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Benfica v FC Barcelona : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Jan, 20:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Hans-Dieter Flick takes his FC Barcelona charges to the Estádio da Luz in the Champions League on Tuesday night, with Roger Schmidt's Benfica waiting for them. We've got bespoke statistics for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Tuesday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Benfica and Barcelona to score 3 goals or more between them during the regulation 90 mins. 2 goals or less would mean it's a losing tip but, with statistics below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Barcelona coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
31%
3.20
11%
3.20
3%
Draw
22%
4.10
11%
3.90
3%
Barcelona
47%
2.00
5%
2.05
Draw 1-1
9%
8.50
13%
7.50
7%
Barcelona 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Benfica 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
Draw 2-2
7%
12.009.50
5%
Barcelona 3-1
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Barcelona 1-0
6%
13.00
37%
11.00
16%
Barcelona 2-0
6%
13.00
18%
12.00
9%
Barcelona 3-2
5%
17.00
19%
13.00
13%
Benfica 1-0
5%
17.00
31%
13.00
8%
Benfica 3-1
4%
21.00
19%
17.00
Benfica 3-2
4%
21.00
28%
17.00
11%
Barcelona 3-0
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
13%
Benfica 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Draw 0-0
3%
23.00
53%
15.00
15%
Barcelona 4-1
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
1.44
14%
1.40
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
2.75
25%
2.70
13%
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.25
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.62
3%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
23.00
53%
-
BTTS - Yes
68%
1.40
11%
1.40
7%
BTTS - No
32%
2.75
22%
2.75
12%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.75
21%
4.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
29%
3.10
11%
3.00
8%
Home/draw
53%
1.80
2%
1.75
Away/draw
69%
1.36
5%
1.33
Home/away
78%
1.22
5%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.12
7%
1.12
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
6.00
33%
5.50
20%
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
2.00
24%
2.00
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
1.80
20%
1.73
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
3.40
24%
3.25
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1.33
11%
1.30
7%
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
6.00
33%
5.50
21%
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1.12
5%
1.12
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02
1%
1.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
19.00
27%
15.00
15%
Home DNB
47%
2.38
9%
2.38
1%
Away DNB
62%
1.53
6%
1.53
2%
Benfica win to nil
11%
8.00
14%
-
Barcelona win to nil
18%
4.50
20%
-
Benfica / Benfica
16%
5.00
17%
5.00
Benfica / Barcelona
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Benfica / Draw
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
Draw / Benfica
11%
8.007.00
Draw / Barcelona
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
5%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
17%
6.00
4%
Barcelona / Benfica
4%
23.00
21%
19.00
10%
Barcelona / Barcelona
25%
3.20
3%
3.20
3%
Barcelona / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Barcelona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool66001218 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona Away65011415 
Jan 21
-
-
-
3
Arsenal6411913 
-
-
-
-
4
Leverkusen6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
A Villa6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Inter6411613 
-
-
-
-
7
Brest6411413 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
8
Lille6411313 
-
-
-
-
9
Dortmund6402912 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3F
10
Bayern6402912 
-
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
-
11
A.Madrid6402412 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
12
Milan6402312 
-
-
-
-
13
Atalanta6321911 
-
-
Jan 29
-
14
Juventus6321411 
-
Jan 29
-
-
15
Benfica Home6312310 
-
-
-
Jan 21
16
Monaco6312210 
-
w
 
2-3A
-
l
 
2-1A
17
S. Lisbon6312210 
-
-
-
-
18
Feyenoord6312-110 
l
 
1-3A
-
-
-
19
Brugge6312-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Real Madrid630319 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic623109 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City622248 
-
-
-
-
23
PSV622228 
-
-
-
-
24
D. Zagreb6222-58 
-
-
-
-
25
PSG621307 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart6213-37 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar6114-84 
-
-
-
-
28
Sparta6114-114 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz6105-53 
-
-
-
-
30
Girona6105-63 
-
-
-
-
31
Red Star Bel.6105-93 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
w
 
2-5F
32
Salzburg6105-153 
-
-
-
-
33
Bologna6024-62 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
34
RB Leipzig6006-70 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava6006-160 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys6006-190 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Barcelona have won 5 consecutive european games
5
Barcelona have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Benfica 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Barcelona 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2006
Benfica
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
BEF
1
D
1
BCN
1
League games at Barcelona since 2006
Barcelona
Benfica
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
1 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
2 / 3
D
2
BCN
1
Goal Statistics

Benfica's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday night, not least because FC Barcelona have conceded in each of their last 8 Champions League games. A PG of 1.6 for Roger Schmidt's side suggests that run should continue.

FC Barcelona's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Benfica 15th Barcelona 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Barcelona have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287701/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.6
2
Attack rating
BEF
BCN
21%
better
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score3
2
Scored first10
16
Goals scored44
58
Avg. goals scored2.2
2.9
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for19
24
Avg. XG for2
2.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
10%
better
BEF
BCN
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded16
23
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
18%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+10%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Barcelona will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
A TrubinO KökcüÁngel Di MaríaÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK6
-
N Otamendi DEF6
1
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF6
2
-
O Kökcü MID62
2
-
F Aursnes MID61
2
-
Z Amdouni FWD61
1
-
Ángel Di María FWD612
-
V Pavlidis FWD61
1
-
A Bah DEF511
1
-
T Araújo DEF5
-
J Beste DEF52
-
Florentino MID5
2
-
A Cabral FWD41
-
B Rollheiser FWD4
-
A Silva DEF3
-
L Barreiro MID3
-
I Kaboré DEF2
2
-
R Sanches  MID2
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD1
-
Barcelona Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6731
J KoundéR Lewandowski J KoundéI Martínez 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Koundé DEF63
-
I Martínez  DEF621
1
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF6
1
-
M Torras MID62
1
-
Pedri MID61
-
R Lewandowski  FWD67
-
Raphinha FWD663
1
-
I Peña GLK5
-
F Jong MID5
-
L Yamal FWD512
-
A Balde DEF41
1
-
D Olmo MID411
-
F. Lopez Marin MID413
-
P Victor FWD4
-
Gavi MID3
-
F Torres FWD32
1
-
E García DEF2
1
P Torre MID2
-
A Fati FWD2
-
M Stegen GLK1
-
H. García DEF1
-