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Atalanta v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Dec, 20:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

We’ve Champions League action to look forward to on Tuesday night, as Gian Piero Gasperini and his Atalanta side host Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Atalanta should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Real Madrid. The bookies don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
37%
2.62
15%
2.62
23%
Draw
24%
3.50
3%
3.70
3%
Real Madrid
39%
2.50
16%
2.45
20%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.007.00
8%
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Atalanta 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
10%
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
12.00
9%
9.50
27%
Atalanta 1-0
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
Draw 2-2
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
9%
Real Madrid 2-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
26%
Atalanta 2-0
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
19.00
27%
15.00
15%
Draw 0-0
4%
15.0012.00
20%
Atalanta 3-1
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
21%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
11%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
26%
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
26.00
24%
19.00
27%
Atalanta 3-0
3%
26.00
24%
21.00
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.621.60
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.302.20
13%
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.05
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.80
8%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
15.00-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1.531.53
8%
BTTS - No
37%
2.382.38
13%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.50
10%
4.20
24%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00
8%
4.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.33
15%
3.90
4%
Home/draw
61%
1.50
10%
1.53
12%
Away/draw
63%
1.44
6%
1.48
14%
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.17
3%
1.20
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.00
11%
4.33
20%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.38
9%
2.45
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.57
5%
1.50
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.33
4%
4.20
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.22
2%
1.20
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00
11%
8.00
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08
1%
1.06
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0012.00
20%
Home DNB
54%
1.91
13%
1.91
20%
Away DNB
56%
1.80
11%
1.80
20%
Atalanta win to nil
16%
5.50
15%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
17%
5.50
27%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
19%
4.33
9%
4.00
24%
Atalanta / Real Madrid
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
Atalanta / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Atalanta
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
14%
Draw / Real Madrid
13%
6.50
18%
5.75
15%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
10%
Real Madrid / Atalanta
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
17%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
21%
4.00
14%
3.80
19%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
bet365
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool55001115 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
2
Inter5410713 
-
-
-
-
3
Barcelona54011312 
-
Jan 29
-
-
4
Dortmund54011012 
-
-
w
 
5-2A
-
5
Atalanta 53201011 
-
-
-
Dec 10
6
Leverkusen5311610 
-
-
-
-
7
Arsenal5311610 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
8
Monaco5311510 
-
-
-
-
9
A Villa5311510 
-
-
-
-
10
S. Lisbon5311310 
-
-
-
-
11
Brest5311310 
-
-
-
Jan 29
12
Lille5311210 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
13
Bayern530259 
-
-
-
-
14
Benfica530239 
-
-
-
-
15
A.Madrid530229 
-
-
-
-
16
Milan530229 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
-
17
Man City522168 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV522138 
-
-
-
-
19
Juventus522128 
-
-
-
-
20
Celtic522108 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
21
Feyenoord5212-37 
-
-
-
-
22
Brugge5212-37 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb5212-57 
-
-
-
-
24
Real Madrid 520306 
Dec 10
-
-
-
25
PSG5113-34 
-
-
-
-
26
Shakhtar5113-44 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
27
Stuttgart5113-74 
-
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
-
28
Sparta5113-94 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz5104-43 
Jan 21
-
-
-
30
Girona5104-53 
-
-
-
-
31
Red Star Bel.5104-83 
-
-
-
-
32
Salzburg5104-123 
-
-
Jan 22
-
33
Bologna5014-61 
-
-
-
-
34
RB Leipzig5005-60 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava5005-140 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys5005-150 
-
w
 
1-6F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
8
Atalanta have not lost in 8 consecutive european games
4
Atalanta have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home european games
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta0 - 0Celtic
Atalanta0 - 0Arsenal
Atalanta3 - 0Leverkusen
Atalanta3 - 0Marseille
Atalanta0 - 1Liverpool
Atalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 0Sturm Graz
Atalanta2 - 0Rakow
Atalanta0 - 2RB Leipzig
Atalanta3 - 2Leverkusen
Atalanta2 - 1Olympiakos
Atalanta2 - 3Villarreal
Atalanta2 - 2Man Utd
Atalanta1 - 0Young Boys
Atalanta0 - 1Real Madrid
Atalanta1 - 1Midtjylland
Atalanta0 - 5Liverpool
Atalanta2 - 2Ajax
Atalanta1 - 2PSG
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta6 - 1Young Boys
AAtalanta2 - 0Stuttgart
HAtalanta0 - 0Celtic
AAtalanta3 - 0Shakhtar
HAtalanta0 - 0Arsenal
HAtalanta3 - 0Leverkusen
HAtalanta3 - 0Marseille
AAtalanta1 - 1Marseille
HAtalanta0 - 1Liverpool
AAtalanta3 - 0Liverpool
HAtalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
AAtalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
AAtalanta4 - 0Rakow
HAtalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
HAtalanta1 - 0Sturm Graz
AAtalanta2 - 2Sturm Graz
AAtalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
HAtalanta2 - 0Rakow
HAtalanta0 - 2RB Leipzig
AAtalanta1 - 1RB Leipzig
Real Madrid 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Dortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Man City1 - 1Real Madrid
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
Braga1 - 2Real Madrid
Napoli2 - 3Real Madrid
Man City4 - 0Real Madrid
Chelsea0 - 2Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 5Real Madrid
RB Leipzig3 - 2Real Madrid
Shakhtar1 - 1Real Madrid
Celtic0 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool0 - 1Real Madrid
Man City4 - 3Real Madrid
Chelsea1 - 3Real Madrid
PSG1 - 0Real Madrid
Sheriff0 - 3Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 2Union Berlin
HReal Madrid4 - 2Napoli
HReal Madrid3 - 0Braga
AReal Madrid2 - 1Braga
AReal Madrid3 - 2Napoli
HReal Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
AReal Madrid0 - 4Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Atalanta have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Real Madrid on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Atalanta 5th Real Madrid 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
Atalanta have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Real Madrid have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287679/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.6
1.6
Attack rating
15%
better
ATA
RMD
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first13
12
Goals scored50
39
Avg. goals scored2.5
2
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
16
Avg. XG for2.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
5%
better
ATA
RMD
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded20
20
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+5%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5243
M CarnesecchiC KetelaereC KetelaereÉderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK5
-
S Kolasinac DEF511
-
C Ketelaere MID524
-
M Pasalic MID51
-
M Roon MID5
-
N Zaniolo FWD51
1
-
M Retegui FWD52
-
M Ruggeri DEF4
-
B Djimsiti DEF41
-
I Hien DEF4
1
-
D Zappacosta MID41
-
L Samardžić MID41
-
Éderson MID4
3
-
R Bellanova MID41
1
-
J Cuadrado MID4
-
A Lookman FWD421
-
O Kossounou  DEF32
-
B Godfrey DEF2
-
M Brescianini MID2
1
-
R Tolói DEF1
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5412
F MendyV JuniorL ModricL Modric
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Mendy DEF5
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF52
1
-
L Modric MID51
2
-
J Bellingham MID51
1
-
F Valverde MID5
1
-
K Mbappé FWD511
-
Éder Militão DEF4
2
-
L Vázquez DEF41
2
-
F García DEF4
-
E Camavinga MID4
2
-
A Güler MID4
-
A Tchouameni MID4
-
V Junior FWD44
2
-
T Courtois GLK3
-
D Ceballos MID3
1
-
Rodrygo FWD31
-
Endrick FWD31
2
-
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
B Díaz MID2
-