)
Ukraine
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
BEL
UKR
3%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score7
4
Scored first10
8
Goals scored31
27
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
14%
better
BEL
UKR
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded16
21
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
10
Conversion rate against9%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Belgium v Ukraine will show here when available.

Belgium UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8081136
R Lukaku R Lukaku R Lukaku R Lukaku 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Lukaku  FWD988113
6
-
T Castagne DEF5326
6
-
L Trossard FWD41105
1
-
L Openda FWD2631
2
-
W Faes DEF253
2
-
D Lukébakio FWD2423
2
-
A Theate DEF232
2
-
O Mangala MID232
4
-
K Casteels GLK201
-
A Onana MID201
5
-
J Bakayoko FWD1812
1
-
Z Debast DEF16
-
M Sels GLK8
-
A Al-Dakhil DEF6
1
-
M Cuyper DEF61
-
A Vermeeren MID6
-
A Engels MID4
-
A Lokonga MID2
-
M Smets DEF1
-
K Sardella DEF1
-
R Lavia MID1
-
N Bassette FWD1
-
Ukraine UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7317712
M MatvienkoR YaremchukO ZinchenkoO Zinchenko
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Matvienko DEF752
6
-
O Zinchenko DEF69107
12
-
R Yaremchuk FWD59176
6
-
V Mykolenko DEF4613
8
1
I Zabarnyi  DEF461
4
-
M Shaparenko  MID4123
5
-
O Zubkov FWD3723
2
-
A Dovbyk FWD35114
3
-
M Mudryk FWD2942
3
-
H Sudakov MID2635
1
-
Y Konoplia DEF2123
7
-
A Trubin GLK19
-
G Bushchan GLK19
1
-
V. Brazhko MID9
-
V Vanat FWD91
1
-
M Taloverov DEF7
2
-
O Hutsuliak MID5
-
V Bondar DEF4
1
-
I Kalyuzhnyi MID4
1
-
D Kryskiv MID3
1
-
O Nazarenko MID3
-
D Riznyk GLK2
-
O Sych DEF1
-