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Liverpool v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 27th Nov, 20:00 BST, Anfield, Liverpool

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Arne Slot’s Liverpool will have the joy of it on Wednesday night. Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid are their opponents at the Anfield. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we have come to the conclusion that this fixture will deliver both joy and sadness to each set of fans. We expect both Liverpool and Real Madrid to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the game seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's our recommendation.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Liverpool 49%	1.95 9%	2.05 18%
Draw 23%	3.75 4%	3.80 9%
Real Madrid 28%	3.50 13%	3.30 26%
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50	7.00 8%
Liverpool 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00 6%
Liverpool 1-0 7%	11.00	9.50 6%
Real Madrid 2-1 7%	12.00	10.00 11%
Liverpool 2-0 7%	12.00 8%	11.00 8%
Draw 2-2 6%	12.00 9%	10.00
Liverpool 3-1 6%	13.00 13%	12.00 20%
Real Madrid 1-0 5%	15.00	12.00 26%
Liverpool 3-0 4%	19.00 10%	15.00 21%
Liverpool 3-2 4%	19.00 10%	15.00 21%
Draw 0-0 4%	17.00	13.00 18%
Real Madrid 2-0 4%	21.00 11%	15.00 25%
Real Madrid 3-1 3%	23.00 10%	17.00 13%
Real Madrid 3-2 3%	26.00 13%	19.00
Liverpool 4-1 3%	26.00 10%	21.00 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	1.57	1.55 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	2.38	2.38 13%
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.57 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.30 5%	-
No 1st Goal 2%	17.00	-
BTTS - Yes 63%	1.50	1.50 4%
BTTS - No 37%	2.50	2.45 9%
BTTS - Home Win 28%	3.40 3%	3.25 23%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.33 3%
BTTS - Away Win 17%	5.50 10%	5.00 15%
Home/draw 72%	1.29 5%	1.33 10%
Away/draw 51%	1.80 8%	1.75 17%
Home/away 77%	1.25 3%	1.25 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.17	1.17 4%
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	5.00	4.60 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	2.38	2.30 12%
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	1.57	1.55 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	4.33	3.90 15%
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1.22	1.22 4%
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	8.00	7.00 18%
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1.08	1.08 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.03 1%	1.02 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	15.00 12%	13.00 18%
Home DNB 65%	1.44 8%	1.50 18%
Away DNB 44%	2.62 16%	2.40 26%
Liverpool win to nil 21%	4.00 11%	-
Real Madrid win to nil 12%	8.00 14%	-
Liverpool / Liverpool 26%	3.10 9%	3.10 21%
Liverpool / Real Madrid 3%	26.00	21.00 11%
Liverpool / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Liverpool 15%	5.50	5.25 13%
Draw / Real Madrid 10%	8.00 7%	7.50 25%
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	5.75 10%
Real Madrid / Liverpool 4%	21.00	17.00 11%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid 15%	5.50 10%	5.00 25%
Real Madrid / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Liverpool Real Madrid
Results by League Table

TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
Liverpool	4	4	0	0	9	12	-	-	-	Nov 27
S. Lisbon	4	3	1	0	7	10	-	-	-	-
Monaco	4	3	1	0	6	10	-	-	-	-
Brest	4	3	1	0	6	10	-	-	-	Jan 29
Inter	4	3	1	0	6	10	-	-	-	-
Barcelona	4	3	0	1	10	9	-	-	-	-
Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	9	-	-	w 5-2A	-
A Villa	4	3	0	1	5	9	-	-	-	-
Atalanta	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	-	-	Dec 10
Man City	4	2	1	1	6	7	-	-	-	-
Juventus	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	-
Arsenal	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	-
Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	1	7	w 4-0F	-	-	-
Lille	4	2	1	1	1	7	Jan 21	-	-	l 1-0A
Celtic	4	2	1	1	0	7	-	-	-	-
D. Zagreb	4	2	1	1	-2	7	-	-	-	-
Bayern	4	2	0	2	4	6	-	-	-	-
Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	2	6	Nov 27	-	-	-
Benfica	4	2	0	2	2	6	-	-	-	-
Milan	4	2	0	2	1	6	-	w 1-3A	l 1-3A	-
Feyenoord	4	2	0	2	-3	6	-	-	-	-
Brugge	4	2	0	2	-3	6	-	-	-	-
A.Madrid	4	2	0	2	-4	6	-	-	-	-
PSV	4	1	2	1	2	5	-	Jan 29	-	-
PSG	4	1	1	2	-2	4	-	-	-	-
Sparta	4	1	1	2	-3	4	-	-	-	-
Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	-3	4	-	-	w 3-1F	-
Shakhtar	4	1	1	2	-3	4	-	-	-	-
Girona	4	1	0	3	-4	3	-	Dec 10	-	-
Salzburg	4	1	0	3	-7	3	-	-	Jan 22	-
Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1	w 2-0F	-	-	-
RB Leipzig	4	0	0	4	-5	0	-	w 0-1F	-	-
Sturm Graz	4	0	0	4	-5	0	-	-	-	-
Young Boys	4	0	0	4	-10	0	-	-	-	-
Red Star Bel.	4	0	0	4	-12	0	-	-	-	-
S. Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-13	0	-	-	-	-

