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Athletic Bilbao v Roma : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 13th Mar, 17:45 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

We’ve Europa League action to enjoy on Thursday evening, as Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and his Athletic Bilbao side host Raul Procopio’s Roma at the San Mamés. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both A.Bilbao and Roma's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.36.

A.Bilbao 1-1 Roma is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 12% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert correct score tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
A.Bilbao 50%	-111 1%	-110 2%
Draw 25%	260 3%	250 3%
Roma 25%	300	290 3%
Draw 1-1 12%	550	550
A.Bilbao 1-0 11%	550 8%	550 13%
A.Bilbao 2-1 10%	700	700
A.Bilbao 2-0 9%	800	700
Roma 1-0 7%	1000 10%	850 12%
Draw 0-0 7%	900 18%	750 13%
Roma 2-1 6%	1200 13%	1000 8%
A.Bilbao 3-1 5%	1600	1200 13%
Draw 2-2 5%	1400 12%	1200 13%
A.Bilbao 3-0 5%	1600	1200
Roma 2-0 4%	2000 11%	1400
A.Bilbao 3-2 3%	2500 10%	2000 9%
Roma 3-1 2%	3300	2200 12%
A.Bilbao 4-1 2%	3300 17%	2200 21%
A.Bilbao 4-0 2%	3300 17%	2200 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	-100 9%	-105 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	-125 8%	-133 8%
Home 1st Goal 53%	-175	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	163 5%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	900 18%	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	-125 8%	-118 8%
BTTS - No 47%	-105 8%	-118 7%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	300 8%	300 9%
BTTS - Draw 18%	375 5%	360 4%
BTTS - Away Win 12%	700 6%	600 7%
Home/draw 75%	-450	-400
Away/draw 50%	-110 4%	-118 3%
Home/away 75%	-350	-345 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	-300 5%	-303 5%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	240 13%	210 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	275 6%	240 13%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	-350 3%	-345 6%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	600 13%	550 19%
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	-1000 2%	-1111 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	1400 21%	1200 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-3333 1%	-5000 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-1587 1%	-1667 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	900 18%	750 13%
Home DNB 68%	-275	-250
Away DNB 42%	200	180 4%
A.Bilbao win to nil 28%	225 8%	-
Roma win to nil 13%	600 8%	-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao 26%	210 3%	200 3%
A.Bilbao / Roma 3%	3300 17%	2500 10%
A.Bilbao / Draw 6%	1400	1200
Draw / A.Bilbao 17%	375 6%	360
Draw / Roma 10%	750	700 7%
Draw / Draw 16%	450 10%	380 4%
Roma / A.Bilbao 4%	2200	1800 10%
Roma / Roma 13%	550 7%	500
Roma / Draw 6%	1400	1200

Correct score Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	A.Bilbao Roma
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lazio	8	6	1	1	12	19	-	-	-	-
2	A.Bilbao Home	8	6	1	1	8	19	-	-	w 2-1A	Mar 13
3	Man Utd	8	5	3	0	7	18	-	-	-	-
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	8	17	-	-	-	-
5	E.Frankfurt	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	-	-
6	Lyon	8	4	3	1	8	15	-	-	-	-
7	Olympiakos	8	4	3	1	6	15	-	-	-	-
8	Rangers	8	4	2	2	6	14	-	-	-	-
9	Bodø	8	4	2	2	3	14	-	-	-	-
10	Anderlecht	8	4	2	2	2	14	-	-	-	-
11	FCSB	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	-	-	-
12	Ajax	8	4	1	3	8	13	-	-	-	-
13	R.Sociedad	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	-	-
14	Galatasaray	8	3	4	1	3	13	-	-	-	-
15	Roma Away	8	3	3	2	4	12	Mar 13	l 2-1F	-	-
16	Plzen	8	3	3	2	1	12	-	-	-	-
17	Ferencvaros	8	4	0	4	0	12	-	-	-	-
18	Porto	8	3	2	3	2	11	-	-	w 3-2A	d 1-1F
19	AZ Alkmaar	8	3	2	3	0	11	-	-	-	-
20	Midtjylland	8	3	2	3	0	11	-	-	-	-
21	Union SG	8	3	2	3	0	11	-	-	-	-
22	PAOK	8	3	1	4	2	10	-	-	-	-
23	Twente	8	2	4	2	-1	10	-	-	-	-
24	Fenerbahce	8	2	4	2	-2	10	-	-	-	-
25	Braga	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
26	Elfsborg	8	3	1	4	-5	10	-	-	-	-
27	Hoffenheim	8	2	3	3	-3	9	-	-	-	-
28	Besiktas	8	3	0	5	-5	9	-	-	-	-
29	M. Tel-Aviv	8	2	0	6	-9	6	-	-	-	-
30	Slavia	8	1	2	5	-4	5	-	-	-	-
31	Malmö	8	1	2	5	-7	5	-	-	-	-
32	Rigas Futbola Skola	8	1	2	5	-7	5	-	-	-	-
33	Ludogorets	8	0	4	4	-7	4	-	-	-	-
34	Dynamo Kyiv	8	1	1	6	-13	4	-	-	-	-
35	Nice	8	0	3	5	-9	3	-	-	-	-
36	Qarabag	8	1	0	7	-14	3	-	-	-	-

	Next round
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Correct score form

Home

Overall

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

Away

Overall

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

-2
or more

-1
goal

+1
goal

+2
or more

Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Roma on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Athletic Bilbao's defensive record is very strong, E. Valverde Tejedor's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Roma makes sense in this context.

