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Real Madrid v Atletico de Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Mar, 20:00 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti welcomes Diego Simeone to the Santiago Bernabéu on Tuesday night, as their Real Madrid and Atletico de Madrid charges go head to head in the Champions League. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Champions League clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Real Madrid or A.Madrid are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
51%
9/1010/11
Draw
25%
13/55/2
A.Madrid
24%
31/1016/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Real Madrid 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
A.Madrid 1-0
7%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
A.Madrid 2-1
6%
12/111/1
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
A.Madrid 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
A.Madrid 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Real Madrid 4-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1/119/20
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/54/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
6%
5/6
BTTS - No
49%
10/11
2%
17/20
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/114/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/16/1
Home/draw
76%
2/92/9
Away/draw
49%
10/1110/11
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
3/103/10
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/211/5
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
5/223/10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/103/10
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/115/2
Home DNB
68%
4/114/11
Away DNB
42%
2/119/10
Real Madrid win to nil
29%
9/4-
A.Madrid win to nil
13%
6/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
27%
21/1019/10
Real Madrid / A.Madrid
3%
33/128/1
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Real Madrid
17%
15/418/5
Draw / A.Madrid
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
A.Madrid / Real Madrid
4%
22/118/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

Real Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 2. Real Madrid have conceded 7 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Real Madrid have played 5 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

A.Madrid lay in 5th place on 18 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal86111319 
-
-
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid Away8602818 
Mar 4
Mar 12
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid H8503815 
-
-
Mar 12
Mar 4
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
-
-
-
-
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3A
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Real Madrid have won 5 consecutive european games
5
A.Madrid have won 5 consecutive european games
5
Real Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
5
A.Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Real Madrid 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
Real Madrid1 - 3Milan
Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
Real Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
Real Madrid3 - 3Man City
Real Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
Real Madrid4 - 2Napoli
Real Madrid3 - 0Braga
Real Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
Real Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
Real Madrid2 - 0RB Leipzig
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Real Madrid3 - 1PSG
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 2Union Berlin
HReal Madrid4 - 2Napoli
HReal Madrid3 - 0Braga
A.Madrid 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Salzburg1 - 4A.Madrid
Sparta0 - 6A.Madrid
PSG1 - 2A.Madrid
Benfica4 - 0A.Madrid
Dortmund4 - 2A.Madrid
Inter1 - 0A.Madrid
Feyenoord1 - 3A.Madrid
Celtic2 - 2A.Madrid
Lazio1 - 1A.Madrid
Porto2 - 1A.Madrid
Brugge2 - 0A.Madrid
Leverkusen2 - 0A.Madrid
Man City1 - 0A.Madrid
Man Utd0 - 1A.Madrid
Porto1 - 3A.Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0A.Madrid
Milan1 - 2A.Madrid
Chelsea2 - 0A.Madrid
Salzburg0 - 2A.Madrid
Lok. Moscow1 - 1A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
HA.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
HA.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
AA.Madrid6 - 0Sparta
AA.Madrid2 - 1PSG
HA.Madrid1 - 3Lille
AA.Madrid0 - 4Benfica
HA.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
AA.Madrid2 - 4Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
AA.Madrid3 - 1Feyenoord
HA.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
AA.Madrid2 - 2Celtic
HA.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
AA.Madrid1 - 1Lazio
AA.Madrid1 - 2Porto
HA.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
9
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMD
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
D
1
ATM
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Atletico de Madrid on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Real Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Carlo Ancelotti's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Champions League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Atletico de Madrid makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid 11th A.Madrid 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Real Madrid have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+8
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294864/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.6
1
Attack rating
RMD
ATM
6%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
1
Scored first12
12
Goals scored51
48
Avg. goals scored2.6
2.4
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
22
Avg. XG for2.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
RMD
ATM
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
11
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded24
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+30%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v A.Madrid will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10733
J BellinghamK MbappéJ BellinghamJ Bellingham
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bellingham MID1033
3
-
F Valverde MID102
1
-
L Modric MID103
2
-
K Mbappé FWD1071
-
A Rüdiger DEF92
2
-
F Mendy DEF9
1
-
T Courtois GLK8
-
D Ceballos MID81
1
-
A Tchouameni MID8
2
-
V Junior FWD873
3
-
Rodrygo FWD842
-
B Díaz MID711
-
A Güler MID7
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF61
1
-
L Vázquez DEF611
3
-
F García DEF6
-
E Camavinga MID6
2
-
Endrick FWD61
2
-
Éder Militão DEF4
2
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
J. Naveros DEF1
-
A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8644
J OblakJ ÁlvarezM LlorenteJ Giménez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK8
-
R Paul MID81
1
-
J Álvarez FWD861
-
A Griezmann FWD862
-
S Lino FWD83
-
Koke MID71
-
C Gallagher MID71
-
G Simeone FWD712
1
-
N Molina DEF61
-
J Giménez DEF61
4
-
M Llorente MID624
-
Ángel Correa FWD631
2
-
A Sörloth FWD6
-
J Galán DEF5
1
-
C Lenglet DEF5
-
R Mandava DEF5
1
-
R Riquelme MID5
-
A Witsel DEF4
1
-
P Barrios MID4
1
1
R Normand DEF3
1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF1
-
T Lemar MID1
-