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AZ v Roma : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 23rd Jan, 17:45 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

the AFAS Stadion crowd welcome Roma's fans on Thursday evening, as Maarten Martens's AZ go head to head with Daniele De Rossi's team in the Europa League. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Europa League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both AZ Alkmaar and Roma's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Roma coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
32%
2/1
11%
19/10
4%
Draw
24%
13/5
3%
13/5
Roma
44%
6/5
10%
5/4
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Roma 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Roma 1-0
8%
8/115/2
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
7%
10/1
16%
17/2
Roma 2-0
7%
11/19/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
Roma 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
Roma 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Roma 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
11%
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
3%
28/120/1
11%
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11
9%
8/11
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
10%
21/20
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/5
5%
23/20
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
5/6
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
18%
9/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/6
2%
8/13
2%
BTTS - No
41%
11/10
2%
23/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
10%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
23%
10/3
9%
29/10
3%
Home/draw
56%
4/6
9%
8/13
3%
Away/draw
68%
4/11
6%
2/5
3%
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
5%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
10/3
15%
14/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
19%
7/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/9
8%
2/5
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1
17%
4/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/6
4%
2/13
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
15%
17/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/20
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
Home DNB
49%
6/5
15%
11/10
5%
Away DNB
61%
8/13
10%
13/20
3%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
15%
9/2
10%
-
Roma win to nil
21%
3/1
8%
-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
17%
4/1
11%
18/5
5%
AZ Alkmaar / Roma
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Roma
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Roma / AZ Alkmaar
3%
28/120/1
Roma / Roma
22%
13/5
10%
5/2
3%
Roma / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Roma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio65101116 
-
-
-
-
2
A.Bilbao6510916 
-
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
-
3
Anderlecht6420514 
-
-
-
-
4
Lyon6411813 
-
-
-
-
5
E.Frankfurt6411413 
-
-
Jan 30
-
6
Galatasaray6330412 
d
 
1-1F
-
-
-
7
Man Utd6330412 
-
-
-
-
8
Rangers6321611 
-
-
-
-
9
Spurs6321411 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
d
 
2-2A
10
FCSB6321211 
-
-
-
-
11
Ajax6312810 
-
-
-
-
12
R.Sociedad6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Bodø6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
Roma Away623139 
Jan 23
-
-
-
15
Olympiakos623129 
-
-
-
-
16
Ferencvaros630319 
-
Jan 30
-
-
17
Plzen623119 
-
-
-
-
18
Porto622228 
-
-
-
-
19
AZ Alkmaar Home622208 
-
-
-
Jan 23
20
Union SG622208 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
21
Fenerbahce6222-28 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
-
22
PAOK621327 
-
-
-
-
23
Midtjylland6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
Elfsborg6213-37 
w
 
3-2A
-
-
l
 
1-0A
25
Braga6213-37 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
26
Hoffenheim6132-36 
-
-
-
-
27
M. Tel-Aviv6204-66 
-
-
-
-
28
Besiktas6204-76 
-
-
-
-
29
Slavia6114-24 
-
-
-
-
30
Twente6042-34 
-
-
-
-
31
Malmö6114-64 
-
-
-
-
32
Ludogorets6033-53 
-
d
 
2-2F
-
-
33
Qarabag6105-103 
-
-
-
-
34
Rigas Futbola Skola6024-72 
-
-
-
-
35
Nice6024-82 
-
-
-
-
36
Dynamo Kyiv6006-140 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
AZ Alkmaar 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Galatasaray
AZ Alkmaar3 - 1Fenerbahce
AZ Alkmaar3 - 2Elfsborg
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
AZ Alkmaar1 - 4A Villa
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0L. Warsaw
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Brann
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0Santa Coloma
AZ Alkmaar4 - 0Gil Vicente
AZ Alkmaar7 - 0Dundee Utd
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Tuzla City
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Bodø
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Randers
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0CFR Cluj
AZ Alkmaar1 - 0Jablonec
AZ Alkmaar2 - 1Celtic
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Napoli
AZ Alkmaar0 - 0R.Sociedad
AZ Alkmaar4 - 1Rijeka
AZ Alkmaar3 - 1Plzen
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 2Ludogorets
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Galatasaray
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 1Fenerbahce
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Spurs
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 2A.Bilbao
HAZ Alkmaar3 - 2Elfsborg
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 2L. Warsaw
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 2A Villa
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 4A Villa
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0L. Warsaw
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 4Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
AAZ Alkmaar3 - 3Brann
HAZ Alkmaar1 - 1Brann
HAZ Alkmaar2 - 0Santa Coloma
AAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Santa Coloma
AAZ Alkmaar2 - 1Gil Vicente
HAZ Alkmaar4 - 0Gil Vicente
HAZ Alkmaar7 - 0Dundee Utd
AAZ Alkmaar0 - 1Dundee Utd
Roma 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs2 - 2Roma
Union SG1 - 1Roma
Elfsborg1 - 0Roma
Leverkusen2 - 2Roma
Milan0 - 1Roma
Brighton1 - 0Roma
Feyenoord1 - 1Roma
Servette1 - 1Roma
Slavia2 - 0Roma
Sheriff1 - 2Roma
Leverkusen0 - 0Roma
Feyenoord1 - 0Roma
R.Sociedad0 - 0Roma
Salzburg1 - 0Roma
HJK Helsinki1 - 2Roma
Real Betis1 - 1Roma
Ludogorets2 - 1Roma
Leicester1 - 1Roma
Bodø2 - 1Roma
Vitesse0 - 1Roma
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRoma3 - 0Braga
ARoma2 - 2Spurs
ARoma1 - 1Union SG
HRoma1 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
ARoma0 - 1Elfsborg
HRoma1 - 1A.Bilbao
ARoma2 - 2Leverkusen
HRoma0 - 2Leverkusen
HRoma2 - 1Milan
ARoma1 - 0Milan
ARoma0 - 1Brighton
HRoma4 - 0Brighton
HRoma1 - 1Feyenoord
ARoma1 - 1Feyenoord
HRoma3 - 0Sheriff
ARoma1 - 1Servette
ARoma0 - 2Slavia
HRoma2 - 0Slavia
HRoma4 - 0Servette
ARoma2 - 1Sheriff
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Roma's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because AZ have conceded in each of their last 7 Europa League matches. A PG of 1.6 for D. De Rossi's side suggests that run should continue.

AZ Alkmaar 19th Roma 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-39
Roma have scored 39% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287847/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
16%
better
AZ
RMA
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first13
10
Goals scored37
32
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
AZ
RMA
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets2
5
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded28
27
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between AZ Alkmaar v Roma will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Roma Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE