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Shakhtar Donetsk v Bayern Munich : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Dec, 20:00 BST, Metalist Stadium, Kiev

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Marino Pusic’s Shakhtar Donetsk will have the luxury of it on Tuesday night. Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich are their opponents at the Metalist Stadium. For every Champions League match, KickOff explores the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

The turnout should be good at Metalist Stadium on Tuesday night but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be gutted come full time. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Bayern getting the better of hosts Shakhtar. It will be a tough one to take for home gaffer Marino Pusic but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookmaker odds of 1.22 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 85% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Shakhtar
4%
20/1
40%
18/1
46%
Draw
10%
13/2
7%
8/1
38%
Bayern
85%
1/8
4%
2/15
6%
Bayern 3-0
13%
11/25/1
20%
Bayern 2-0
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
14%
Bayern 4-0
9%
15/2
11%
7/1
16%
Bayern 1-0
8%
17/2
19%
7/1
6%
Bayern 3-1
7%
10/19/1
11%
Bayern 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
12%
Bayern 5-0
6%
12/1
24%
10/1
27%
Bayern 4-1
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw 1-1
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Bayern 5-1
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
Bayern 6-0
3%
22/1
32%
18/1
17%
Draw 0-0
3%
16/1
13%
18/1
27%
Draw 2-2
2%
28/125/1
37%
Bayern 3-2
2%
33/122/1
21%
Bayern 6-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/5
9%
2/5
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
2/1
20%
9/5
Home 1st Goal
31%
5/1-
Away 1st Goal
68%
1/8
2%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
5/413/10
20%
BTTS - No
58%
4/74/7
13%
BTTS - Home Win
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
35%
BTTS - Draw
7%
17/2
6%
9/1
33%
BTTS - Away Win
32%
15/8
7%
9/5
12%
Home/draw
14%
5/1
20%
19/4
31%
Away/draw
96%
1/66
2%
1/150
1%
Home/away
90%
1/101/16
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/8
4%
1/9
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/1
20%
19/4
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
1/1
13%
19/20
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
4/5
11%
3/4
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
12/5
15%
21/10
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1/3
6%
1/3
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
9/2
21%
17/4
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/7
4%
2/15
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/200
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
27%
18/1
27%
Home DNB
11%
16/1
31%
12/1
30%
Away DNB
92%
1/40
2%
1/66
2%
Shakhtar win to nil
2%
28/1
38%
-
Bayern win to nil
53%
8/11-
Shakhtar / Shakhtar
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
24%
Shakhtar / Bayern
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
12%
Shakhtar / Draw
3%
28/122/1
10%
Draw / Shakhtar
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
24%
Draw / Bayern
21%
11/43/1
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
29%
Bayern / Shakhtar
2%
50/155/1
22%
Bayern / Bayern
54%
1/2
7%
1/2
9%
Bayern / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
22/1
21%
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Shakhtar
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool55001115 
-
-
-
-
2
Inter5410713 
-
-
-
-
3
Barcelona54011312 
-
-
-
l
 
4-1A
4
Dortmund54011012 
-
Jan 29
-
-
5
Atalanta53201011 
l
 
0-3A
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen5311610 
-
-
-
-
7
Arsenal5311610 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Monaco5311510 
-
-
-
-
9
A Villa5311510 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
10
S. Lisbon5311310 
-
-
-
-
11
Brest5311310 
Jan 22
-
-
-
12
Lille5311210 
-
-
-
-
13
Bayern 530259 
Dec 10
-
-
-
14
Benfica530239 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
15
A.Madrid530229 
-
-
-
-
16
Milan530229 
-
-
-
-
17
Man City522168 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV522138 
-
l
 
3-2F
-
-
19
Juventus522128 
-
-
-
-
20
Celtic522108 
-
-
-
-
21
Feyenoord5212-37 
-
-
-
Jan 22
22
Brugge5212-37 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb5212-57 
-
-
w
 
