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Austria v Serbia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 20th Mar, 19:45 BST, Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Wien

It's an away trip for Dragan Stojković's Serbia side on Thursday evening, as they head to the Ernst-Happel-Stadion for a UEFA Nations League clash with Ralf Rangnick's Austria. We've analysed both teams' last 20 UEFA Nations League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Austria and Serbia's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.40.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Austria are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Austria 55%	-	4/5
Draw 23%	-	5/2
Serbia 22%	-	18/5 4%
Draw 1-1 11%	-	11/2
Austria 1-0 11%	-	19/4 5%
Austria 2-1 10%	-	7/1
Austria 2-0 10%	-	6/1
Serbia 1-0 6%	-	17/2
Draw 0-0 6%	-	13/2 7%
Austria 3-1 6%	-	12/1
Serbia 2-1 6%	-	12/1
Austria 3-0 6%	-	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	-	14/1
Serbia 2-0 3%	-	16/1 11%
Austria 3-2 3%	-	22/1 12%
Austria 4-1 3%	-	22/1 12%
Austria 4-0 3%	-	22/1
Serbia 3-1 2%	-	28/1 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	-	11/10 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	-	13/20 3%
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	-
No 1st Goal 4%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	-	21/20 5%
BTTS - No 47%	-	8/11 5%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	-	3/1 8%
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	19/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	15/2 11%
Home/draw 78%	-	2/11
Away/draw 45%	-	1/1
Home/away 77%	-	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	-	4/11 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	-	15/8 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	-	11/4 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	-	1/4 4%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	-	13/2 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	-	1/14 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	14/1 12%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	1/150
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1/14 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	13/2 7%
Home DNB 71%	-	3/10 1%
Away DNB 38%	-	9/4 2%
Austria win to nil 30%	-	-
Serbia win to nil 11%	-	-
Austria / Austria 27%	-	9/5 2%
Austria / Serbia 3%	-	28/1 15%
Austria / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Austria 18%	-	10/3
Draw / Serbia 9%	-	15/2 6%
Draw / Draw 17%	-	18/5 2%
Serbia / Austria 4%	-	20/1
Serbia / Serbia 11%	-	6/1 7%
Serbia / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Austria	1 - 1	Slovenia
Austria	5 - 1	Norway
Austria	4 - 0	Kazakhstan
Austria	1 - 2	Turkey
Austria	0 - 1	France
Austria	2 - 1	Serbia
Austria	6 - 1	Turkey
Austria	2 - 0	Germany
Austria	2 - 3	Belgium
Austria	1 - 1	Moldova
Austria	2 - 0	Sweden
Austria	2 - 1	Estonia
Austria	4 - 1	Azerbaijan
Austria	1 - 3	Croatia
Austria	1 - 1	France
Austria	1 - 2	Denmark
Austria	2 - 2	Scotland
Austria	4 - 1	Moldova
Austria	4 - 2	Israel
Austria	0 - 1	Scotland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Austria	1 - 1	Slovenia
A	Austria	2 - 0	Kazakhstan
H	Austria	5 - 1	Norway
H	Austria	4 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Austria	1 - 2	Norway
A	Austria	1 - 1	Slovenia
H	Austria	1 - 2	Turkey
A	Austria	3 - 2	Netherlands
A	Austria	3 - 1	Poland
H	Austria	0 - 1	France
A	Austria	1 - 1	Switzerland
H	Austria	2 - 1	Serbia
H	Austria	6 - 1	Turkey
A	Austria	2 - 0	Slovakia
H	Austria	2 - 0	Germany
A	Austria	2 - 0	Estonia
A	Austria	1 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	Austria	2 - 3	Belgium
A	Austria	3 - 1	Sweden
H	Austria	1 - 1	Moldova

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Switzerland	1 - 1	Serbia
Spain	3 - 0	Serbia
Denmark	2 - 0	Serbia
Denmark	0 - 0	Serbia
Slovenia	1 - 1	Serbia
Sweden	0 - 3	Serbia
Austria	2 - 1	Serbia
Cyprus	0 - 1	Serbia
Russia	4 - 0	Serbia
Belgium	1 - 0	Serbia
Hungary	2 - 1	Serbia
Lithuania	1 - 3	Serbia
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Serbia
Montenegro	0 - 2	Serbia
USA	1 - 2	Serbia
Cameroon	3 - 3	Serbia
Brazil	2 - 0	Serbia
Norway	0 - 2	Serbia
Slovenia	2 - 2	Serbia
Sweden	0 - 1	Serbia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Serbia	0 - 0	Denmark
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Switzerland
A	Serbia	0 - 3	Spain
H	Serbia	2 - 0	Switzerland
A	Serbia	0 - 2	Denmark
H	Serbia	0 - 0	Spain
A	Serbia	0 - 0	Denmark
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Slovenia
H	Serbia	0 - 1	England
A	Serbia	3 - 0	Sweden
A	Serbia	1 - 2	Austria
A	Serbia	1 - 0	Cyprus
A	Serbia	0 - 4	Russia
H	Serbia	2 - 2	Bulgaria
A	Serbia	0 - 1	Belgium
H	Serbia	3 - 1	Montenegro
A	Serbia	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Serbia	3 - 1	Lithuania
H	Serbia	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Bulgaria

Goal Statistics

Austria have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Serbia on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Austria	Serbia
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Austria will score 1 or more goals	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Serbia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Austria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-29 Serbia have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season

47%

better

AUT

SRB

view stats

Games scored	19		12
Failed to score	1		8
Scored first	14		7
Goals scored	43		20
Avg. goals scored	2.2		1
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		9
Conversion rate for	19		12
Avg. XG for	2		1
KickOff rating		+47%

12%

better

AUT

SRB

view stats

Games conceded	14		14
Clean sheets	6		6
Conceded first	6		10
Goals conceded	19		24
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+12%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Austria v Serbia will show here when available.

