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Azerbaijan v Estonia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th Nov, 14:00 BST, Şəhər stadionu, Qəbələ

For each and every UEFA Nations League fixture, KickOff delves into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Azerbaijan to win

As training goes on this week and the Azerbaijan players prepare themselves for this match, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Estonia in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Azerbaijan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Azerbaijan
60%
4/7
9%
3/5
9%
Draw
23%
3/1
14%
29/10
8%
Estonia
17%
17/4
5%
5/1
30%
Azerbaijan 1-0
13%
5/19/2
4%
Azerbaijan 2-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
Azerbaijan 2-1
10%
8/113/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
12%
7/1
Azerbaijan 3-0
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
17%
Estonia 1-0
6%
11/110/1
16%
Azerbaijan 3-1
6%
14/111/1
8%
Estonia 2-1
4%
16/114/1
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Azerbaijan 4-0
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
19%
Azerbaijan 4-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Estonia 2-0
2%
25/1
13%
22/1
21%
Azerbaijan 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Estonia 3-1
1%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
6%
8/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
12/5
10%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10
5%
11/10
5%
BTTS - No
54%
4/6
3%
4/6
3%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
8%
11/4
6%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
20%
17/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/110/1
29%
Home/draw
83%
1/72/15
4%
Away/draw
40%
5/4
13%
13/10
15%
Home/away
77%
2/9
5%
1/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/31/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
9/421/10
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/2
7%
5/2
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
19/212/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
15/215/2
6%
Home DNB
76%
2/9
5%
1/5
7%
Away DNB
33%
3/1
14%
16/5
27%
Azerbaijan win to nil
37%
11/8
9%
-
Estonia win to nil
9%
8/1
13%
-
Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan
34%
7/5
13%
7/5
13%
Azerbaijan / Estonia
2%
40/133/1
17%
Azerbaijan / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw / Azerbaijan
19%
10/33/1
8%
Draw / Estonia
8%
10/1
16%
9/1
11%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Estonia / Azerbaijan
4%
25/118/1
Estonia / Estonia
9%
8/1
20%
8/1
29%
Estonia / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
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Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
4
Azerbaijan have lost 4 consecutive games
Azerbaijan
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Azerbaijan1 - 3Slovakia
Azerbaijan1 - 3Sweden
Azerbaijan3 - 2Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
Azerbaijan1 - 0Mongolia
Azerbaijan3 - 0Sweden
Azerbaijan0 - 1Austria
Azerbaijan2 - 1Jordan
Azerbaijan0 - 1Belgium
Azerbaijan1 - 1Estonia
Azerbaijan3 - 0Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan2 - 0Belarus
Azerbaijan0 - 1Slovakia
Azerbaijan0 - 1Latvia
Azerbaijan2 - 2Qatar
Azerbaijan1 - 3Luxembourg
Azerbaijan0 - 3Ireland
Azerbaijan0 - 3Portugal
Azerbaijan1 - 2Serbia
Azerbaijan0 - 0Montenegro
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAzerbaijan1 - 3Slovakia
AAzerbaijan1 - 3Estonia
AAzerbaijan0 - 2Slovakia
HAzerbaijan1 - 3Sweden
HAzerbaijan3 - 2Kazakhstan
AAzerbaijan1 - 3Albania
HAzerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
HAzerbaijan1 - 0Mongolia
AAzerbaijan0 - 5Belgium
HAzerbaijan3 - 0Sweden
HAzerbaijan0 - 1Austria
AAzerbaijan2 - 0Estonia
HAzerbaijan2 - 1Jordan
HAzerbaijan0 - 1Belgium
HAzerbaijan1 - 1Estonia
AAzerbaijan0 - 5Sweden
AAzerbaijan1 - 4Austria
HAzerbaijan3 - 0Kazakhstan
AAzerbaijan2 - 1Slovakia
HAzerbaijan2 - 0Belarus
Estonia
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sweden3 - 0Estonia
Switzerland4 - 0Estonia
Finland2 - 1Estonia
Poland5 - 1Estonia
Sweden2 - 1Estonia
Sweden2 - 0Estonia
Belgium5 - 0Estonia
Azerbaijan1 - 1Estonia
Austria2 - 1Estonia
Hungary1 - 0Estonia
Finland0 - 1Estonia
Iceland1 - 1Estonia
San Marino0 - 4Estonia
Albania0 - 0Estonia
Malta1 - 2Estonia
Argentina5 - 0Estonia
Cyprus2 - 0Estonia
Czech Rep2 - 0Estonia
Belgium3 - 1Estonia
Wales0 - 0Estonia
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstonia0 - 3Sweden
HEstonia3 - 1Azerbaijan
AEstonia0 - 3Sweden
HEstonia0 - 1Slovakia
AEstonia0 - 4Switzerland
AEstonia1 - 2Finland
AEstonia1 - 5Poland
AEstonia1 - 2Sweden
AEstonia0 - 2Sweden
HEstonia0 - 2Austria
HEstonia1 - 1Thailand
HEstonia0 - 2Azerbaijan
AEstonia0 - 5Belgium
HEstonia0 - 5Sweden
HEstonia0 - 3Belgium
AEstonia1 - 1Azerbaijan
AEstonia1 - 2Austria
AEstonia0 - 1Hungary
AEstonia1 - 0Finland
AEstonia1 - 1Iceland
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Azerbaijan's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Estonia have conceded in each of their last 18 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.8 for Fernando Santos's side suggests that run should continue.

