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Arsenal v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 8th Apr, 20:00 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Mikel Arteta's Arsenal side enjoy home advantage in the Champions League on Tuesday night, as Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid visit the Emirates Stadium. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Arsenal and Real Madrid a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Champions League fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
40%
27/20
2%
5/4
5%
Draw
26%
12/5
3%
12/5
Real Madrid
34%
15/811/5
10%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Arsenal 1-0
10%
7/16/1
7%
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
Arsenal 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
7%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Arsenal 2-0
7%
10/117/2
5%
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Arsenal 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Real Madrid 3-1
3%
22/118/1
12%
Arsenal 3-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Arsenal 3-2
2%
28/120/1
11%
Real Madrid 3-0
2%
28/125/1
13%
Real Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
5%
19/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
6%
3/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
3%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
3%
10/11
7%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1
5%
10/3
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1
9%
19/4
15%
Home/draw
66%
2/57/20
4%
Away/draw
60%
4/78/13
3%
Home/away
74%
3/10
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/3
2%
1/3
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5
3%
21/10
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4
10%
12/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
1%
1/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
58%
8/11
4%
3/5
6%
Away DNB
52%
1/1
5%
6/5
7%
Arsenal win to nil
22%
3/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
18%
4/1-
Arsenal / Arsenal
21%
3/1
7%
5/2
5%
Arsenal / Real Madrid
3%
28/122/1
Arsenal / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Arsenal
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Real Madrid
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
4%
Real Madrid / Arsenal
3%
25/120/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
16%
15/4
5%
4/1
11%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table

Arsenal have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Champions League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 20 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 5 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Real Madrid are in 11th position in the Champions League on 15 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Real Madrid have conceded 9 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal Home86111319 
-
-
Apr 16
Apr 8
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid8602818 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid A8503815 
Apr 8
Apr 16
-
-
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV8422414 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-7F
-
-
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3A
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
16
Arsenal have not lost in 16 consecutive home european games
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Home
16
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal2 - 2PSV
Arsenal3 - 0D. Zagreb
Arsenal3 - 0Monaco
Arsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
Arsenal2 - 0PSG
Arsenal2 - 2Bayern
Arsenal1 - 0Porto
Arsenal6 - 0Lens
Arsenal2 - 0Sevilla
Arsenal4 - 0PSV
Arsenal1 - 1S. Lisbon
Arsenal1 - 0Zurich
Arsenal1 - 0PSV
Arsenal3 - 0Bodø
Arsenal0 - 0Villarreal
Arsenal1 - 1Slavia
Arsenal0 - 1Olympiakos
Arsenal3 - 2Benfica
Arsenal4 - 1Rapid Wien
Arsenal4 - 1Molde
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal2 - 2PSV
AArsenal7 - 1PSV
AArsenal2 - 1Girona
HArsenal3 - 0D. Zagreb
HArsenal3 - 0Monaco
AArsenal5 - 1S. Lisbon
AArsenal0 - 1Inter
HArsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
HArsenal2 - 0PSG
AArsenal0 - 0Atalanta
AArsenal0 - 1Bayern
HArsenal2 - 2Bayern
HArsenal1 - 0Porto
AArsenal0 - 1Porto
AArsenal1 - 1PSV
HArsenal6 - 0Lens
HArsenal2 - 0Sevilla
AArsenal2 - 1Sevilla
AArsenal1 - 2Lens
HArsenal4 - 0PSV
Real Madrid 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid1 - 0Real Madrid
Man City2 - 3Real Madrid
Brest0 - 3Real Madrid
Atalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Dortmund0 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Man City1 - 1Real Madrid
RB Leipzig0 - 1Real Madrid
Union Berlin2 - 3Real Madrid
Braga1 - 2Real Madrid
Napoli2 - 3Real Madrid
Man City4 - 0Real Madrid
Chelsea0 - 2Real Madrid
Liverpool2 - 5Real Madrid
RB Leipzig3 - 2Real Madrid
Shakhtar1 - 1Real Madrid
Celtic0 - 3Real Madrid
Liverpool0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
AReal Madrid2 - 0Dortmund
HReal Madrid2 - 1Bayern
AReal Madrid2 - 2Bayern
AReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
HReal Madrid3 - 3Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 2Union Berlin
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is to be admired, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Real Madrid makes sense in this context.

Arsenal 3rd Real Madrid 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Real Madrid have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295338/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
ARS
RMD
19%
better
view stats
Games scored15
18
Failed to score4
2
Scored first10
14
Goals scored34
46
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.3
Avg. shots per game9
14
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
0%
better
ARS
RMD
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded17
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
11%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Arsenal v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9423
D RayaK HavertzL TrossardR Sterling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Trossard FWD1022
-
D Raya GLK9
1
-
J Timber DEF911
2
-
G Magalhães DEF91
1
-
D Rice MID922
2
-
T Partey MID9
1
-
G Martinelli FWD911
2
-
M Merino MID812
1
-
K Havertz FWD842
-
W Saliba DEF7
-
R Calafiori DEF711
1
-
M Ødegaard MID731
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF61
1
-
J Kiwior DEF6
1
-
E Nwaneri MID62
-
Jorginho MID61
-
R Sterling FWD62
3
-
O Zinchenko DEF51
-
B White DEF5
1
-
B Saka FWD542
-
G Jesus  FWD51
1
-
K Tierney DEF3
-
Neto  GLK1
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12734
F ValverdeK MbappéF ValverdeV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID123
1
-
L Modric MID123
2
-
K Mbappé FWD1271
1
-
F Mendy DEF111
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF112
2
-
J Bellingham MID1133
3
-
T Courtois GLK10
-
A Tchouameni MID10
3
-
V Junior FWD1073
4
-
Rodrygo FWD1052
-
B Díaz MID921
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF81
1
-
L Vázquez DEF811
4
-
D Ceballos MID81
1
-
E Camavinga MID8
2
-
Endrick FWD81
2
-
F García DEF7
-
A Güler MID7
-
Éder Militão DEF4
2
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
J. Naveros DEF1
-