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Benfica v FC Barcelona : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 5th Mar, 20:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Champions League match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Wednesday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Benfica and Barcelona to score 3 goals or more between them during the regulation 90 minutes. 2 goals or less would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting both teams have goals in them, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
27%
27/1012/5
Draw
21%
11/43/1
Barcelona
51%
10/1119/20
Barcelona 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
7/113/2
Draw 2-2
7%
10/19/1
Benfica 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Barcelona 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Barcelona 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Barcelona 1-0
6%
12/19/1
Barcelona 3-2
5%
16/112/1
Benfica 1-0
4%
18/112/1
Barcelona 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Barcelona 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Benfica 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Benfica 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
4/94/9
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
7/413/8
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/8-
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/7-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
67%
2/54/9
BTTS - No
33%
7/413/8
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/219/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
31%
2/12/1
Home/draw
49%
5/617/20
Away/draw
73%
2/73/10
Home/away
79%
1/42/9
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/82/15
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/19/2
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
11/1021/20
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
8/117/10
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
5/223/10
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
3/103/10
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
5/119/4
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/81/9
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/80
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Home DNB
42%
13/86/4
Away DNB
66%
4/94/9
Benfica win to nil
10%
8/1-
Barcelona win to nil
20%
10/3-
Benfica / Benfica
15%
9/217/4
Benfica / Barcelona
5%
18/114/1
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Benfica
10%
15/213/2
Draw / Barcelona
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
Barcelona / Benfica
3%
25/120/1
Barcelona / Barcelona
27%
2/119/10
Barcelona / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Benfica have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Benfica have conceded 6 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Benfica have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Barcelona lay in 2nd place on 19 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Barcelona have conceded 13 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Barcelona have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 3.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Barcelona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona Away86111519 
Mar 5
Mar 11
-
-
3
Arsenal86111319 
-
-
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid8602818 
-
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid8503815 
-
-
-
-
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
-
-
-
-
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica Home8413413 
-
-
Mar 11
Mar 5
17
Monaco8413013 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
-
-
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Barcelona have won 3 consecutive away european games
7
Barcelona have not lost in 7 consecutive european games
Benfica 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Barcelona 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2006
Benfica
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
BEF
1
D
1
BCN
2
League games at Barcelona since 2006
Barcelona
Benfica
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
1 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
2 / 3
D
2
BCN
1
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.5 against FC Barcelona on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

FC Barcelona's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 7 consecutive Champions League matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Benfica 16th Barcelona 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Barcelona will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Benfica have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Barcelona’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294869/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.5
2.1
Attack rating
BEF
BCN
10%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score2
2
Scored first15
15
Goals scored39
52
Avg. goals scored2
2.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for19
23
Avg. XG for2
2.4
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
19%
better
BEF
BCN
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded22
23
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Barcelona will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10724
A TrubinV PavlidisV PavlidisÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK10
-
N Otamendi DEF10
2
-
O Kökcü MID104
2
-
F Aursnes MID101
2
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD104
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD101
2
-
V Pavlidis FWD1072
1
-
T Araújo DEF9
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF92
4
-
Ángel Di María FWD912
-
Florentino MID8
3
-
A Silva DEF7
-
A Bah DEF712
2
-
L Barreiro MID7
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD5
-
A Cabral FWD51
1
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID2
-
R Sanches  MID2
1
-
A Belotti FWD2
-
S Dahl DEF1
-
Barcelona Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8951
J KoundéR Lewandowski RaphinhaP. Cubarsí Paredes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF8
1
-
J Koundé DEF83
1
-
Pedri MID82
-
M Torras MID82
1
-
R Lewandowski  FWD89
-
Raphinha FWD885
1
-
L Yamal FWD722
-
I Martínez  DEF621
1
-
A Balde DEF61
1
-
F Jong MID6
1
-
F. Lopez Marin MID613
1
-
I Peña GLK5
-
Gavi MID5
1
-
F Torres FWD521
1
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF41
-
E García DEF41
1
D Olmo MID411
-
P Victor FWD4
-
W Szczęsny GLK2
-
R Araújo DEF21
-
P Torre MID2
-
A Fati FWD2
-
M Stegen GLK1
-
H. García DEF1
-