	A.Bilbao 2nd	Roma 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-42 Roma have scored 42% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season

ATH

RMA

better

view stats

Games scored	17		18
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	10		11
Goals scored	37		38
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.9
Avg. shots per game	12		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	15		18
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.8
KickOff rating		+9%

ATH

RMA

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		13
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	8		9
Goals conceded	21		18
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	18%		13%
Avg. XG against	1		0.9
KickOff rating		+9%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between A.Bilbao v Roma will show here when available.

A.Bilbao Europa League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	5	3	3
N Williams	I Williams	N Williams	Y Álvarez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
U Gómez MID	9	1	1	1 -
Álex Berenguer FWD	9		2	1 -
N Williams FWD	9	2	3	2 -
I Williams FWD	9	5	1	1 -
J Agirrezabala GLK	8			-
A Paredes DEF	8	1	1	-
Y Berchiche DEF	8			2 -
D Vivian DEF	8			2 -
I Galarreta MID	8			1 -
B Prados MID	8	1	1	-
G Guruzeta FWD	8	1	2	-
Óscar de Marcos DEF	7		1	1 -
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID	6			1 -
A Gorosabel DEF	5			1 -
M Vesga MID	5			1 -
O Sancet MID	5	1	2	1 -
Álvaro Djaló FWD	4			1 -
Y Álvarez DEF	3	1		2 1
U Núñez DEF	2		1	-
U Simón GLK	1			-
I Lekue DEF	1			-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF	1	1	1	-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	7	3	9
I Williams	N Williams	N Williams	N Williams

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Williams FWD	5	6	1	7
N Williams FWD	2	7	3	9
U Gómez MID	1	3	1	2
O Sancet MID	1	3	2	4
A. Boiro Boiro DEF	1	1	1	1
A Paredes DEF	1	1	1	1
B Prados MID	1	1	1	3
G Guruzeta FWD	1	7	2	7
Y Álvarez DEF	1	1
U Núñez DEF			1	1
Álvaro Djaló FWD				1
Óscar de Marcos DEF			1	5
M Vesga MID				1
A Gorosabel DEF		1		5
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID				5
Álex Berenguer FWD		4	2	7
I Galarreta MID				6
D Vivian DEF		1		1
Y Berchiche DEF		4		8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
486	24	46
A Paredes	M. Jauregizar Alboniga	Y Berchiche

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Paredes DEF	486	9	27
D Vivian DEF	461	19	40
Y Berchiche DEF	448	14	46
I Galarreta MID	304	12	25
B Prados MID	252	19	37
Óscar de Marcos DEF	227	12	19
A Gorosabel DEF	212	19	32
N Williams FWD	197	5	45
I Williams FWD	193	7	38
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID	189	24	40
J Agirrezabala GLK	187		5
Álex Berenguer FWD	153	5	27
G Guruzeta FWD	148	4	23
Y Álvarez DEF	128	4	11
O Sancet MID	116	1	14
U Gómez MID	88	5	16
U Núñez DEF	64	2	9
M Vesga MID	63	4	11
A. Boiro Boiro DEF	50	2	5
Álvaro Djaló FWD	32	4	9
U Simón GLK	18
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD	13		6
I Lekue DEF	10		1

Roma Europa League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	2	3	3
M Svilar	A Angeliño	A Angeliño	A Saelemaekers

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Svilar GLK	11			-
A Angeliño DEF	10	2	3	1 -
E Ndicka DEF	10	1	1	-
Z Celik DEF	10	1	1	2 -
N Pisilli MID	10	1		-
M Koné MID	10		2	2 -
P Dybala FWD	10	2	1	2 -
A Dovbyk FWD	10	2	1	1 -
M Malvano FWD	10		1	-
G Mancini DEF	8	1	1	-
T Baldanzi MID	8			2 -
S Shaarawy FWD	8			-
B Cristante MID	7			1 1
L Paredes MID	7			2 -
L Pellegrini MID	7	1	1	1 -
E Shomurodov FWD	7	2	1	2 -
A Saelemaekers FWD	6		1	3 -
S Abdulhamid DEF	4	1		-
M Hummels DEF	4	1		2 -
D Rensch DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	3	16
A Angeliño	P Dybala	A Angeliño	A Angeliño

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Dybala FWD	2	7	1	11
A Dovbyk FWD	2	6	1	4
A Angeliño DEF	2	3	3	16
E Shomurodov FWD	2	3	1	3
L Pellegrini MID	1	5	1	4
E Ndicka DEF	1	6	1	4
Z Celik DEF	1	1	1	6
N Pisilli MID	1	3		2
M Hummels DEF	1	3		2
S Abdulhamid DEF	1	2		2
G Mancini DEF	1	5	1	3
A Saelemaekers FWD		1	1	7
T Baldanzi MID		1		2
L Paredes MID		1		3
B Cristante MID		2		1
S Shaarawy FWD		3		1
M Malvano FWD		6	1	2
M Koné MID			2	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
703	27	60
E Ndicka	Z Celik	M Koné

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Ndicka DEF	703	12	31
Z Celik DEF	566	27	48
A Angeliño DEF	457	9	35
L Paredes MID	455	16	24
G Mancini DEF	436	12	51
M Koné MID	432	10	60
M Svilar GLK	369		2
N Pisilli MID	290	14	32
B Cristante MID	273	9	30
P Dybala FWD	270	5	32
M Hummels DEF	234	16	29
S Shaarawy FWD	178	4	12
M Malvano FWD	169	4	33
T Baldanzi MID	159	9	31
L Pellegrini MID	151	5	24
A Saelemaekers FWD	140	8	20
A Dovbyk FWD	103	1	15
S Abdulhamid DEF	90	5	11
E Shomurodov FWD	88	2	15
D Rensch DEF	32	4	8

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Athletic Bilbao v Roma : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Europa League match between A.Bilbao v Roma will show here when available.

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