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Benfica v Bologna : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Dec, 20:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Wednesday night at the Estádio da Luz, and it’s a Champions League clash between Benfica and Bologna. Roger Schmidt and Vincenzo Italiano going all-out to guide their side to the win. Statistics for our tip of Benfica to win are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

We're predicting Benfica will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Wednesday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when the referee blows the final whistle at Estádio da Luz.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
62%
4/7
6%
3/5
2%
Draw
21%
31/10
5%
16/5
Bologna
17%
9/2
16%
17/4
9%
Benfica 2-0
10%
7/113/2
7%
Benfica 1-0
10%
13/26/1
8%
Benfica 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
Benfica 3-0
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
Benfica 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Bologna 1-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
Bologna 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
Benfica 4-0
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
Benfica 4-1
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Benfica 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Bologna 2-0
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Benfica 4-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
4%
8/11
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/10
5%
1/1
3%
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
11/5
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - No
47%
19/2010/11
3%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
9/4
7%
11/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
Home/draw
83%
1/7
3%
2/13
2%
Away/draw
38%
13/10
7%
13/10
3%
Home/away
79%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
8%
14/5
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4
8%
7/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/9
3%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1
9%
4/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/6
3%
2/13
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/117/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Home DNB
77%
2/9
5%
2/9
2%
Away DNB
31%
3/1
14%
29/10
7%
Benfica win to nil
34%
13/8
5%
-
Bologna win to nil
8%
9/1
11%
-
Benfica / Benfica
34%
7/5
8%
11/8
3%
Benfica / Bologna
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
15%
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Benfica
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
Draw / Bologna
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
9%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
Bologna / Benfica
4%
20/116/1
Bologna / Bologna
9%
17/2
19%
7/1
6%
Bologna / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Bologna
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool55001115 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
2
Inter5410713 
-
-
-
-
3
Barcelona54011312 
Jan 21
-
-
-
4
Dortmund54011012 
-
-
Jan 21
-
5
Atalanta53201011 
-
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen5311610 
-
-
-
-
7
Arsenal5311610 
-
-
-
-
8
Monaco5311510 
-
w
 
2-3A
l
 
0-1A
-
9
A Villa5311510 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
10
S. Lisbon5311310 
-
-
-
Jan 29
11
Brest5311310 
-
-
-
-
12
Lille5311210 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
13
Bayern530259 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
14
Benfica 530239 
-
-
-
Dec 11
15
A.Madrid530229 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
16
Milan530229 
-
-
-
-
17
Man City522168 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV522138 
-
-
-
-
19
Juventus522128 
-
Jan 29
-
-
20
Celtic522108 
-
-
-
-
21
Feyenoord5212-37 
l
 
1-3A
-
-
-
22
Brugge5212-37 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb5212-57 
-
-
-
-
24
Real Madrid520306 
-
-
-
-
25
PSG5113-34 
-
-
-
-
26
Shakhtar5113-44 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
27
Stuttgart5113-74 
-
-
-
-
28
Sparta5113-94 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz5104-43 
-
-
-
-
30
Girona5104-53 
-
-
-
-
31
Red Star Bel.5104-83 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
-
32
Salzburg5104-123 
-
-
-
-
33
Bologna 5014-61 
Dec 11
-
-
-
34
RB Leipzig5005-60 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava5005-140 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys5005-150 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
Bologna have lost 4 consecutive european games
5
Bologna have not won in 5 consecutive european games
Benfica 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica1 - 3Feyenoord
Benfica4 - 0A.Madrid
Benfica2 - 1Marseille
Benfica2 - 2Rangers
Benfica2 - 1Toulouse
Benfica3 - 3Inter
Benfica0 - 1R.Sociedad
Benfica0 - 2Salzburg
Benfica0 - 2Inter
Benfica5 - 1Brugge
Benfica4 - 3Juventus
Benfica1 - 1PSG
Benfica2 - 0M. Haifa
Benfica3 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Benfica4 - 1Midtjylland
Benfica1 - 3Liverpool
Benfica2 - 2Ajax
Benfica2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Benfica0 - 4Bayern
Benfica3 - 0Barcelona
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica3 - 2Monaco
ABenfica0 - 1Bayern
HBenfica1 - 3Feyenoord
HBenfica4 - 0A.Madrid
ABenfica2 - 1Red Star Bel.
ABenfica0 - 1Marseille
HBenfica2 - 1Marseille
ABenfica1 - 0Rangers
HBenfica2 - 2Rangers
ABenfica0 - 0Toulouse
HBenfica2 - 1Toulouse
ABenfica3 - 1Salzburg
HBenfica3 - 3Inter
ABenfica1 - 3R.Sociedad
HBenfica0 - 1R.Sociedad
ABenfica0 - 1Inter
HBenfica0 - 2Salzburg
ABenfica3 - 3Inter
HBenfica0 - 2Inter
HBenfica5 - 1Brugge
Bologna 33RD
2 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
0
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
0 / 2
Conceded
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
Failed to score
2 / 2
Lost
2
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 0Bologna
Liverpool2 - 0Bologna
Goals: Scored
1
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
1 / 5
Conceded
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
Failed to score
4 / 5
D
1
Lost
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBologna1 - 2Lille
HBologna0 - 1Monaco
ABologna0 - 2A Villa
ABologna0 - 2Liverpool
HBologna0 - 0Shakhtar
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Champions League games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Bologna fans, as should a 5 Champions League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Benfica 14th Bologna 33rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Bologna scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Benfica have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Bologna’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
0.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287691/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Bologna
2
0.9
Attack rating
37%
better
BEF
BOL
view stats
Games scored17
12
Failed to score3
8
Scored first10
10
Goals scored50
21
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
13%
better
BEF
BOL
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded19
28
Avg. goals conceded1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+13%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Bologna will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
A TrubinO KökcüÁngel Di MaríaÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK5
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF5
2
-
N Otamendi DEF5
-
O Kökcü MID52
1
-
F Aursnes MID51
2
-
V Pavlidis FWD51
-
Z Amdouni FWD51
1
-
Ángel Di María FWD512
-
A Bah DEF411
-
T Araújo DEF4
-
J Beste DEF42
-
Florentino MID4
1
-
B Rollheiser FWD4
-
A Silva DEF3
-
L Barreiro MID3
-
A Cabral FWD31
-
I Kaboré DEF2
2
-
R Sanches  MID2
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD1
-
Bologna Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5112
L SkorupskiJ LucumíC LykogiannisS Posch
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Skorupski GLK5
-
J Lucumí DEF51
1
-
S Posch DEF5
2
-
S Beukema DEF5
1
-
R Freuler MID5
1
-
G Fabbian MID5
1
-
R Orsolini FWD5
1
-
D Ndoye FWD5
-
T Dallinga FWD5
-
S Junior FWD5
-
J Miranda DEF4
-
N Moro MID4
1
-
S Castro FWD4
2
-
C Lykogiannis DEF31
2
-
J Odgaard FWD3
1
-
L Ferguson MID2
-
K Urbański MID2
-
T Pobega MID2
-
N Casale DEF1
-
E Holm DEF1
-
M Aebischer MID1
1
-