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Red Star Belgrade v Benfica : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Sep, 17:45 BST, Rajko Mitic Stadium, Belgrade

the Rajko Mitic Stadium masses welcome Benfica's supporters on Thursday evening, as Vladan Milojević's Red Star Belgrade take on Roger Schmidt's team in the Champions League. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Red Star Bel. and Benfica will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Vladan Milojević or Roger Schmidt has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to about a 80% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Benfica coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Red Star Bel.
27%
3.70
8%
3.75
10%
Draw
23%
3.75
1%
3.70
3%
Benfica
49%
1.95
5%
1.95
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
Benfica 2-1
10%
8.507.50
6%
Benfica 1-0
9%
9.00
6%
7.50
Benfica 2-0
8%
10.00
5%
9.00
5%
Red Star Bel. 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
11.00
10%
Red Star Bel. 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
16%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
8%
Benfica 3-1
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0010.00
Benfica 3-0
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
13%
Red Star Bel. 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Benfica 3-2
4%
23.0017.00
11%
Red Star Bel. 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
11%
Red Star Bel. 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Benfica 4-1
2%
29.0021.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.731.70
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.102.05
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.50
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.57
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.671.65
3%
BTTS - No
41%
2.102.10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.50
7%
6.00
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
5%
4.40
BTTS - Away Win
26%
3.603.50
8%
Home/draw
51%
1.80
6%
1.83
6%
Away/draw
73%
1.29
6%
1.25
4%
Home/away
77%
1.251.29
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.22
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.333.80
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.752.70
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.441.40
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.004.80
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.171.15
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
1.05
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0010.00
9%
Home DNB
44%
2.62
13%
2.70
13%
Away DNB
66%
1.44
6%
1.40
7%
Red Star Bel. win to nil
12%
7.00
13%
-
Benfica win to nil
23%
3.75
10%
-
Red Star Bel. / Red Star Bel.
14%
6.00
8%
5.75
10%
Red Star Bel. / Benfica
4%
21.0017.00
11%
Red Star Bel. / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Red Star Bel.
10%
8.00
6%
7.50
7%
Draw / Benfica
16%
5.004.80
4%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.25
Benfica / Red Star Bel.
3%
29.0023.00
Benfica / Benfica
26%
3.10
3%
3.00
6%
Benfica / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Red Star Bel.
20 games
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
Benfica
20 games
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics
Red Star Bel. Benfica
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Red Star Bel. will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+25
Red Star Bel. have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Benfica have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287597/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Red Star Bel.
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
CRV
BEF
2%
better
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first9
11
Goals scored32
35
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
CRV
BEF
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
13
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first11
9
Goals conceded37
21
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+29%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Red Star Bel. v Benfica will show here when available.

Red Star Bel. Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
M IlićO. MimovićT ElsnikM Ivanić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Ilić GLK2
-
N Djiga DEF2
-
O. Mimović DEF21
-
Y Seol DEF2
-
U Spajic DEF21
-
T Elsnik MID21
1
-
I Hwang MID21
-
D Dálcio MID2
-
L Ilic MID2
-
M Ivanić MID2
2
-
P Olayinka FWD2
1
-
C Ndiaye FWD2
-
Milson FWD2
-
M Rodic DEF1
-
J Francis FWD1
1
-
B Duarte FWD11
-
O Glazer GLK
-
I. Guteša GLK
-
M Degenek DEF
-
V. Milosavljević DEF
-
V Drkusic DEF
-
S Lekovic DEF
-
A. Đurić DEF
-
J. Šljivić MID
-
G Kanga MID
-
A. Maksimović MID
-
E Prutsev MID
-
N. Knežević MID
-
L. Jovanović FWD
-
U. Sremčević FWD
-
A Katai FWD
-
V Lucic FWD
-
Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK
-
S Soares GLK
-
A Bajrami DEF
-
N Otamendi DEF
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF
-
A Silva DEF
-
I Kaboré DEF
-
A Bah DEF
-
T Araújo DEF
-
J Beste DEF
-
R Sanches  MID
-
M Neto MID
-
L Barreiro MID
-
O Kökcü MID
-
F Aursnes MID
-
Florentino MID
-
J Mário MID
-
S Meïté  MID
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID
-
V Pavlidis FWD
-
A Cabral FWD
-
B Rollheiser FWD
-
A Schjelderup FWD
-
G Prestianni FWD
-
Z Amdouni FWD
-
T Gouveia FWD
-
M Leonardo FWD
-
Ángel Di María FWD
-