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Atalanta v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 19th Sep, 20:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Gian Piero Gasperini welcomes Mikel Arteta to the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia on Thursday night, as their Atalanta and Arsenal charges do battle in the Champions League. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Atalanta and Arsenal's current form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
24%
31/10
8%
16/5
11%
Draw
23%
14/5
1%
27/10
1%
Arsenal
53%
5/6
4%
5/6
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
7%
Arsenal 1-0
10%
7/1
6%
6/1
13%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Arsenal 2-0
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
11%
Atalanta 1-0
6%
12/110/1
Atalanta 2-1
6%
12/111/1
9%
Arsenal 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
8%
17/2
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Arsenal 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Atalanta 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Arsenal 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Arsenal 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Arsenal 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Atalanta 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
4%
4/5
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
5%
10/11
9%
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/15-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10
2%
3/4
6%
BTTS - No
44%
21/20
2%
1/1
7%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
13/5
3%
5/2
3%
Home/draw
47%
10/11
4%
19/20
5%
Away/draw
76%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Home/away
77%
1/42/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
8%
5/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
9%
2/1
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5
3%
4/11
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
10%
9/2
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
3%
1/8
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
17/2
14%
Home DNB
40%
2/1
9%
2/1
9%
Away DNB
69%
4/11
3%
7/20
4%
Atalanta win to nil
11%
7/1-
Arsenal win to nil
27%
9/4
7%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
Atalanta / Arsenal
4%
20/118/1
12%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Atalanta
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Draw / Arsenal
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
5%
Arsenal / Atalanta
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Arsenal / Arsenal
28%
15/8
4%
9/5
3%
Arsenal / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta
20 games
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta3 - 0Leverkusen
HAtalanta3 - 0Marseille
AAtalanta1 - 1Marseille
HAtalanta0 - 1Liverpool
AAtalanta3 - 0Liverpool
HAtalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
AAtalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
AAtalanta4 - 0Rakow
HAtalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
HAtalanta1 - 0Sturm Graz
AAtalanta2 - 2Sturm Graz
AAtalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
HAtalanta2 - 0Rakow
HAtalanta0 - 2RB Leipzig
AAtalanta1 - 1RB Leipzig
AAtalanta1 - 0Leverkusen
HAtalanta3 - 2Leverkusen
AAtalanta3 - 0Olympiakos
HAtalanta2 - 1Olympiakos
HAtalanta2 - 3Villarreal
Arsenal
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal0 - 1Bayern
HArsenal2 - 2Bayern
HArsenal1 - 0Porto
AArsenal0 - 1Porto
AArsenal1 - 1PSV
HArsenal6 - 0Lens
HArsenal2 - 0Sevilla
AArsenal2 - 1Sevilla
AArsenal1 - 2Lens
HArsenal4 - 0PSV
HArsenal1 - 1S. Lisbon
AArsenal2 - 2S. Lisbon
HArsenal1 - 0Zurich
AArsenal0 - 2PSV
HArsenal1 - 0PSV
AArsenal1 - 0Bodø
HArsenal3 - 0Bodø
AArsenal2 - 1Zurich
HArsenal0 - 0Villarreal
AArsenal1 - 2Villarreal
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is to be admired, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Atalanta makes sense in this context.

Arsenal have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Atalanta on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Atalanta Arsenal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-14
Atalanta have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287600/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
ATA
ARS
5%
better
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
3
Scored first14
16
Goals scored40
42
Avg. goals scored2
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
ATA
ARS
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
8
Clean sheets7
12
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded22
11
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+39%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Arsenal will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK
-
R Patrício GLK
-
F Rossi GLK
-
S Kolasinac DEF
-
O Kossounou  DEF
-
G Scalvini DEF
-
R Bellanova DEF
-
I Hien DEF
-
R Tolói DEF
-
M Ruggeri DEF
-
B Djimsiti DEF
-
B Godfrey DEF
-
B Soppy DEF
-
L Samardžić MID
-
Éderson MID
-
I Sulemana MID
-
J Cuadrado MID
-
C Ketelaere MID
-
M Pasalic MID
-
N Zaniolo MID
-
M Brescianini MID
-
D Zappacosta MID
-
M Roon MID
-
M Retegui FWD
-
G Scamacca FWD
-
A Lookman FWD
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Neto  GLK
-
D Raya GLK
-
J Kiwior DEF
-
T Tomiyasu DEF
-
B White DEF
-
G Magalhães DEF
-
K Tierney DEF
-
W Saliba DEF
-
R Calafiori DEF
-
O Zinchenko DEF
-
J Timber DEF
-
D Rice MID
-
K Havertz MID
-
M Merino MID
-
M Ødegaard MID
-
Jorginho MID
-
T Partey MID
-
G Jesus  FWD
-
B Saka FWD
-
L Trossard FWD
-
G Martinelli FWD
-
R Sterling FWD
-