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Monaco v Aston Villa : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Jan, 17:45 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Tuesday evening sees Adi Hutter’s Monaco and Unai Emery’s Aston Villa go up against one another in a Champions League battle at the Stade Louis II. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for each one.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Monaco and A Villa will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 80%. Bookies have it available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Monaco 46%	2.10 16%	2.15 10%
Draw 24%	3.60 6%	3.50
A Villa 30%	3.25 24%	3.25 16%
Draw 1-1 11%	7.00 8%	6.50
Monaco 2-1 9%	9.00 10%	8.00 6%
Monaco 1-0 8%	9.00 10%	8.50
A Villa 2-1 7%	12.00 20%	10.00 11%
Monaco 2-0 7%	11.00 15%	10.00 9%
A Villa 1-0 7%	12.00 9%	10.00 11%
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00 8%	11.00
Monaco 3-1 5%	15.00 21%	13.00 13%
Draw 0-0 5%	13.00	10.00
A Villa 2-0 4%	17.00 13%	15.00 15%
Monaco 3-0 4%	19.00 27%	15.00 12%
Monaco 3-2 3%	23.00 12%	17.00 11%
A Villa 3-1 3%	23.00 10%	19.00 12%
A Villa 3-2 3%	29.00 12%	21.00
Monaco 4-1 2%	34.00 17%	23.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	1.70 3%	1.70 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	2.10 2%	2.05 3%
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.67 9%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.30 12%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	1.62	1.60 3%
BTTS - No 40%	2.20	2.20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 24%	4.00 11%	3.70 12%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50 4%	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 17%	6.00 26%	5.25 9%
Home/draw 70%	1.33 8%	1.33 5%
Away/draw 54%	1.70 13%	1.67 6%
Home/away 76%	1.29 1%	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	1.22	1.22 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	4.33	3.90 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	2.75	2.62 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	1.44	1.44 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	5.00	4.80 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1.17	1.17 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10.00 9%	9.00 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.06 1%	1.05 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	13.00	10.00
Home DNB 63%	1.53 16%	1.55 9%
Away DNB 47%	2.38 30%	2.30 15%
Monaco win to nil 22%	4.00 20%	-
A Villa win to nil 14%	6.00 20%	-
Monaco / Monaco 24%	3.40 15%	3.30 11%
Monaco / A Villa 3%	29.00 12%	23.00 10%
Monaco / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Monaco 15%	5.50 8%	5.25 5%
Draw / A Villa 11%	7.50 15%	7.00 17%
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.25 5%
A Villa / Monaco 4%	23.00	19.00
A Villa / A Villa 15%	5.50 27%	5.00 14%
A Villa / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	12.00

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Monaco A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Liverpool	6	6	0	0	12	18	-	-	-	-
2	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	14	15	w 2-1F	-	-	-
3	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	9	13	-	l 3-0A	-	-
4	Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	7	13	-	-	-	-
5	A Villa Away	6	4	1	1	6	13	Jan 21	-	-	-
6	Inter	6	4	1	1	6	13	-	Jan 29	-	-
7	Brest	6	4	1	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
8	Lille	6	4	1	1	3	13	-	-	-	-
9	Dortmund	6	4	0	2	9	12	-	-	-	-
10	Bayern	6	4	0	2	9	12	-	-	w 1-0F	-
11	A.Madrid	6	4	0	2	4	12	-	-	-	-
12	Milan	6	4	0	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
13	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	9	11	-	-	-	-
14	Juventus	6	3	2	1	4	11	-	-	d 0-00-0	-
15	Benfica	6	3	1	2	3	10	l 2-3F	-	-	-
16	Monaco Home	6	3	1	2	2	10	-	-	-	Jan 21
17	S. Lisbon	6	3	1	2	2	10	-	-	-	-
18	Feyenoord	6	3	1	2	-1	10	-	-	-	-
19	Brugge	6	3	1	2	-2	10	-	-	-	l 1-0A
20	Real Madrid	6	3	0	3	1	9	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	6	2	3	1	0	9	-	-	Jan 29	-
22	Man City	6	2	2	2	4	8	-	-	-	-
23	PSV	6	2	2	2	2	8	-	-	-	-
24	D. Zagreb	6	2	2	2	-5	8	-	d 2-2A	-	-
25	PSG	6	2	1	3	0	7	-	-	-	-
26	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	-3	7	-	-	-	-
27	Shakhtar	6	1	1	4	-8	4	-	-	-	-
28	Sparta	6	1	1	4	-11	4	-	-	-	-
29	Sturm Graz	6	1	0	5	-5	3	-	-	-	-
30	Girona	6	1	0	5	-6	3	-	-	-	-
31	Red Star Bel.	6	1	0	5	-9	3	w 5-1F	-	-	-
32	Salzburg	6	1	0	5	-15	3	-	-	-	-
33	Bologna	6	0	2	4	-6	2	-	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	-
34	RB Leipzig	6	0	0	6	-7	0	-	-	-	w 2-3F
35	S. Bratislava	6	0	0	6	-16	0	-	-	-	-
36	Young Boys	6	0	0	6	-19	0	-	-	-	w 0-3F