9-2F
-
24
Real Madrid520306 
-
-
-
-
25
PSG5113-34 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
26
Shakhtar 5113-44 
-
-
-
Dec 10
27
Stuttgart5113-74 
-
-
-
-
28
Sparta5113-94 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz5104-43 
-
-
-
-
30
Girona5104-53 
-
-
-
-
31
Red Star Bel.5104-83 
-
-
-
-
32
Salzburg5104-123 
-
-
-
-
33
Bologna5014-61 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
34
RB Leipzig5005-60 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava5005-140 
-
-
Jan 29
-
36
Young Boys5005-150 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Bayern have lost 3 consecutive away european games
5
Bayern have not won in 5 consecutive away european games
Shakhtar 26TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shakhtar2 - 1Young Boys
Shakhtar0 - 3Atalanta
Shakhtar2 - 2Marseille
Shakhtar1 - 0Antwerp
Shakhtar1 - 0Barcelona
Shakhtar1 - 3Porto
Shakhtar1 - 1Feyenoord
Shakhtar2 - 1Rennes
Shakhtar0 - 4RB Leipzig
Shakhtar1 - 1Real Madrid
Shakhtar1 - 1Celtic
Shakhtar1 - 1Sheriff
Shakhtar0 - 5Real Madrid
Shakhtar0 - 0Inter
Shakhtar1 - 2Monaco
Shakhtar2 - 1Genk
Shakhtar1 - 2Roma
Shakhtar1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
Shakhtar2 - 0Real Madrid
Shakhtar0 - 6B. M'gladbach
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AShakhtar2 - 3PSV
HShakhtar2 - 1Young Boys
AShakhtar0 - 1Arsenal
HShakhtar0 - 3Atalanta
AShakhtar0 - 0Bologna
AShakhtar1 - 3Marseille
HShakhtar2 - 2Marseille
AShakhtar3 - 5Porto
HShakhtar1 - 0Antwerp
HShakhtar1 - 0Barcelona
AShakhtar1 - 2Barcelona
AShakhtar3 - 2Antwerp
HShakhtar1 - 3Porto
AShakhtar1 - 7Feyenoord
HShakhtar1 - 1Feyenoord
AShakhtar0 - 1Rennes
HShakhtar2 - 1Rennes
HShakhtar0 - 4RB Leipzig
AShakhtar1 - 1Celtic
HShakhtar1 - 1Real Madrid
Bayern 13TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barcelona4 - 1Bayern
A Villa1 - 0Bayern
Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
Arsenal2 - 2Bayern
Lazio1 - 0Bayern
Man Utd0 - 1Bayern
Galatasaray1 - 3Bayern
Kobenhavn1 - 2Bayern
Man City3 - 0Bayern
PSG0 - 1Bayern
Barcelona0 - 3Bayern
Plzen2 - 4Bayern
Inter0 - 2Bayern
Villarreal1 - 0Bayern
Salzburg1 - 1Bayern
Dynamo Kyiv1 - 2Bayern
Benfica0 - 4Bayern
Barcelona0 - 3Bayern
PSG0 - 1Bayern
Lazio1 - 4Bayern
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBayern1 - 0PSG
HBayern1 - 0Benfica
ABayern1 - 4Barcelona
ABayern0 - 1A Villa
HBayern9 - 2D. Zagreb
ABayern1 - 2Real Madrid
HBayern2 - 2Real Madrid
HBayern1 - 0Arsenal
ABayern2 - 2Arsenal
HBayern3 - 0Lazio
ABayern0 - 1Lazio
ABayern1 - 0Man Utd
HBayern0 - 0Kobenhavn
HBayern2 - 1Galatasaray
ABayern3 - 1Galatasaray
ABayern2 - 1Kobenhavn
HBayern4 - 3Man Utd
HBayern1 - 1Man City
ABayern0 - 3Man City
HBayern2 - 0PSG
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.6, Shakhtar Donetsk look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Bayern Munich have kept a clean sheet in 5 consecutive Champions League games, and it could be a long night for M. Pusic's men.

Shakhtar 26th Bayern 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.6
goals
3.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
56%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Shakhtar will fail to score
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
23%
There is a 24% probability that Bayern will score 5 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Shakhtar have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Bayern have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287677/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Shakhtar
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
0.6
3
Attack rating
SDK
FCB
45%
better
view stats
Games scored15
19
Failed to score5
1
Scored first7
17
Goals scored23
60
Avg. goals scored1.2
3
Avg. shots per game7
14
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
22
Avg. XG for1
2.4
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
SDK
FCB
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
8
Clean sheets3
12
Conceded first12
3
Goals conceded41
18
Avg. goals conceded2.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded14
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against2.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+42%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Shakhtar v Bayern will show here when available.

Shakhtar Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5223
D RiznykO ZubkovY KonopliaPedrinho
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Riznyk GLK5
-
M Matvienko DEF5
-
V Bondar DEF5
1
-
Pedrinho DEF5
1
2
Y Konoplia DEF52
1
-
D Kryskiv MID5
1
-
H Sudakov MID511
-
A Bondarenko MID5
-
O Zubkov MID52
-
Eguinaldo FWD51
-
T Stepanenko MID4
1
-
Kevin MID4
-
D Sikan FWD41
-
L Traoré FWD3
-
M Gomes MID2
-
B Franjić MID2
-
N. Martins da Silva FWD2
-
V Tobías DEF1
1
-
A Ghram DEF1
1
-
Pedrinho FWD1
-
Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5532
M Neuer H KaneJ KimmichS Gnabry
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK5
-
D Upamecano DEF5
1
-
A Davies DEF5
-
M Kim DEF51
-
J Kimmich MID53
1
-
S Gnabry FWD51
2
-
M Olise FWD52
1
-
H Kane FWD551
-
J Musiala FWD512
1
-
L Sané FWD51
-
K Laimer MID4
-
L Goretzka MID41
1
-
K Coman FWD4
1
-
T Müller FWD41
-
J Palhinha MID3
-
R Guerreiro DEF21
-
A Pavlović MID2
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
E Dier DEF1
-
M Tel FWD1
-