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Atletico de Madrid v RB Leipzig : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Sep, 20:00 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico de Madrid are in Champions League action on Thursday night, as Diego Simeone aims to beat Marco Rose and his RB Leipzig side at the Wanda Metropolitano. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither A.Madrid or RB Leipzig are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
55%
1.75
3%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.803.90
RB Leipzig
23%
4.50
4%
4.40
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.007.00
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
8.507.50
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
8.507.50
A.Madrid 2-0
9%
9.00
5%
8.50
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
RB Leipzig 2-1
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
RB Leipzig 1-0
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0011.00
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
RB Leipzig 2-0
3%
23.0019.00
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
26.0019.00
A.Madrid 4-0
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
RB Leipzig 3-1
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.731.67
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.102.10
2%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.75
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.70
2%
1.67
1%
BTTS - No
43%
2.05
2%
2.10
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.403.25
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75
6%
4.60
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8.00
14%
7.00
8%
Home/draw
77%
1.18
2%
1.20
Away/draw
45%
2.00
3%
2.05
Home/away
77%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.22
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.333.90
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.752.62
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.441.44
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.004.60
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.171.17
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.00
10%
9.00
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.05
1%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
71%
1.30
2%
1.30
Away DNB
38%
3.40
5%
3.20
3%
A.Madrid win to nil
28%
3.25
4%
-
RB Leipzig win to nil
10%
9.00
13%
-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
30%
2.75
5%
2.62
A.Madrid / RB Leipzig
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
13.0013.00
Draw / A.Madrid
17%
4.75
5%
4.60
Draw / RB Leipzig
9%
9.50
6%
9.00
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
RB Leipzig / A.Madrid
4%
21.0017.00
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
5
A.Madrid have won 5 consecutive home european games
10
A.Madrid have not lost in 10 consecutive home european games
A.Madrid
20 games
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid2 - 4Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Dortmund
HA.Madrid2 - 1Inter
AA.Madrid0 - 1Inter
HA.Madrid2 - 0Lazio
AA.Madrid3 - 1Feyenoord
HA.Madrid6 - 0Celtic
AA.Madrid2 - 2Celtic
HA.Madrid3 - 2Feyenoord
AA.Madrid1 - 1Lazio
AA.Madrid1 - 2Porto
HA.Madrid2 - 2Leverkusen
HA.Madrid0 - 0Brugge
AA.Madrid0 - 2Brugge
AA.Madrid0 - 2Leverkusen
HA.Madrid2 - 1Porto
HA.Madrid0 - 0Man City
AA.Madrid0 - 1Man City
AA.Madrid1 - 0Man Utd
HA.Madrid1 - 1Man Utd
RB Leipzig
20 games
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Real Madrid
HRB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Young Boys
ARB Leipzig2 - 3Man City
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Red Star Bel.
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Red Star Bel.
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Man City
ARB Leipzig3 - 1Young Boys
ARB Leipzig0 - 7Man City
HRB Leipzig1 - 1Man City
ARB Leipzig4 - 0Shakhtar
HRB Leipzig3 - 2Real Madrid
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Celtic
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Celtic
ARB Leipzig0 - 2Real Madrid
HRB Leipzig1 - 4Shakhtar
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Rangers
HRB Leipzig1 - 0Rangers
ARB Leipzig2 - 0Atalanta
HRB Leipzig1 - 1Atalanta
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday night, not least because RB Leipzig have conceded in each of their last 10 Champions League outings. A PG of 1.9 for Diego Simeone's side suggests that run should continue.

A.Madrid RB Leipzig
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that RB Leipzig will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-14
A.Madrid have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+26
RB Leipzig have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287601/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
RB Leipzig
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
ATM
RBL
9%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first11
9
Goals scored33
42
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.6
2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
ATM
RBL
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded23
18
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Madrid v RB Leipzig will show here when available.

A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Musso GLK
-
J Oblak GLK
-
R Mandava DEF
-
C Azpilicueta DEF
-
J Giménez DEF
-
J Galán DEF
-
C Lenglet DEF
-
R Normand DEF
-
A Witsel DEF
-
N Molina DEF
-
M Llorente MID
-
Koke MID
-
T Lemar MID
-
S Lino MID
-
R Paul MID
-
C Gallagher MID
-
P Barrios MID
-
A Sörloth FWD
-
G Simeone FWD
-
J Álvarez FWD
-
A Griezmann FWD
-
Ángel Correa FWD
-
R Riquelme FWD
-
B Garcés FWD
-
RB Leipzig Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK
-
L Zingerle GLK
-
M Vandevoordt GLK
-
D Raum DEF
-
B Henrichs DEF
-
M Simakan DEF
-
W Orbán DEF
-
C Lukeba DEF
-
L Klostermann DEF
-
E Bitshiabu DEF
-
L Geertruida DEF
-
X Schlager MID
-
A Haidara MID
-
K Kampl MID
-
X Simons MID
-
A Vermeeren MID
-
E Elmas MID
-
C Baumgartner MID
-
N Seiwald MID
-
A Ouédraogo MID
-
Y Poulsen FWD
-
A Nusa FWD
-
B Sesko FWD
-
L Openda FWD
-
A Silva FWD
-
F Hartmann FWD
-