	8Th Finals
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Liverpool have won 5 consecutive european games

Liverpool have not lost in 5 consecutive european games

Liverpool have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool	4 - 0	Leverkusen
Liverpool	2 - 0	Bologna
Liverpool	0 - 3	Atalanta
Liverpool	6 - 1	Sparta
Liverpool	4 - 0	LASK Linz
Liverpool	5 - 1	Toulouse
Liverpool	2 - 0	Union SG
Liverpool	2 - 5	Real Madrid
Liverpool	2 - 0	Napoli
Liverpool	2 - 0	Rangers
Liverpool	2 - 1	Ajax
Liverpool	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Liverpool	2 - 0	Villarreal
Liverpool	3 - 3	Benfica
Liverpool	0 - 1	Inter
Liverpool	2 - 0	Porto
Liverpool	2 - 0	A.Madrid
Liverpool	3 - 2	Milan
Liverpool	0 - 0	Real Madrid
Liverpool	2 - 0	RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Liverpool	4 - 0	Leverkusen
A	Liverpool	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Bologna
A	Liverpool	3 - 1	Milan
A	Liverpool	1 - 0	Atalanta
H	Liverpool	0 - 3	Atalanta
H	Liverpool	6 - 1	Sparta
A	Liverpool	5 - 1	Sparta
A	Liverpool	1 - 2	Union SG
H	Liverpool	4 - 0	LASK Linz
A	Liverpool	2 - 3	Toulouse
H	Liverpool	5 - 1	Toulouse
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Union SG
A	Liverpool	3 - 1	LASK Linz
A	Liverpool	0 - 1	Real Madrid
H	Liverpool	2 - 5	Real Madrid
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Napoli
A	Liverpool	3 - 0	Ajax
A	Liverpool	7 - 1	Rangers
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Rangers

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Dortmund	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Bayern	2 - 2	Real Madrid
Man City	1 - 1	Real Madrid
RB Leipzig	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Union Berlin	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Braga	1 - 2	Real Madrid
Napoli	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Man City	4 - 0	Real Madrid
Chelsea	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Liverpool	2 - 5	Real Madrid
RB Leipzig	3 - 2	Real Madrid
Shakhtar	1 - 1	Real Madrid
Celtic	0 - 3	Real Madrid
Liverpool	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Man City	4 - 3	Real Madrid
Chelsea	1 - 3	Real Madrid
PSG	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Sheriff	0 - 3	Real Madrid
Shakhtar	0 - 5	Real Madrid

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Real Madrid	1 - 3	Milan
H	Real Madrid	5 - 2	Dortmund
A	Real Madrid	0 - 1	Lille
H	Real Madrid	3 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Real Madrid	2 - 0	Dortmund
H	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Bayern
A	Real Madrid	2 - 2	Bayern
A	Real Madrid	1 - 1	Man City
H	Real Madrid	3 - 3	Man City
H	Real Madrid	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Real Madrid	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
A	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Union Berlin
H	Real Madrid	4 - 2	Napoli
H	Real Madrid	3 - 0	Braga
A	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Braga
A	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Napoli
H	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Real Madrid	0 - 4	Man City
H	Real Madrid	1 - 1	Man City
A	Real Madrid	2 - 0	Chelsea

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Liverpool

Real Madrid

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

3 / 5

LIV

RMD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
	2 - 5	Real Madrid
	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Real Madrid
Liverpool	4 - 0

Real Madrid

Liverpool

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

1 / 5

LIV

RMD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid	1 - 0
Real Madrid	3 - 1
Real Madrid	3 - 1
Real Madrid	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Liverpool

Goal Statistics

Liverpool have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Real Madrid on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Liverpool's defensive record is to be admired, Arne Slot's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Champions League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Real Madrid makes sense in this context.

	Liverpool 1st	Real Madrid 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 75% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+29 Real Madrid have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	2.3 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season

14%

better

LIV

RMD

view stats

Games scored	19		17
Failed to score	1		3
Scored first	15		13
Goals scored	48		45
Avg. goals scored	2.4		2.3
Avg. shots per game	13		13
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	18		18
Avg. XG for	2.3		1.9
KickOff rating		+14%

21%

better

LIV

RMD

view stats

Games conceded	10		12
Clean sheets	10		8
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	15		22
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		8
Conversion rate against	9%		12%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+21%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Liverpool v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Liverpool Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	4	2
T Alexander-Arnold	L Díaz	M Salah	I Konaté

