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Roma v Bayer Leverkusen : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Thursday night sees Daniele De Rossi’s Roma and Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen go head to head in a Europa League battle at the Stadio Olimpico. Europa League statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. There's so much to explore, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Roma's next match is v Atalanta at 19:45 on Sunday 12th May
Bayer Leverkusen's next match is v VfL Bochum at 18:30 on Sunday 12th May
The last European Europa League meeting between Roma and Leverkusen was on Thursday 2nd May 2024
European Europa League
May 2nd 2024
Roma 0
2 Leverkusen
 
28' F. Wirtz
73' R. Andrich
 
RMA
B04
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
5
8
Corners
4
2
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
RomaLeverkusen
 
M. Svilar
R. Karsdorp (J. Esmoris Tasende 62')
L. Spinazzola
C. Smalling
G. Mancini
L. Paredes (T. Baldanzi 79')
B. Cristante
L. Pellegrini
R. Lukaku Menama (S. Azmoun 79')
S. El Shaarawy
P. Exequiel Dybala (K. Bakumo-Abraham 90')
M. Kovář
E. Tapsoba
J. Tah
J. Stanisic
P. Hincapié Reyna
(K. Odilon 90') A. Grimaldo García
football iconR. Andrich
G. Xhaka
(J. Hofmann 77') football iconF. Wirtz
(E. Palacios 88') J. Frimpong
(N. Tella 77') A. Adli
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Roma and Leverkusen's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Roma
29%
5/2
3%
5/2
3%
Draw
26%
23/10
8%
11/5
9%
Leverkusen
46%
23/20
5%
23/20
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
14%
5/1
Leverkusen 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Leverkusen 2-1
9%
8/115/2
6%
Roma 1-0
8%
8/1
10%
15/2
6%
Leverkusen 2-0
8%
17/28/1
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
15%
6/1
18%
Roma 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Leverkusen 3-1
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Roma 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Leverkusen 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Leverkusen 3-2
3%
33/1
31%
22/1
10%
Roma 3-1
3%
28/122/1
10%
Roma 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Leverkusen 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
6/5
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/6
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/4
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
19/20
8%
10/11
6%
BTTS - No
47%
4/5
8%
5/6
4%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/2
15%
11/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
15/4
10%
7/2
13%
Home/draw
54%
4/6
3%
4/6
5%
Away/draw
71%
2/7
1%
2/7
Home/away
74%
1/3
3%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/5
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
2/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/1
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/4
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7/1
23%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/12
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
10%
-
Home DNB
47%
6/47/5
4%
Away DNB
64%
1/21/2
1%
Roma win to nil
15%
9/2
8%
-
Leverkusen win to nil
25%
12/5
3%
-
Roma / Roma
15%
5/19/2
Roma / Leverkusen
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Roma / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Roma
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Leverkusen
16%
4/14/1
4%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
10/3
10%
Leverkusen / Roma
3%
33/125/1
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
24%
5/2
3%
12/5
6%
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Roma
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Leverkusen
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Roma since 2004
Roma
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
5
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
RMA
2
D
1
All games since 2004
Roma
Leverkusen
Goals: Scored
10
10
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
RMA
2
D
3
B04
1
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Roma on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Roma Leverkusen
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+28
Roma have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Leverkusen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Europa League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274163/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Roma
PG (predicted goals)
Leverkusen
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
RMA
B04
24%
better
view stats
Games scored17
20
Failed to score3
0
Scored first11
12
Goals scored33
47
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate18%
18%
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
RMA
B04
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
12
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded24
18
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate10%
14%
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Roma v Leverkusen will show here when available.

Roma Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14755
M SvilarR Lukaku S ShaarawyE Ndicka
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK14
1
-
R Karsdorp  DEF8
-
G Mancini DEF123
2
-
C Smalling DEF4
-
L Spinazzola DEF101
3
-
B Cristante MID1311
4
-
L Paredes MID1322
3
-
L Pellegrini MID1022
3
-
P Dybala MID921
-
S Shaarawy FWD135
-
R Lukaku  FWD1371
-
Subs
P Boer GLK
-
R Patrício GLK
-
E Ndicka DEF9
5
-
A Angeliño DEF4
-
D Llorente DEF111
1
-
R Sanches  MID5
-
H Aouar MID9
-
T Baldanzi MID5
-
E Bove MID121
3
-
N Zalewski MID92
1
-
T Abraham FWD4
-
S Azmoun FWD4
-
Leverkusen Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11544
M KovářP Schick J StanisicJ Tah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kovář GLK11
1
-
E Tapsoba DEF112
2
-
J Tah DEF10
4
-
P Hincapié DEF11
-
J Stanisic MID1214
-
R Andrich MID1112
2
-
G Xhaka MID102
2
-
A Grimaldo MID1124
1
-
J Frimpong MID93
-
F Wirtz MID1044
3
-
A Adli FWD1212
1
-
Subs
L Hradecky GLK
-
N Lomb GLK1
-
O Kossounou  DEF8
1
-
Arthur DEF
-
E Palacios MID81
1
-
G Puerta  MID3
-
J Hofmann MID922
1
-
N Tella MID1011
-
P Schick  FWD85
1
-
A Hlozek FWD822
-
B Iglesias FWD2
-
V Boniface FWD751
1
-
European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds