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Athletic Bilbao v Manchester United : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st May, 20:00 BST, San Mamés, Bilbao

the San Mamés masses welcome Manchester United's travelling contingent on Thursday night, as Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's Athletic Bilbao go head to head with Ruben Amorim's team in the Europa League. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's unlikely that this game will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. A.Bilbao and Man Utd have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in the Europa League individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
50%
19/20
2%
-
Draw
26%
13/5-
Man Utd
24%
27/10
1%
-
A.Bilbao 1-0
12%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
A.Bilbao 2-0
9%
15/2-
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
5%
-
Man Utd 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Man Utd 2-1
6%
12/1-
A.Bilbao 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
A.Bilbao 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Man Utd 2-0
4%
18/1-
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
28/1-
Man Utd 3-1
2%
33/1-
A.Bilbao 4-0
2%
33/1-
A.Bilbao 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
19/20-
BTTS - No
51%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1-
Home/draw
76%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
50%
4/5
2%
-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
5%
-
Home DNB
68%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
42%
13/8
5%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
29%
9/4
8%
-
Man Utd win to nil
14%
5/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
26%
11/5
3%
-
A.Bilbao / Man Utd
2%
33/1-
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A.Bilbao
18%
15/4-
Draw / Man Utd
10%
7/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Man Utd / A.Bilbao
3%
25/1
13%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
13%
11/2
7%
-
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Europa League table

A.Bilbao have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Europa League league table. A.Bilbao have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 16 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 6 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
Man Utd
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio86111219 
-
-
-
-
2
A.Bilbao Home8611819 
-
-
May 8
May 1
3
Man Utd Away8530718 
May 1
May 8
-
-
4
Spurs8521817 
-
-
-
-
5
E.Frankfurt8512416 
-
-
-
-
6
Lyon8431815 
-
-
w
 
5-4F
d
 
2-2A
7
Olympiakos8431615 
-
-
-
-
8
Rangers8422614 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
-
9
Bodø8422314 
-
-
w
 
3-2F
-
10
Anderlecht8422214 
-
-
-
-
11
FCSB8422114 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
12
Ajax8413813 
-
-
-
-
13
R.Sociedad8413413 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
14
Galatasaray8341313 
-
-
-
-
15
Roma8332412 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
16
Plzen8332112 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
w
 
1-2A
17
Ferencvaros8404012 
-
-
-
-
18
Porto8323211 
-
-
-
d
 
3-3F
19
AZ Alkmaar8323011 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
20
Midtjylland8323011 
-
-
-
-
21
Union SG8323011 
-
-
-
-
22
PAOK8314210 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
23
Twente8242-110 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
-
24
Fenerbahce8242-210 
-
w
 
0-2F
-
d
 
1-1F
25
Braga8314-310 
-
-
-
-
26
Elfsborg8314-510 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
27
Hoffenheim8233-39 
-
-
-
-
28
Besiktas8305-59 
-
l
 
4-1A
-
-
29
M. Tel-Aviv8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia8125-45 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
31
Malmö8125-75 
-
-
-
-
32
Rigas Futbola Skola8125-75 
-
-
-
-
33
Ludogorets8044-74 
-
w
 
1-2A
-
-
34
Dynamo Kyiv8116-134 
-
-
-
-
35
Nice8035-93 
-
-
-
-
36
Qarabag8107-143 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
A.Bilbao have won 6 consecutive home european games
6
A.Bilbao have not lost in 6 consecutive home european games
12
Man Utd have not lost in 12 consecutive european games
A.Bilbao 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Man Utd 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
12
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's defensive record is very strong, E. Valverde Tejedor's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Europa League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Manchester United makes sense in this context.

A.Bilbao 2nd Man Utd 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Man Utd scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302649/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.5
1
Attack rating
1%
better
ATH
MNU
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score5
4
Scored first8
7
Goals scored32
28
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
21%
better
ATH
MNU
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first7
11
Goals conceded19
25
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+21%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between A.Bilbao v Man Utd will show here when available.

A.Bilbao Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9533
N WilliamsI WilliamsÁlex BerenguerY Álvarez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Gómez MID1011
1
-
Álex Berenguer FWD103
1
-
N Williams FWD1043
2
-
I Williams FWD1051
2
-
J Agirrezabala GLK9
-
A Paredes DEF911
-
Y Berchiche DEF911
2
-
I Galarreta MID9
1
-
B Prados MID911
-
G Guruzeta FWD912
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF81
1
-
D Vivian DEF8
2
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID7
1
-
A Gorosabel DEF6
2
-
O Sancet MID512
1
-
M Vesga MID5
1
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD5
1
-
U Núñez DEF32
-
Y Álvarez DEF31
2
1
I Lekue DEF2
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD21
1
-
U Simón GLK1
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF111
-
Man Utd Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9533
D DalotR HöjlundA GarnachoB Fernandes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Dalot DEF102
-
A Garnacho FWD1013
-
R Höjlund FWD1052
-
N Mazraoui  DEF91
1
-
B Fernandes MID942
2
1
J Zirkzee FWD911
-
A Onana GLK8
1
-
M Ligt DEF8
2
-
L Martínez  DEF81
1
-
C Eriksen MID822
-
Casemiro MID8
2
-
A Diallo FWD82
-
M Ugarte MID61
1
-
T. Collyer MID4
1
-
M Mount  MID4
-
L Yoro DEF3
-
V Lindelöf DEF3
-
H Maguire DEF31
-
K Mainoo MID311
-
A Bayındır GLK2
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF2
-
A. Heaven DEF1
-
L Shaw DEF1
-
J Evans  DEF1
-
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