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Atletico de Madrid v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 12th Mar, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Home advantage can be vital in the Champions League, and Diego Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid will have the luxury of it on Wednesday night. Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid are their opponents at the Wanda Metropolitano. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping both teams to score, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Real Madrid and A.Madrid fans should get a chance to celebrate as their sides go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two teams have goals in them, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookmakers odds are not finding much to pick between the sides, a sign of the qualities (or lack of) each side possesses. Both teams to score is the way to go here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
38%
2.50
5%
2.45
6%
Draw
24%
3.503.50
Real Madrid
37%
2.70
8%
2.75
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
9.008.50
6%
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
10.009.00
A.Madrid 1-0
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0010.00
A.Madrid 2-0
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
19.0015.00
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
19.0015.00
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
21.0017.00
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
12%
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
10%
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
26.0021.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.671.65
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.202.15
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.80
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
2.05
12%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.57
3%
1.55
1%
BTTS - No
40%
2.25
5%
2.30
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.334.00
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.00
BTTS - Away Win
20%
4.75
6%
4.40
5%
Home/draw
63%
1.44
4%
1.44
3%
Away/draw
62%
1.50
4%
1.53
3%
Home/away
76%
1.291.30
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.22
2%
1.20
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.33
4%
4.00
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.75
5%
2.60
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.44
4%
1.48
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.00
11%
4.50
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.17
3%
1.18
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
Home DNB
55%
1.80
2%
1.75
5%
Away DNB
54%
1.91
4%
1.95
5%
A.Madrid win to nil
18%
5.00
9%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
17%
5.50-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
21%
4.003.80
5%
A.Madrid / Real Madrid
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0011.00
8%
Draw / A.Madrid
14%
6.005.75
4%
Draw / Real Madrid
13%
6.506.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.25
Real Madrid / A.Madrid
4%
23.0019.00
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
19%
4.33
8%
4.33
8%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

A.Madrid have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Champions League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 0 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Both A.Madrid and Real Madrid have scored 20 goals this season.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 11th position in the Champions League on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Real Madrid have conceded 8 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal86111319 
-
-
-
-
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid Home8602818 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Mar 12
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid A8503815 
Mar 12
l
 
2-1A
-
-
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
-
-
-
-
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3A
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
Real Madrid have won 6 consecutive european games
6
Real Madrid have not lost in 6 consecutive european games
A.Madrid 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
A.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
A.Madrid1 - 3Lille
A.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
A.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
A.Madrid2 - 1Inter
A.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
A.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
A.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
A.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
A.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
A.Madrid2 - 1Porto
A.Madrid0 - 0Man City
A.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
A.Madrid0 - 1Milan
A.Madrid2 - 3Liverpool
A.Madrid0 - 0Porto
A.Madrid0 - 1Chelsea
A.Madrid1 - 1Bayern
A.Madrid0 - 0Lok. Moscow
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid1 - 2Real Madrid
AA.Madrid4 - 1Salzburg
HA.Madrid2 - 1Leverkusen
HA.Madrid3 - 1S. Bratislava
AA.Madrid6 - 0Sparta
AA.Madrid2 - 1PSG
HA.Madrid1 - 3Lille
AA.Madrid0 - 4Benfica
HA.Madrid2 - 1RB Leipzig
AA.Madrid2 - 4Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
AA.Madrid3 - 1Feyenoord
HA.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
AA.Madrid2 - 2Celtic
HA.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
AA.Madrid1 - 1Lazio
AA.Madrid1 - 2Porto
Real Madrid 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City2 - 3Real Madrid
Brest0 - 3Real Madrid
Atalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Dortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Man City1 - 1Real Madrid
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
Braga1 - 2Real Madrid
Napoli2 - 3Real Madrid
Man City4 - 0Real Madrid
Chelsea0 - 2Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 5Real Madrid
RB Leipzig3 - 2Real Madrid
Shakhtar1 - 1Real Madrid
Celtic0 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool0 - 1Real Madrid
Man City4 - 3Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 2Union Berlin
HReal Madrid4 - 2Napoli
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
ATM
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
RMD
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Real Madrid on Wednesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A.Madrid 5th Real Madrid 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
A.Madrid have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+24
Real Madrid have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294878/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
ATM
RMD
2%
better
view stats
Games scored19
19
Failed to score1
1
Scored first14
14
Goals scored42
50
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.5
Avg. shots per game9
14
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for1.5
2.2
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
14%
better
ATM
RMD
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded19
22
Avg. goals conceded1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v Real Madrid will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9744
J OblakJ ÁlvarezM LlorenteJ Giménez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK9
-
R Paul MID91
1
-
J Álvarez FWD971
-
A Griezmann FWD962
-
S Lino FWD93
-
C Gallagher MID81
-
G Simeone FWD812
1
-
N Molina DEF71
-
J Giménez DEF71
4
-
M Llorente MID724
-
Koke MID71
-
Ángel Correa FWD731
2
-
A Sörloth FWD7
-
J Galán DEF61
1
-
C Lenglet DEF6
-
R Mandava DEF5
1
-
P Barrios MID5
1
1
R Riquelme MID5
-
R Normand DEF4
1
-
A Witsel DEF4
1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF1
-
T Lemar MID1
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11733
F ValverdeK MbappéF ValverdeJ Bellingham
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID113
1
-
L Modric MID113
2
-
K Mbappé FWD1171
-
A Rüdiger DEF102
2
-
F Mendy DEF101
1
-
J Bellingham MID1033
3
-
T Courtois GLK9
-
A Tchouameni MID9
2
-
V Junior FWD973
3
-
Rodrygo FWD952
-
D Ceballos MID81
1
-
B Díaz MID821
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF71
1
-
L Vázquez DEF711
3
-
E Camavinga MID7
2
-
A Güler MID7
-
Endrick FWD71
2
-
F García DEF6
-
Éder Militão DEF4
2
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
J. Naveros DEF1
-