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FK Qarabag v Malmo FF : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 3rd Oct, 17:45 BST, Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)), Baku

FK Qarabag and Malmo FF go head to head at the Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)) on Thursday evening, with both Qurban Qurbanov and Henrik Rydstrom seeking a win in the Europa League. For every Europa League match preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Qarabag and Malmö's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Qarabag
50%
10/11
5%
19/20
5%
Draw
23%
13/5
3%
27/10
3%
Malmö
26%
14/5
9%
27/10
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Qarabag 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
Qarabag 1-0
9%
8/113/2
7%
Qarabag 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
Malmö 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Malmö 1-0
6%
12/110/1
16%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
Qarabag 3-1
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
16%
Qarabag 3-0
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Malmö 2-0
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Qarabag 3-2
3%
20/116/1
11%
Malmö 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Qarabag 4-1
3%
28/120/1
9%
Malmö 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/117/10
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/1021/20
7%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/1313/20
6%
BTTS - No
42%
6/523/20
8%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
4%
5/2
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
8%
5/1
Home/draw
74%
1/4
3%
1/4
4%
Away/draw
50%
5/6
2%
17/20
6%
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/92/9
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/329/10
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/417/10
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/92/5
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/119/5
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/62/13
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/18/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/161/20
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
16%
Home DNB
67%
2/5
7%
2/5
5%
Away DNB
43%
7/4
10%
17/10
8%
Qarabag win to nil
25%
5/2
7%
-
Malmö win to nil
12%
6/1-
Qarabag / Qarabag
27%
21/10
3%
19/10
6%
Qarabag / Malmö
3%
28/122/1
12%
Qarabag / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Qarabag
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Draw / Malmö
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
5%
Malmö / Qarabag
4%
20/116/1
11%
Malmö / Malmö
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
5%
Malmö / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
3
Qarabag have lost 3 consecutive european games
3
Malmö have lost 3 consecutive european games
6
Malmö have not won in 6 consecutive european games
3
Qarabag have failed to score in 3 consecutive european games
3
Malmö have failed to score in 3 consecutive european games
Qarabag
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Malmö
20 games
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

FK Qarabag's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because Malmo FF have conceded in each of their last 13 Europa League outings. A PG of 1.8 for Q. Qurbanov's side suggests that run should continue.

Qarabag Malmö
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Qarabag will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Malmö will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+2
Qarabag’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Malmö’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287761/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Qarabag
PG (predicted goals)
Malmö
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
FKQ
MMO
1%
better
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score5
6
Scored first12
10
Goals scored31
38
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
FKQ
MMO
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
14
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded32
27
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Qarabag v Malmö will show here when available.

Qarabag Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Malmö Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE