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Bayer Leverkusen v Milan : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 1st Oct, 20:00 BST, BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen are in Champions League action on Tuesday night, as Xabi Alonso aims to beat Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and his Milan side at the BayArena. Analysing both sides' last 20 Champions League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leverkusen
51%
-19/20
7%
Draw
22%
-27/10
3%
Milan
27%
-27/10
12%
Draw 1-1
9%
-11/2
Leverkusen 2-1
9%
-13/2
6%
Leverkusen 1-0
7%
-7/1
7%
Leverkusen 2-0
7%
-17/2
Milan 2-1
7%
-10/1
10%
Draw 2-2
7%
-10/1
Leverkusen 3-1
6%
-11/1
8%
Milan 1-0
5%
-10/1
16%
Leverkusen 3-0
4%
-12/1
13%
Leverkusen 3-2
4%
-16/1
11%
Draw 0-0
3%
-10/1
10%
Milan 2-0
3%
-16/1
13%
Leverkusen 4-1
3%
-20/1
9%
Milan 3-1
3%
-20/1
11%
Milan 3-2
3%
-22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
-13/20
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
-11/10
8%
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
65%
-8/13
3%
BTTS - No
35%
-6/5
5%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
-12/5
11%
BTTS - Draw
18%
-10/3
BTTS - Away Win
17%
-19/4
5%
Home/draw
73%
-2/7
3%
Away/draw
49%
-5/6
6%
Home/away
78%
-2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
-2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
-3/1
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
-8/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
-4/9
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
-7/2
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
-2/11
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
-15/2
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
-1/18
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
-10/1
10%
Home DNB
67%
-2/5
7%
Away DNB
42%
-13/8
10%
Leverkusen win to nil
22%
--
Milan win to nil
10%
--
Leverkusen / Leverkusen
26%
-2/1
8%
Leverkusen / Milan
3%
-22/1
Leverkusen / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Leverkusen
16%
-19/5
4%
Draw / Milan
10%
-13/2
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
-9/2
10%
Milan / Leverkusen
5%
-16/1
11%
Milan / Milan
13%
-19/4
10%
Milan / Draw
6%
-11/1
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Win / draw / win form
3
Milan have lost 3 consecutive european games
9
Leverkusen have not lost in 9 consecutive home european games
Leverkusen
20 games
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeverkusen0 - 3Atalanta
HLeverkusen2 - 2Roma
ALeverkusen2 - 0Roma
ALeverkusen1 - 1West Ham
HLeverkusen2 - 0West Ham
HLeverkusen3 - 2Qarabag
ALeverkusen2 - 2Qarabag
HLeverkusen5 - 1Molde
ALeverkusen2 - 0Häcken
ALeverkusen1 - 0Qarabag
HLeverkusen5 - 1Qarabag
ALeverkusen2 - 1Molde
HLeverkusen4 - 0Häcken
HLeverkusen0 - 0Roma
ALeverkusen0 - 1Roma
ALeverkusen4 - 1Union SG
HLeverkusen1 - 1Union SG
ALeverkusen2 - 0Ferencvaros
HLeverkusen2 - 0Ferencvaros
ALeverkusen3 - 2Monaco
Milan
20 games
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan1 - 3Liverpool
AMilan1 - 2Roma
HMilan0 - 1Roma
AMilan3 - 1Slavia
HMilan4 - 2Slavia
AMilan2 - 3Rennes
HMilan3 - 0Rennes
AMilan2 - 1Newcastle
HMilan1 - 3Dortmund
HMilan2 - 1PSG
AMilan0 - 3PSG
AMilan0 - 0Dortmund
HMilan0 - 0Newcastle
AMilan0 - 1Inter
HMilan0 - 2Inter
AMilan1 - 1Napoli
HMilan1 - 0Napoli
AMilan0 - 0Spurs
HMilan1 - 0Spurs
HMilan4 - 0Salzburg
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 7 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Leverkusen Milan
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-1
Leverkusen’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287609/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leverkusen
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
2
1.4
Attack rating
14%
better
B04
ACM
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score1
2
Scored first14
11
Goals scored48
43
Avg. goals scored2.4
2.2
Avg. shots per game15
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for2.3
2
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
30%
better
B04
ACM
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded20
32
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+30%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Leverkusen v Milan will show here when available.

Leverkusen Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Milan Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
M Maignan C PulisicÁlvaro MorataD Calabria
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK1
-
L. Torriani GLK1
-
S Pavlovic DEF1
-
T Hernández DEF1
-
D Calabria DEF1
1
-
E Royal DEF1
-
F Tomori DEF1
-
M Gabbia DEF1
-
T Reijnders MID1
-
Y Fofana MID1
1
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID1
-
T Abraham FWD1
-
C Pulisic FWD11
-
Álvaro Morata FWD11
-
N Okafor FWD1
-
R Leão FWD1
-