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FC Porto v Manchester United : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 3rd Oct, 20:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Erik ten Hag pays counterpart Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves a visit on Thursday night in the Europa League, as their Manchester United and FC Porto teams go head to head at the Estádio do Dragão. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Porto and Man Utd will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
36%
17/10
6%
9/5
4%
Draw
25%
12/512/5
3%
Man Utd
39%
31/20
4%
6/4
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Man Utd 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Man Utd 1-0
8%
9/1
11%
7/1
Porto 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
Porto 1-0
8%
9/115/2
6%
Man Utd 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
8/1
Porto 2-0
6%
14/111/1
9%
Man Utd 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Porto 3-1
4%
20/114/1
Man Utd 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
16/1
11%
Man Utd 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Porto 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Porto 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/110/11
3%
Home 1st Goal
48%
21/20
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/6
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/13
3%
13/20
3%
BTTS - No
42%
6/5
5%
11/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
9%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
6%
10/3
4%
Home/draw
61%
1/2
2%
8/15
2%
Away/draw
64%
4/9
3%
4/9
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/113/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
6%
19/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
3%
4/11
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/217/4
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/72/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
54%
5/6
9%
19/20
2%
Away DNB
56%
5/6
6%
3/4
3%
Porto win to nil
17%
4/1
9%
-
Man Utd win to nil
19%
4/1
15%
-
Porto / Porto
18%
10/3
4%
10/3
3%
Porto / Man Utd
3%
25/120/1
Porto / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Porto
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Man Utd
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
15%
9/219/5
4%
Man Utd / Porto
3%
25/120/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
20%
3/129/10
Man Utd / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Porto have won 3 consecutive home european games
Porto
20 games
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 3Bodø
APorto0 - 1Arsenal
HPorto1 - 0Arsenal
HPorto5 - 3Shakhtar
APorto1 - 2Barcelona
HPorto2 - 0Antwerp
APorto4 - 1Antwerp
HPorto0 - 1Barcelona
APorto3 - 1Shakhtar
HPorto0 - 0Inter
APorto0 - 1Inter
HPorto2 - 1A.Madrid
APorto4 - 0Brugge
APorto3 - 0Leverkusen
HPorto2 - 0Leverkusen
HPorto0 - 4Brugge
APorto1 - 2A.Madrid
APorto1 - 1Lyon
HPorto0 - 1Lyon
APorto2 - 2Lazio
Man Utd
20 games
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd1 - 1Twente
HMan Utd0 - 1Bayern
AMan Utd3 - 3Galatasaray
AMan Utd3 - 4Kobenhavn
HMan Utd1 - 0Kobenhavn
HMan Utd2 - 3Galatasaray
AMan Utd3 - 4Bayern
AMan Utd0 - 3Sevilla
HMan Utd2 - 2Sevilla
AMan Utd1 - 0Real Betis
HMan Utd4 - 1Real Betis
HMan Utd2 - 1Barcelona
AMan Utd2 - 2Barcelona
AMan Utd1 - 0R.Sociedad
HMan Utd3 - 0Sheriff
HMan Utd1 - 0Omnia Nicosia
AMan Utd3 - 2Omnia Nicosia
AMan Utd2 - 0Sheriff
HMan Utd0 - 1R.Sociedad
HMan Utd0 - 1A.Madrid
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics
Porto Man Utd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-7
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287767/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
13%
better
PTO
MNU
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first13
10
Goals scored43
36
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.8
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for2.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
22%
better
PTO
MNU
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded17
32
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+22%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Porto v Man Utd will show here when available.

Porto Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Man Utd Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE