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FK Qarabag v Ajax : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 24th Oct, 17:45 BST, Tofik Bakhramov, Baku

Francesco Farioli guides his Ajax charges to the Tofik Bakhramov in the Europa League on Thursday evening, with Qurban Qurbanov's FK Qarabag their rivals. Statistics for our tip of both teams to score are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of effective, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Qurban Qurbanov or Francesco Farioli mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Qarabag
32%
21/10
7%
19/10
3%
Draw
23%
5/227/10
6%
Ajax
45%
5/4
2%
5/4
2%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
Ajax 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Qarabag 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Ajax 1-0
7%
10/1
22%
8/1
13%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
9%
Ajax 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Qarabag 1-0
6%
12/1
18%
9/1
11%
Ajax 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Qarabag 2-0
4%
18/1
27%
12/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Ajax 3-2
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Ajax 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Qarabag 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Qarabag 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Ajax 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/13
10%
3/5
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
13/10
15%
6/5
13%
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/5-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/6
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1/2
10%
8/15
7%
BTTS - No
37%
6/4
19%
11/8
11%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
9%
7/2
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
16/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4
13%
27/10
8%
Home/draw
55%
8/13
3%
8/13
1%
Away/draw
68%
4/11
3%
2/5
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/6
6%
1/5
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/1
25%
10/3
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/4
17%
29/20
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/15
9%
1/2
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
10/3
21%
16/5
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/9
7%
1/5
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
27%
7/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
3%
1/16
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Home DNB
48%
6/5
5%
11/10
Away DNB
61%
8/13
3%
13/20
Qarabag win to nil
13%
11/2
18%
-
Ajax win to nil
20%
7/2
4%
-
Qarabag / Qarabag
17%
15/47/2
2%
Qarabag / Ajax
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Qarabag / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Qarabag
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Ajax
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
Ajax / Qarabag
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Ajax / Ajax
23%
13/5
4%
5/2
3%
Ajax / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win form
4
Qarabag have lost 4 consecutive european games
Qarabag
20 games
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HQarabag1 - 2Malmö
AQarabag0 - 3Spurs
HQarabag0 - 2D. Zagreb
AQarabag0 - 3D. Zagreb
AQarabag3 - 2Ludogorets
HQarabag1 - 2Ludogorets
HQarabag5 - 0Lincoln Red Imps
AQarabag2 - 0Lincoln Red Imps
AQarabag2 - 3Leverkusen
HQarabag2 - 2Leverkusen
HQarabag0 - 2Braga
AQarabag4 - 2Braga
HQarabag2 - 1Häcken
AQarabag2 - 2Molde
HQarabag0 - 1Leverkusen
AQarabag1 - 5Leverkusen
AQarabag1 - 0Häcken
HQarabag1 - 0Molde
HQarabag1 - 1Olimpija
AQarabag2 - 0Olimpija
Ajax
20 games
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax1 - 1Slavia
HAjax4 - 0Besiktas
HAjax3 - 0Jagiellonia
AAjax4 - 1Jagiellonia
HAjax0 - 1Panathinaikos
AAjax1 - 0Panathinaikos
AAjax3 - 1Vojvodina
HAjax1 - 0Vojvodina
AAjax0 - 4A Villa
HAjax0 - 0A Villa
AAjax1 - 1Bodø
HAjax2 - 2Bodø
HAjax3 - 1AEK
AAjax3 - 4Marseille
HAjax0 - 2Brighton
AAjax0 - 2Brighton
AAjax1 - 1AEK
HAjax3 - 3Marseille
HAjax0 - 1Ludogorets
AAjax4 - 1Ludogorets
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Ajax's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Europa League outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for FK Qarabag makes sense in this context.

Ajax have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive Europa League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against FK Qarabag on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Qarabag Ajax
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Qarabag will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
=0
Qarabag’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Ajax have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287775/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Qarabag
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
FKQ
AJA
27%
better
view stats
Games scored15
19
Failed to score5
1
Scored first13
13
Goals scored30
47
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
14
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
FKQ
AJA
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
12
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded33
17
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+26%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Qarabag v Ajax will show here when available.

Qarabag Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Ajax Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8324
R PasveerC AkpomM GodtsK Taylor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK8
-
Y Baas  DEF8
1
-
J Sutalo DEF81
1
-
J Hato DEF811
3
-
D Rensch DEF81
-
K Taylor MID821
4
-
B Boomen MID82
1
-
C Akpom FWD831
2
-
J Henderson MID71
2
-
M Godts FWD732
-
K Fitz-Jim MID621
1
-
B Traoré FWD612
-
B Brobbey FWD611
-
A Gaaei DEF5
1
-
C. Borges FWD5
-
S Berghuis  FWD511
-
C Rasmussen  FWD4
-
K Hlynsson MID3
-
S Bergwijn  FWD31
-
D Rugani DEF2
-
O Wijndal DEF1
1
-
B Tahirovic MID1
-
J. Rijkhoff FWD1
-