	Next round
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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco	2 - 3	Benfica
Monaco	5 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Monaco	2 - 1	Barcelona
Monaco	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Monaco	4 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Monaco	3 - 1	Trabzonspor
Monaco	0 - 1	Ferencvaros
Monaco	1 - 1	PSV
Monaco	1 - 1	Braga
Monaco	2 - 1	R.Sociedad
Monaco	0 - 0	PSV
Monaco	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
Monaco	0 - 1	Shakhtar
Monaco	3 - 1	Sparta
Monaco	0 - 2	Dortmund
Monaco	0 - 4	Brugge
Monaco	1 - 2	A.Madrid
Monaco	1 - 4	RB Leipzig
Monaco	1 - 2	Besiktas
Monaco	0 - 3	Porto

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Monaco	0 - 3	Arsenal
H	Monaco	2 - 3	Benfica
A	Monaco	1 - 0	Bologna
H	Monaco	5 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Monaco	2 - 2	D. Zagreb
H	Monaco	2 - 1	Barcelona
H	Monaco	2 - 3	Leverkusen
A	Monaco	3 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Monaco	4 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Monaco	1 - 1	Ferencvaros
A	Monaco	0 - 4	Trabzonspor
H	Monaco	3 - 1	Trabzonspor
H	Monaco	0 - 1	Ferencvaros
A	Monaco	1 - 0	Red Star Bel.
A	Monaco	2 - 2	PSV
H	Monaco	1 - 1	PSV
H	Monaco	1 - 1	Braga
A	Monaco	0 - 2	Braga
A	Monaco	1 - 1	Sturm Graz
H	Monaco	2 - 1	R.Sociedad

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 18

Conceded

13 / 18

Clean sheets

5 / 18

Failed to score

5 / 18

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 0	A Villa
Young Boys	0 - 3	A Villa
Olympiakos	2 - 0	A Villa
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Ajax	0 - 0	A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	1 - 1	A Villa
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 4	A Villa
L. Warsaw	3 - 2	A Villa
Hibernian	0 - 5	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 1	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 0	A Villa
CSKA M	2 - 0	A Villa
Hamburg	3 - 1	A Villa
Slavia	0 - 1	A Villa
Litex Lovech	1 - 3	A Villa
Litex	1 - 3	A Villa
FH	1 - 4	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	A Villa	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	A Villa	0 - 0	Juventus
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	2 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bayern
A	A Villa	3 - 0	Young Boys
A	A Villa	0 - 2	Olympiakos
H	A Villa	2 - 4	Olympiakos
A	A Villa	1 - 2	Lille
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Lille
H	A Villa	4 - 0	Ajax
A	A Villa	0 - 0	Ajax
A	A Villa	1 - 1	Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
H	A Villa	2 - 1	L. Warsaw
H	A Villa	2 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
A	A Villa	4 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
A	A Villa	2 - 3	L. Warsaw
H	A Villa	3 - 0	Hibernian
A	A Villa	5 - 0	Hibernian

Goal Statistics

Monaco's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Aston Villa have conceded in each of their last 5 Champions League matches. A PG of 1.7 for Adi Hutter's side suggests that run should continue.

	Monaco 16th	A Villa 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Monaco have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season

20%

better

MCO

AVL

view stats

Games scored	16		14
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	12		9
Goals scored	36		26
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		13
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.5
KickOff rating		+20%

better

MCO

AVL

view stats

Games conceded	15		16
Clean sheets	5		4
Conceded first	6		9
Goals conceded	27		29
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Monaco v A Villa will show here when available.