Austria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
87	36	23	10
M Arnautovic	M Arnautovic	M Arnautovic	M Arnautovic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Arnautovic FWD	103	36	23	9 1
M Sabitzer MID	86	20	11	10 -
M Gregoritsch FWD	62	18	5	2 -
F Grillitsch MID	50	1	5	4 -
C Baumgartner MID	48	18	13	4 -
K Laimer MID	45	5	5	7 -
S Posch DEF	42	2	4	10 -
N Seiwald MID	34		1	4 -
M Wöber DEF	30		2	4 -
P Lienhart DEF	29	3		1 -
K Danso DEF	23		1	4 -
A Weimann FWD	22	2	2	2 -
P Wimmer MID	21	1	2	5 -
R Schmid MID	21	2	4	1 -
P Mwene DEF	20		2	5 -
A Schlager GLK	17			2 -
P Pentz GLK	14			-
G Trauner DEF	14	2		-
A Prass DEF	13		1	2 -
C Adamu FWD	9			-
M Seidl MID	8	1		-
K Stöger MID	3			-
M Svoboda DEF	2			-
N Hedl GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
36	46	23	22
M Arnautovic	M Arnautovic	M Arnautovic	M Sabitzer

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Arnautovic FWD	36	46	23	13
M Sabitzer MID	20	45	11	22
M Gregoritsch FWD	18	42	5	10
C Baumgartner MID	18	43	13	22
K Laimer MID	5	10	5	13
P Lienhart DEF	3	3		4
A Weimann FWD	2	3	2	2
S Posch DEF	2	10	4	8
G Trauner DEF	2	2
R Schmid MID	2	5	4	18
M Seidl MID	1	2		2
P Wimmer MID	1	10	2	8
F Grillitsch MID	1	9	5	4
K Danso DEF		1	1	1
M Wöber DEF		2	2	5
P Mwene DEF		3	2	4
N Seiwald MID		4	1	10
A Prass DEF		1	1	5
C Adamu FWD		3		2
K Stöger MID				1
M Svoboda DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2070	92	234
M Sabitzer	S Posch	C Baumgartner

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Sabitzer MID	2070	44	152
S Posch DEF	1723	92	203
N Seiwald MID	1655	86	128
F Grillitsch MID	1624	35	123
P Lienhart DEF	1598	24	96
K Laimer MID	1530	76	172
C Baumgartner MID	1125	51	234
M Wöber DEF	1100	28	83
K Danso DEF	883	19	92
M Arnautovic FWD	867	18	112
G Trauner DEF	643	22	56
P Mwene DEF	630	32	67
M Gregoritsch FWD	611	17	128
A Schlager GLK	482		4
A Prass DEF	405	25	53
P Pentz GLK	404	1	6
R Schmid MID	392	14	42
P Wimmer MID	281	19	73
A Weimann FWD	95	3	5
M Seidl MID	75	2	5
K Stöger MID	62	2	2
C Adamu FWD	55	2	20
M Svoboda DEF	53	2	2
N Hedl GLK	8

Serbia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
83	59	11	23
A Mitrović	A Mitrović	A Zivkovic	A Mitrović

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Mitrović FWD	96	59	4	23 -
N Gudelj MID	66	1	2	10 -
N Milenković DEF	62	3	1	13 1
N Maksimovic MID	53		1	4 -
A Zivkovic FWD	51	1	11	5 -
S Pavlovic DEF	43	4	1	15 1
M Veljković DEF	35	1	1	1 -
D Vlahović FWD	32	13	7	-
L Samardžić MID	17		1	1 -
S Eraković DEF	12	1		2 -
S Babic DEF	9	1		-
S Zdjelar MID	9		2	1 -
A Terzić DEF	7	1		2 -
K. Nedeljković DEF	6			1 -
Đorđe Petrović GLK	5			-
A. Maksimović MID	4			-
N Stojic DEF	3			-
J. Simic DEF	2			1 -
M Topic MID	2			-
A Jovanovic GLK	1			-
M Ivanovic FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
59	84	11	13
A Mitrović	A Mitrović	A Zivkovic	A Zivkovic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Mitrović FWD	59	84	4	7
D Vlahović FWD	13	26	7	3
S Pavlovic DEF	4	6	1	1
N Milenković DEF	3	3	1	1
A Terzić DEF	1	1		4
N Gudelj MID	1	10	2	1
S Eraković DEF	1			1
S Babic DEF	1	1
M Veljković DEF	1	2	1	1
A Zivkovic FWD	1	3	11	13
L Samardžić MID		1	1	3
S Zdjelar MID			2	1
N Maksimovic MID		1	1	1
K. Nedeljković DEF				1
N Stojic DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2652	94	326
N Milenković	S Pavlovic	A Mitrović

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Milenković DEF	2652	80	264
S Pavlovic DEF	2042	94	272
N Gudelj MID	1823	43	131
M Veljković DEF	1331	24	62
N Maksimovic MID	1076	40	84
A Mitrović FWD	1060	28	326
A Zivkovic FWD	794	39	92
D Vlahović FWD	323	6	80
S Eraković DEF	289	13	18
L Samardžić MID	189	13	27
S Babic DEF	173	7	16
Đorđe Petrović GLK	128
A Terzić DEF	102	2	4
S Zdjelar MID	94	7	12
N Stojic DEF	76	10	14
K. Nedeljković DEF	63	2	5
M Topic MID	34		2
A. Maksimović MID	25		3
J. Simic DEF	13	1	1
M Ivanovic FWD	5		2

International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Austria v Serbia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Austria v Serbia will show here when available.

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