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tsimikas DEF	4		1	1 -
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	4		1	-
V Dijk DEF	4	1		1 -
I Konaté DEF	4	1		2 -
D Szoboszlai MID	4	1	1	-
R Gravenberch MID	4			-
A Allister MID	4	1		2 -
L Díaz FWD	4	3		-
M Salah FWD	4	1	4	-
D Núñez FWD	4	1		-
C Gakpo FWD	4	1	1	-
A Robertson DEF	3			1 -
C Jones MID	3		1	-
C Kelleher GLK	2			-
Alisson GLK	2			-
J Gomez DEF	2			-
C Bradley DEF	2			-
D Jota FWD	2			-
J Quansah DEF	1			-
W Endo MID	1			-
F Chiesa FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	4	6
L Díaz	M Salah	M Salah	A Allister

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Díaz FWD	3	3		2
C Gakpo FWD	1	6	1	3
V Dijk DEF	1	2		1
I Konaté DEF	1	1
D Szoboszlai MID	1	3	1	5
A Allister MID	1	2		6
M Salah FWD	1	6	4	5
D Núñez FWD	1	5		1
J Gomez DEF				1
D Jota FWD		1		2
K Tsimikas DEF			1	2
C Jones MID		1	1	1
A Robertson DEF				2
T Alexander-Arnold DEF			1	2
R Gravenberch MID				3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
287	9	19
V Dijk	R Gravenberch	C Gakpo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Dijk DEF	287	1	9
I Konaté DEF	217	2	13
R Gravenberch MID	201	9	17
A Allister MID	185	6	13
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	177	7	9
K Tsimikas DEF	168	2	5
D Szoboszlai MID	152	2	9
M Salah FWD	98	2	7
Alisson GLK	81
L Díaz FWD	79	3	14
C Gakpo FWD	78	4	19
C Kelleher GLK	74		1
C Jones MID	50		5
A Robertson DEF	45	1	2
D Núñez FWD	39	1	6
J Gomez DEF	19	2	2
D Jota FWD	17	1	1
C Bradley DEF	6	1	2
J Quansah DEF	3
W Endo MID	2	2	2

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	4	1	2
A Rüdiger	V Junior	J Bellingham	Éder Militão

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Rüdiger DEF	4	2		1 -
Éder Militão DEF	4			2 -
F Mendy DEF	4			-
J Bellingham MID	4		1	1 -
F Valverde MID	4			1 -
A Tchouameni MID	4			-
L Modric MID	4		1	2 -
V Junior FWD	4	4		2 -
K Mbappé FWD	4	1	1	-
L Vázquez DEF	3	1		2 -
F García DEF	3			-
E Camavinga MID	3			2 -
A Güler MID	3			-
Rodrygo FWD	3		1	-
A Lunin GLK	2			-
T Courtois GLK	2			-
D Carvajal DEF	2		1	-
D Ceballos MID	2			-
Endrick FWD	2	1		1 -
B Díaz MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	1	8
V Junior	V Junior	J Bellingham	J Bellingham

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Junior FWD	4	10		7
A Rüdiger DEF	2	3		1
Endrick FWD	1	2		1
K Mbappé FWD	1	9	1	5
L Vázquez DEF	1	2		3
A Güler MID		1		2
D Ceballos MID				1
D Carvajal DEF			1	3
Rodrygo FWD		1	1	3
F García DEF				1
E Camavinga MID				3
Éder Militão DEF				2
L Modric MID		1	1	5
A Tchouameni MID		2		1
F Valverde MID				2
J Bellingham MID		2	1	8
F Mendy DEF				2
B Díaz MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
253	10	26
A Rüdiger	J Bellingham	J Bellingham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Rüdiger DEF	253	6	10
Éder Militão DEF	182	2	10
F Valverde MID	170	5	9
J Bellingham MID	165	10	26
L Modric MID	164	3	5
F Mendy DEF	135	2	6
L Vázquez DEF	135	4	5
A Tchouameni MID	134	8	14
V Junior FWD	128	3	19
D Carvajal DEF	119	7	12
E Camavinga MID	87	7	16
Rodrygo FWD	85	2	12
K Mbappé FWD	71	2	12
T Courtois GLK	56
F García DEF	52	2	2
D Ceballos MID	35		1
A Güler MID	26		4
A Lunin GLK	22		2
B Díaz MID	19		2
Endrick FWD	13	2	4

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sparta v A.Madrid

Tue 26th Nov, 17:45

S. Bratislava v Milan

Tue 26th Nov, 17:45

Man City v Feyenoord

Tue 26th Nov, 20:00

Young Boys v Atalanta

Tue 26th Nov, 20:00

S. Lisbon v Arsenal

Tue 26th Nov, 20:00

Leverkusen v Salzburg

Red Star Bel. v Stuttgart

Liverpool v Real Madrid

Wed 27th Nov, 20:00

Liverpool v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Liverpool v Real Madrid will show here when available.

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