Azerbaijan Estonia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Azerbaijan will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Estonia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Azerbaijan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Estonia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275067/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Azerbaijan
PG (predicted goals)
Estonia
1.8
0.8
Attack rating
35%
better
AZE
EST
view stats
Games scored15
9
Failed to score5
11
Scored first7
7
Goals scored25
11
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for2.1
0.7
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
22%
better
AZE
EST
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded36
46
Avg. goals conceded1.8
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded12
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against2.2
2.9
KickOff rating
+22%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan v Estonia will show here when available.

Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5414512
B HüseynovE MahmudovE MahmudovA Kryvotsyuk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sheydayev FWD67104
5
-
B Hüseynov DEF601
5
1
E Mahmudov MID52145
6
-
M Emreli FWD4862
7
1
A Kryvotsyuk DEF391
12
-
B Mustafazada DEF311
2
1
S Mahammadaliyev  GLK291
6
-
J Diniyev MID27
3
-
A Isayev MID2512
2
-
E Cafarquliyev DEF2411
4
-
R Mammadov DEF20
2
-
E Camalov MID19
1
-
Q Aliyev  DEF131
1
1
M Qurbanly FWD133
-
A Seydiyev DEF11
4
-
E Bədəlov DEF8
-
V İsgändärli FWD5
-
E Mustafaev MID4
2
-
E Safarov MID4
-
J. Nuriyev MID31
-
R Cəfərov GLK1
-
T Bayramov DEF1
-
Estonia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
73282821
K MetsM PoomM PoomK Mets
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mets DEF752
21
-
A Pikk DEF531
6
-
M Käit MID4953
7
-
J Tamm DEF4742
8
-
R Sappinen FWD45122
3
-
V Sinyavskiy FWD3612
2
-
K Hein GLK34
1
-
M Miller MID3111
12
1
M Kuusk DEF30
6
-
M Paskotsi DEF30
6
-
M Poom MID262828
2
-
R Peetson DEF181
3
-
M Ainsalu MID172
-
M Lilander DEF1682
8
1
R Shein MID1411
2
-
M Igonen GLK11
-
M Vetkal MID1111
1
-
A Tamm FWD1021
2
-
M Lepik FWD91
2
-
K Palumets MID81
1
-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF6
1
-
R Saarma FWD51
-
K Vallner GLK4
1
-
I Yakovlev FWD41
-
D Kuraksin FWD31
-
P Kristal MID2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Cyprus v Lithuania
Fri 15th Nov, 17:00
San Marino v Gibraltar
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Kosovo
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Switzerland v Serbia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Spain
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Scotland v Croatia
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Portugal v Poland
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
N Ireland v Belarus
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Fri 15th Nov, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Estonia
Sat 16th Nov, 14:00
Turkey v Wales
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Montenegro v Iceland
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Andorra v Moldova
Sat 16th Nov, 17:00
Albania v Czech Rep
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Slovakia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Netherlands v Hungary
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Bosnia
Sat 16th Nov, 19:45
Latvia v Armenia
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Macedonia v Faroes
Sun 17th Nov, 14:00
Norway v Kazakhstan
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Austria v Slovenia
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Finland v Greece
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
England v Ireland
Sun 17th Nov, 17:00
Israel v Belgium
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Italy v France
Sun 17th Nov, 19:45
Kosovo v Lithuania
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Romania v Cyprus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Spain v Switzerland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Serbia v Denmark
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Scotland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Portugal
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Liechtenstein v San Marino
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Luxembourg v N Ireland
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Bulgaria v Belarus
Mon 18th Nov, 19:45
Montenegro v Turkey
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Sweden v Azerbaijan
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Slovakia v Estonia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Iceland
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Albania v Ukraine
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v Germany
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Netherlands
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Malta v Andorra
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45
Czech Rep v Georgia
Tue 19th Nov, 19:45