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Lille v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

We’ve Champions League action to enjoy on Wednesday evening, as Bruno Genesio and his Lille side host Niko Kalliokoski’s Borussia Dortmund at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Lille and Dortmund will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Bruno Genesio or Niko Kalliokoski has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lille
37%
2.62
1%
2.70
3%
Draw
25%
3.40
6%
3.40
8%
Dortmund
37%
2.62
5%
2.50
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
8%
Dortmund 1-0
9%
9.00
10%
8.00
6%
Lille 1-0
9%
9.00
10%
8.50
Lille 2-1
8%
10.009.00
Dortmund 2-1
8%
10.008.50
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00
15%
9.00
18%
Dortmund 2-0
6%
13.0011.00
Lille 2-0
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
Dortmund 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Lille 3-1
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Dortmund 3-0
3%
26.0019.00
Lille 3-0
3%
26.0021.00
11%
Lille 3-2
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
Dortmund 3-2
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.91
10%
1.83
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.91
9%
1.91
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.95
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.95
7%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70
5%
1.70
3%
BTTS - No
44%
2.05
7%
2.05
5%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5.00
5%
4.80
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.33
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5.00
11%
4.50
4%
Home/draw
63%
1.44
4%
1.50
2%
Away/draw
63%
1.44
4%
1.44
3%
Home/away
75%
1.30
1%
1.30
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29
3%
1.29
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
6%
3.40
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.20
16%
3.00
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.36
6%
1.35
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.00
20%
5.75
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.12
4%
1.12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.00
18%
11.00
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
1.03
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
1.05
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
15%
9.50
14%
Home DNB
55%
1.831.91
Away DNB
55%
1.831.80
Lille win to nil
19%
4.50
10%
-
Dortmund win to nil
19%
4.50
10%
-
Lille / Lille
19%
4.334.20
5%
Lille / Dortmund
3%
26.0021.00
11%
Lille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Lille
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw / Dortmund
14%
6.005.75
Draw / Draw
16%
5.00
9%
5.00
5%
Dortmund / Lille
3%
26.0021.00
Dortmund / Dortmund
19%
4.33
8%
3.90
3%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Lille have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Champions League league table. Lille are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 22 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Lille have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Dortmund are in 10th position in the Champions League on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season. Dortmund are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Dortmund have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lille
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal86111319 
-
-
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid8602818 
-
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille Home8512716 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 12
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund Away85031015 
Mar 12
d
 
1-1A
-
-
11
Real Madrid8503815 
-
-
-
-
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
-
-
-
-
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
-
-
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
12
Lille have not lost in 12 consecutive home european games
Lille 7TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Dortmund 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goal Statistics
Lille 7th Dortmund 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Lille have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294875/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
13%
better
LIL
BVB
view stats
Games scored19
16
Failed to score1
4
Scored first12
12
Goals scored35
33
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
18
Avg. XG for1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
6%
better
LIL
BVB
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded24
28
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Lille v Dortmund will show here when available.

Lille Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13844
L ChevalierJ DavidJ DavidA Mandi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK13
1
-
B Diakité DEF13
2
-
Alexsandro DEF131
3
-
J David FWD1384
2
-
T Meunier DEF121
3
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF121
-
B André MID12
3
-
O Sahraoui FWD1221
-
R Cabella MID1011
1
-
N Mukau MID102
1
-
H Haraldsson MID921
2
-
E Zhegrova FWD941
2
-
M Bakker DEF811
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID81
1
-
A Mandi DEF6
2
2
T Santos DEF6
2
-
A Gomes MID61
2
1
M Fernandez FWD61
-
Ismaily DEF5
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID3
-
A Gomes MID1
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
111053
N SchlotterbeckS Guirassy J BrandtR Bensebaini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Schlotterbeck DEF111
-
P Groß MID1112
2
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD114
-
S Guirassy  FWD11103
1
-
G Kobel GLK10
-
J Ryerson DEF10
2
-
J Brandt MID105
-
M Sabitzer  MID10
2
-
E Can MID1011
1
-
R Bensebaini DEF92
3
-
M Beier FWD9
2
-
Y Couto DEF7
2
-
W Anton DEF7
-
F Nmecha MID711
1
-
K Adeyemi  FWD751
1
-
J Duranville FWD7
-
G Reyna MID61
-
D Svensson DEF3
-
N Süle DEF3
-
A Meyer GLK1
-
C Chukwuemeka MID1
-
S Özcan MID1
-
W Campbell FWD1
-