Monaco Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	2
Vanderson	M Akliouche	Vanderson	T Kehrer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Vanderson DEF	6		2	1 -
T Kehrer DEF	6	1	1	2 -
C Henrique DEF	6			-
E Seghir MID	6	1		1 -
M Akliouche MID	6	2	1	-
L Camara MID	6			2 -
A Golovin MID	6		1	-
B Embolo FWD	6	1	2	1 -
G Ilenikhena FWD	5	1		-
T Minamino FWD	5	2	1	-
R Majecki GLK	4			-
W Singo DEF	4	1	1	1 1
M Salisu DEF	4	1		1 -
S Magassa DEF	4	1		-
D Zakaria MID	4	1		2 -
E Matazo MID	3			-
F Balogun FWD	3			1 -
P Köhn GLK	2			-
C Mawissa DEF	2		1	2 -
K Diatta FWD	2			-
K Ouattara DEF	1			-
J Teze DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	7
M Akliouche	M Akliouche	Vanderson	A Golovin

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Akliouche MID	2	5	1	4
T Minamino FWD	2	5	1	5
W Singo DEF	1	1	1	2
E Seghir MID	1	2		2
B Embolo FWD	1	5	2	6
G Ilenikhena FWD	1	1		1
T Kehrer DEF	1	1	1	2
M Salisu DEF	1	2		1
S Magassa DEF	1	1		2
D Zakaria MID	1	2		3
F Balogun FWD		3		2
K Diatta FWD				1
C Mawissa DEF			1
Vanderson DEF		2	2	4
A Golovin MID		1	1	7
L Camara MID				5
C Henrique DEF		1		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
351	18	35
T Kehrer	Vanderson	Vanderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Kehrer DEF	351	8	20
Vanderson DEF	270	18	35
M Akliouche MID	238	8	26
L Camara MID	234	14	35
W Singo DEF	207	6	19
M Salisu DEF	200	4	17
A Golovin MID	196	6	18
D Zakaria MID	195	6	12
E Seghir MID	168	6	19
C Henrique DEF	160	8	9
S Magassa DEF	111	5	10
R Majecki GLK	99		3
T Minamino FWD	94	4	9
B Embolo FWD	84	3	31
C Mawissa DEF	44	1	5
P Köhn GLK	30	1	3
F Balogun FWD	29		5
K Diatta FWD	23	2	4
G Ilenikhena FWD	16		6
E Matazo MID	9	1	2
K Ouattara DEF	6		1
J Teze DEF	1	2	2

A Villa Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	2	3
E Martínez	J Durán	Y Tielemans	D Carlos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Martínez GLK	6			-
P Torres DEF	6		1	1 -
D Carlos DEF	6			3 -
Y Tielemans MID	6	1	2	1 -
M Rogers FWD	6	1	1	-
J Durán FWD	6	3		1 -
E Konsa DEF	5			1 -
I Maatsen DEF	5			1 -
R Barkley MID	5	1		1 -
J McGinn MID	5	2	1	-
O Watkins FWD	5		2	-
L Digne DEF	4			1 -
J Ramsey MID	4	1		-
B Kamara MID	4			1 -
L Bailey FWD	4			1 -
A Onana MID	3	1		-
E Buendía FWD	3			-
J Philogene FWD	3			-
K. Nedeljković DEF	2			-
M Cash DEF	2			-
L Bogarde DEF	1			-
T Mings DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	2	8
J Durán	J McGinn	Y Tielemans	Y Tielemans

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Durán FWD	3	4		2
J McGinn MID	2	5	1	3
A Onana MID	1	2		1
Y Tielemans MID	1	3	2	8
M Rogers FWD	1	4	1	8
R Barkley MID	1	1		1
J Ramsey MID	1	4		3
M Cash DEF		1
J Philogene FWD				1
E Buendía FWD				1
L Digne DEF		1		3
L Bailey FWD				4
B Kamara MID		1		4
P Torres DEF			1	1
O Watkins FWD		2	2	5
I Maatsen DEF				1
D Carlos DEF				3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
327	13	36
Y Tielemans	Y Tielemans	M Rogers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Tielemans MID	327	13	31
D Carlos DEF	308	4	14
P Torres DEF	290	6	14
E Konsa DEF	212	4	20
E Martínez GLK	204	1	4
M Rogers FWD	185	2	36
B Kamara MID	169	5	17
L Digne DEF	140	6	16
J McGinn MID	122	3	13
I Maatsen DEF	98	6	15
L Bailey FWD	81	1	9
A Onana MID	75	5	13
J Ramsey MID	70	1	7
O Watkins FWD	69	1	17
M Cash DEF	56	5	8
R Barkley MID	48	3	4
J Durán FWD	46	3	19
T Mings DEF	36	1	1
J Philogene FWD	21	8	11
K. Nedeljković DEF	16	1	1
E Buendía FWD	15	1	2
L Bogarde DEF	9	3	3

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Atalanta v Sturm Graz

S. Bratislava v Stuttgart

Tue 21st Jan, 20:00

A.Madrid v Leverkusen

RB Leipzig v S. Lisbon

Real Madrid v Salzburg

Wed 22nd Jan, 20:00

Arsenal v D. Zagreb

Wed 22nd Jan, 20:00

Monaco v Aston Villa : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Monaco v A Villa will show here when available.

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