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Real Madrid v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 22nd Oct, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

We’ve Champions League action to enjoy on Tuesday night, as Carlo Ancelotti and his Real Madrid side host Nuri Şahin’s Borussia Dortmund at the Santiago Bernabéu. For each and every Champions League match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then published alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We think there's an outright winner in this fixture, and it's Real Madrid. Their latest form stats show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Dortmund too. The odds point towards Carlo Ancelotti's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Tuesday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
65%
4/92/5
3%
Draw
18%
17/4
11%
17/4
5%
Dortmund
17%
5/111/2
8%
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8/113/2
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Draw 1-1
8%
10/1
10%
8/1
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
10/18/1
5%
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
10/117/2
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
8%
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
16/112/1
Dortmund 2-1
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/114/1
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Dortmund 1-0
3%
20/1
9%
18/1
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Real Madrid 4-2
3%
28/120/1
Real Madrid 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/52/5
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
2/19/5
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/3-
Away 1st Goal
42%
9/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/74/7
BTTS - No
37%
5/45/4
2%
BTTS - Home Win
37%
8/5
4%
29/20
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
9%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Home/draw
83%
1/81/9
1%
Away/draw
35%
13/89/5
4%
Home/away
82%
1/6
1%
1/6
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/81/9
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/119/4
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
1/119/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
4/53/4
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
12/521/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1/31/3
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
9/217/4
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/72/15
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/661/150
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/116/1
Home DNB
78%
2/11
1%
2/13
2%
Away DNB
29%
7/2
10%
19/5
4%
Real Madrid win to nil
29%
2/1-
Dortmund win to nil
6%
12/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
39%
11/1021/20
2%
Real Madrid / Dortmund
3%
33/128/1
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
14/114/1
15%
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
7/216/5
3%
Draw / Dortmund
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Dortmund / Real Madrid
5%
16/114/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
8%
9/18/1
6%
Dortmund / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win form
14
Real Madrid have not lost in 14 consecutive home european games
Real Madrid
20 games
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 2Union Berlin
HReal Madrid4 - 2Napoli
HReal Madrid3 - 0Braga
AReal Madrid2 - 1Braga
AReal Madrid3 - 2Napoli
HReal Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
AReal Madrid0 - 4Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
HReal Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
HReal Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Dortmund
20 games
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund7 - 1Celtic
ADortmund3 - 0Brugge
HDortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
ADortmund1 - 0PSG
HDortmund1 - 0PSG
HDortmund4 - 2A.Madrid
ADortmund1 - 2A.Madrid
HDortmund2 - 0PSV
ADortmund1 - 1PSV
HDortmund1 - 1PSG
ADortmund3 - 1Milan
HDortmund2 - 0Newcastle
ADortmund1 - 0Newcastle
HDortmund0 - 0Milan
ADortmund0 - 2PSG
ADortmund0 - 2Chelsea
HDortmund1 - 0Chelsea
ADortmund1 - 1Kobenhavn
HDortmund0 - 0Man City
HDortmund1 - 1Sevilla
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Real Madrid since 2012
Real Madrid
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
RMD
3
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Games at Dortmund since 2012
Dortmund
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
RMD
2
D
1
BVB
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
0 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Dortmund2 - 0
Dortmund4 - 1
Dortmund2 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for Real Madrid in their meeting with Borussia Dortmund, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 42 consecutive Champions League games.

Real Madrid Dortmund
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+4
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287624/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
2.4
1.2
Attack rating
4%
better
RMD
BVB
view stats
Games scored18
17
Failed to score2
3
Scored first15
14
Goals scored46
47
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.4
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for20
23
Avg. XG for2
1.8
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
28%
better
RMD
BVB
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded16
28
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate against9%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Dortmund will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
A RüdigerA RüdigerD CarvajalL Modric
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rüdiger DEF21
1
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
Éder Militão DEF2
1
-
F García DEF2
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
J Bellingham MID2
1
-
F Valverde MID2
1
-
A Tchouameni MID2
-
A Güler MID2
-
L Modric MID21
2
-
V Junior FWD2
-
K Mbappé FWD21
-
Endrick FWD21
1
-
A Lunin GLK1
-
T Courtois GLK1
-
L Vázquez DEF1
1
-
E Camavinga MID1
1
-
Rodrygo FWD11
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2311
G KobelS Guirassy N SchlotterbeckJ Ryerson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF21
-
J Ryerson DEF2
1
-
W Anton DEF2
-
R Bensebaini DEF2
1
-
Y Couto DEF2
-
J Brandt MID21
-
M Sabitzer  MID2
-
F Nmecha MID211
-
E Can MID211
-
P Groß MID2
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD22
-
S Guirassy  FWD23
-
K Adeyemi  FWD23
-
N Süle DEF1
-
J Duranville FWD1
-
M Beier FWD1
-
D Malen FWD1
-