Atalanta's team badge SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz's team badge

Atalanta v SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Jan, 17:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Atalanta and their manager Gian Piero Gasperini will be hoping for victory against Christian Ilzer and his SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz side on Tuesday evening, as the pair clash at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in the Champions League. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Atalanta to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this match, and it's Atalanta. Their recent form stats show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Sturm Graz too. The odds point towards Gian Piero Gasperini's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Tuesday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
79%
1.17
9%
1.22
5%
Draw
13%
7.50
36%
6.50
8%
Sturm Graz
8%
13.00
44%
12.00
20%
Atalanta 2-0
11%
7.006.50
Atalanta 3-0
10%
7.50
12%
7.00
7%
Atalanta 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
8.00
Atalanta 1-0
8%
9.00
6%
7.50
Atalanta 3-1
8%
11.009.50
Atalanta 4-0
7%
11.00
15%
9.50
14%
Draw 1-1
6%
15.00
36%
11.00
10%
Atalanta 4-1
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Atalanta 5-0
4%
19.00
17%
15.00
12%
Draw 2-2
3%
26.00
24%
19.00
12%
Atalanta 5-1
3%
23.00
21%
19.00
10%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00
24%
15.00
Sturm Graz 2-1
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Sturm Graz 1-0
2%
29.00
26%
23.00
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
1.40
9%
1.44
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
3.00
20%
2.62
7%
Home 1st Goal
63%
1.17
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
4.75
10%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
21.00
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
2.00
3%
2.00
3%
BTTS - No
50%
1.75
3%
1.75
3%
BTTS - Home Win
36%
2.62
5%
2.62
5%
BTTS - Draw
10%
9.00
29%
7.50
7%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
17.00
13%
17.00
31%
Home/draw
92%
1.04
3%
1.03
3%
Away/draw
21%
5.00
43%
4.20
14%
Home/away
87%
1.10
4%
1.10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.12
4%
1.13
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
6.00
20%
5.25
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
2.10
9%
2.10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
1.73
7%
1.67
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
3.40
15%
3.30
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1.33
6%
1.29
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
6.00
14%
5.75
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1.12
2%
1.11
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.01
1%
1.01
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.00
24%
15.00
Home DNB
88%
1.06
2%
1.04
3%
Away DNB
17%
10.00
25%
9.00
20%
Atalanta win to nil
44%
2.00
9%
-
Sturm Graz win to nil
3%
19.00
12%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
48%
1.67
9%
1.70
3%
Atalanta / Sturm Graz
2%
51.0046.00
12%
Atalanta / Draw
4%
21.00
11%
19.00
12%
Draw / Atalanta
21%
3.75
6%
3.90
3%
Draw / Sturm Graz
4%
26.00
37%
19.00
12%
Draw / Draw
9%
10.00
18%
9.00
13%
Sturm Graz / Atalanta
5%
17.00
11%
17.00
Sturm Graz / Sturm Graz
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
31%
Sturm Graz / Draw
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
bet365
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Sturm Graz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool66001218 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona65011415 
-
Jan 29
-
-
3
Arsenal6411913 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
4
Leverkusen6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
A Villa6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Inter6411613 
-
-
-
-
7
Brest6411413 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
8
Lille6411313 
-
-
-
l
 
3-2A
9
Dortmund6402912 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
10
Bayern6402912 
-
-
-
-
11
A.Madrid6402412 
-
-
-
-
12
Milan6402312 
-
-
-
-
13
Atalanta Home6321911 
-
-
-
Jan 21
14
Juventus6321411 
-
-
-
-
15
Benfica6312310 
-
-
-
-
16
Monaco6312210 
-
-
-
-
17
S. Lisbon6312210 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
-
18
Feyenoord6312-110 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge6312-210 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
-
20
Real Madrid630319 
l
 
2-3A
-
-
-
21
Celtic623109 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
22
Man City622248 
-
-
-
-
23
PSV622228 
-
-
-
-
24
D. Zagreb6222-58 
-
-
-
-
25
PSG621307 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart6213-37 
-
w
 
0-2F
-
-
27
Shakhtar6114-84 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
28
Sparta6114-114 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz Away6105-53 
Jan 21
-
-
-
30
Girona6105-63 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
31
Red Star Bel.6105-93 
-
-
-
-
32
Salzburg6105-153 
-
-
-
-
33
Bologna6024-62 
-
-
-
-
34
RB Leipzig6006-70 
-
-
Jan 29
-
35
S. Bratislava6006-160 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys6006-190 
-
w
 
1-6F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Sturm Graz have lost 3 consecutive away european games
Atalanta 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Sturm Graz 29TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday evening.

Atalanta 13th Sturm Graz 29th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Atalanta will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Sturm Graz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Atalanta have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-33
Sturm Graz have scored 33% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287693/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Sturm Graz
2.8
0.8
Attack rating
21%
better
ATA
STU
view stats
Games scored19
16
Failed to score1
4
Scored first14
13
Goals scored54
42
Avg. goals scored2.7
2.1
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
20
Avg. XG for2.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
23%
better
ATA
STU
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded17
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Sturm Graz will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6343
M CarnesecchiC KetelaereC KetelaereÉderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK6
-
S Kolasinac DEF611
-
M Roon MID6
-
C Ketelaere MID634
-
M Pasalic MID61
-
N Zaniolo FWD61
1
-
M Retegui FWD62
-
M Ruggeri DEF5
-
B Djimsiti DEF51
-
I Hien DEF5
1
-
D Zappacosta MID51
-
L Samardžić MID511
-
Éderson MID5
3
-
R Bellanova MID51
1
-
A Lookman FWD531
-
O Kossounou  DEF42
1
-
J Cuadrado MID4
-
B Godfrey DEF2
-
M Brescianini MID2
1
-
R Tolói DEF1
-
Sturm Graz Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6213
W BøvingM Biereth W BøvingJ Gazibegovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Bøving MID61
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID6
2
-
T Horvat MID6
1
-
S Jatta FWD61
-
M Biereth  FWD62
-
D Lavalée DEF5
1
1
J Gazibegovic DEF5
3
-
M Johnston DEF5
1
-
E Aiwu DEF5
1
-
N Geyrhofer DEF5
1
-
T Chukwuani MID51
2
-
O Kiteishvili MID51
-
E Yardımcı FWD5
1
-
K Scherpen GLK4
-
L. Zvonarek MID4
-
S Hierländer MID4
-
J Stankovic MID3
1
-
D Khudyakov GLK2
-
G Wüthrich DEF2
-
A. Camara FWD2
-
A. Malic DEF1
-