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PSV v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Mar, 20:00 BST, Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

PSV and their manager Peter Bosz will be hoping for victory against Mikel Arteta and his Arsenal side on Tuesday night, as the pair meet at the Philips Stadion in the Champions League. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both PSV and Arsenal's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSV
26%
3.703.90
Draw
24%
3.753.60
Arsenal
50%
1.901.91
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
Arsenal 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Arsenal 1-0
9%
8.007.00
Arsenal 2-0
8%
9.508.50
PSV 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
PSV 1-0
6%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Arsenal 3-1
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
12.009.50
Arsenal 3-0
5%
17.0013.00
PSV 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
Arsenal 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
PSV 3-1
3%
29.0023.00
Arsenal 4-1
2%
29.0023.00
PSV 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.801.80
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.001.95
Home 1st Goal
44%
2.50-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.57-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.751.73
BTTS - No
43%
2.002.00
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7.006.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.50
BTTS - Away Win
25%
3.753.60
Home/draw
50%
1.911.85
Away/draw
74%
1.291.25
Home/away
76%
1.251.29
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.003.60
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.202.90
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.361.36
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.505.25
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.141.13
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.051.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11.009.50
Home DNB
43%
2.752.75
Away DNB
67%
1.401.40
PSV win to nil
12%
7.00-
Arsenal win to nil
25%
3.40-
PSV / PSV
13%
6.506.00
PSV / Arsenal
4%
21.0019.00
PSV / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / PSV
10%
8.508.00
Draw / Arsenal
16%
5.004.80
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
Arsenal / PSV
3%
34.0026.00
Arsenal / Arsenal
27%
3.002.90
Arsenal / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Win / draw / win Champions League table

PSV have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league. PSV have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games. PSV are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn zero and won 1. PSV have conceded 2 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

PSV have played 5 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Arsenal lay in 3rd place on 19 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 16 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSV
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal Away86111319 
Mar 4
Mar 12
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid8602818 
-
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid8503815 
-
-
-
-
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV Home8422414 
-
-
Mar 12
Mar 4
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
-
-
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
PSV have won 4 consecutive home european games
4
Arsenal have won 4 consecutive european games
15
PSV have not lost in 15 consecutive home european games
PSV 14TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at PSV since 2004
PSV
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
PSV
2
D
2
League games at Arsenal since 2004
Arsenal
PSV
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
ARS
3
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Champions League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for PSV makes sense in this context.

Arsenal have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.7 against PSV on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

PSV 14th Arsenal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that PSV will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
PSV have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
-6
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294865/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSV
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
13%
better
PSV
ARS
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
3
Scored first11
10
Goals scored52
37
Avg. goals scored2.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
20
Avg. XG for2.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
PSV
ARS
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded30
16
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+25%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSV v Arsenal will show here when available.

PSV Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9323
M JúniorR FlamingoL JongM Tillman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Júnior DEF10
2
-
G Til MID101
-
J Bakayoko FWD1021
1
-
L Jong FWD1022
2
-
W Benítez GLK9
2
-
R Ledezma DEF9
1
-
O Boscagli DEF9
1
-
R Flamingo DEF931
1
I Saibari MID931
1
-
N Lang FWD912
1
-
R Pepi FWD721
-
R Karsdorp  DEF6
2
-
M Tillman MID632
3
-
J Veerman MID62
2
-
J Schouten MID51
1
-
A Obispo DEF4
-
C Driouech FWD4
-
A Nagalo DEF3
-
I. Babadi MID3
1
-
I Perisic FWD22
-
J Drommel GLK1
-
T Malacia DEF1
-
T Land MID1
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
T ParteyK HavertzL TrossardG Martinelli
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Partey MID8
-
L Trossard FWD812
-
G Martinelli FWD811
2
-
K Havertz FWD842
-
D Raya GLK7
1
-
G Magalhães DEF71
1
-
J Timber DEF71
1
-
D Rice MID711
1
-
W Saliba DEF6
-
M Merino MID61
1
-
R Calafiori DEF5
1
-
J Kiwior DEF5
-
E Nwaneri MID51
-
M Ødegaard MID51
-
Jorginho MID51
-
G Jesus  FWD51
1
-
B Saka FWD542
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF4
-
R Sterling FWD4
2
-
B White DEF3
1
-
O Zinchenko DEF3
-
Neto  GLK1
-
K Tierney DEF1
-