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Arsenal v PSV : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 12th Mar, 20:00 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Peter Bosz is aiming for a vital away win in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as he takes his PSV side to the Emirates Stadium to visit Arsenal and Mikel Arteta. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Arsenal to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two teams ahead of this Champions League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Arsenal to win on home turf is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for PSV, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Arsenal winning is the bet come Wednesday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
69%
1.38
13%
1.40
8%
Draw
19%
5.00
17%
4.80
17%
PSV
12%
7.50
42%
7.50
17%
Arsenal 2-0
12%
6.506.50
8%
Arsenal 1-0
11%
7.00
18%
6.50
7%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
8.50
11%
8.00
Draw 1-1
9%
9.50
21%
8.50
15%
Arsenal 3-0
9%
9.00
20%
8.50
13%
Arsenal 3-1
7%
12.00
9%
11.00
10%
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
24%
12.00
20%
Arsenal 4-0
5%
15.00
36%
15.00
25%
PSV 1-0
4%
17.00
41%
15.00
12%
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
11%
Arsenal 4-1
4%
21.00
40%
17.00
13%
PSV 2-1
4%
21.00
38%
19.00
10%
Arsenal 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Arsenal 5-0
2%
34.00
79%
26.00
37%
PSV 2-0
2%
41.00
20%
29.00
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.73
15%
1.70
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.10
20%
2.05
9%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1.25
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
4.00
20%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.002.00
2%
BTTS - No
52%
1.751.75
3%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
3.20
11%
3.10
3%
BTTS - Draw
14%
6.50
13%
6.00
14%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
13.00
38%
12.00
20%
Home/draw
88%
1.10
6%
1.10
3%
Away/draw
31%
3.00
25%
2.88
18%
Home/away
81%
1.17
4%
1.18
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.22
7%
1.22
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.33
21%
3.80
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2.75
25%
2.75
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.44
14%
1.40
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.00
25%
4.80
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.17
6%
1.15
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00
43%
9.50
19%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
4%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
2%
1.03
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
24%
11.00
15%
Home DNB
82%
1.12
7%
1.12
3%
Away DNB
26%
6.00
45%
5.50
21%
Arsenal win to nil
40%
2.20
15%
-
PSV win to nil
6%
13.00
38%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
40%
2.05
19%
2.05
11%
Arsenal / PSV
2%
41.00
20%
46.00
10%
Arsenal / Draw
5%
17.00
19%
17.00
11%
Draw / Arsenal
20%
4.00
7%
4.00
3%
Draw / PSV
6%
15.00
35%
13.00
24%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
26%
6.50
19%
PSV / Arsenal
4%
21.00
11%
19.00
PSV / PSV
7%
13.00
38%
11.00
15%
PSV / Draw
5%
19.00
17%
17.00
11%
Win / draw / win Champions League table

Arsenal have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Champions League league table. Arsenal have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Both Arsenal and PSV have scored 16 goals this season.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 0 goals at home.

PSV are in 14th position in the Champions League on 14 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 1. PSV have conceded 9 goals, scored 4, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
PSV
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool87011221 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona86111519 
-
-
-
-
3
Arsenal Home86111319 
-
-
l
 
1-7A
Mar 12
4
Inter86111019 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid8602818 
-
-
-
-
6
Leverkusen8512816 
-
-
-
-
7
Lille8512716 
-
-
-
-
8
A Villa8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Atalanta84311415 
-
-
-
-
10
Dortmund85031015 
-
-
-
-
11
Real Madrid8503815 
-
-
-
-
12
Bayern8503815 
-
-
-
-
13
Milan8503315 
-
-
-
-
14
PSV Away8422414 
Mar 12
w
 
1-7F
-
-
15
PSG8413513 
-
-
-
-
16
Benfica8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
Monaco8413013 
-
-
-
-
18
Brest8413-113 
-
-
-
-
19
Feyenoord8413-313 
-
-
-
-
20
Juventus8332212 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
21
Celtic8332-112 
-
-
-
-
22
Man City8323411 
-
-
-
-
23
S. Lisbon8323111 
-
-
-
-
24
Brugge8323-411 
-
-
-
-
25
D. Zagreb8323-711 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart8314-410 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar8215-87 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna8134-56 
-
-
-
-
29
Red Star Bel.8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Sturm Graz8206-96 
-
-
-
-
31
Sparta8116-144 
-
-
-
-
32
RB Leipzig8107-73 
-
-
-
-
33
Girona8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg8107-223 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava8008-200 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys8008-210 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Arsenal have won 5 consecutive european games
15
Arsenal have not lost in 15 consecutive home european games
4
Arsenal have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home european games
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Home
15
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
PSV 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arsenal since 2004
Arsenal
PSV
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
ARS
3
D
1
League games at PSV since 2004
PSV
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
ARS
1
D
2
PSV
2
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive Champions League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Arsenal 3rd PSV 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of PSV scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
PSV’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294876/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
PSV
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
ARS
PSV
13%
better
view stats
Games scored15
18
Failed to score5
2
Scored first9
9
Goals scored39
48
Avg. goals scored2
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for2
2.3
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
35%
better
ARS
PSV
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded18
38
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
4
Conversion rate against16%
23%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+35%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Arsenal v PSV will show here when available.

Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8422
T ParteyK HavertzL TrossardJ Timber
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Partey MID9
1
-
L Trossard FWD922
-
D Raya GLK8
1
-
J Timber DEF811
2
-
G Magalhães DEF81
1
-
D Rice MID812
1
-
K Havertz FWD842
-
G Martinelli FWD811
2
-
W Saliba DEF7
-
M Merino MID712
1
-
R Calafiori DEF611
1
-
E Nwaneri MID62
-
M Ødegaard MID631
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF51
1
-
J Kiwior DEF5
-
Jorginho MID51
-
R Sterling FWD5
2
-
G Jesus  FWD51
1
-
B Saka FWD542
-
O Zinchenko DEF4
-
B White DEF4
1
-
K Tierney DEF2
-
Neto  GLK1
-
PSV Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10323
L JongR FlamingoL JongM Tillman
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Til MID111
-
J Bakayoko FWD1121
1
-
L Jong FWD1122
2
-
W Benítez GLK10
2
-
M Júnior DEF10
2
-
R Ledezma DEF10
1
-
O Boscagli DEF10
1
-
R Flamingo DEF1031
1
I Saibari MID1031
1
-
N Lang FWD1022
1
-
R Karsdorp  DEF7
2
-
J Veerman MID72
2
-
R Pepi FWD721
-
M Tillman MID632
3
-
J Schouten MID61
1
-
A Obispo DEF5
-
A Nagalo DEF4
-
C Driouech FWD4
-
I. Babadi MID3
1
-
I Perisic FWD32
-
T Malacia DEF2
1
-
J Drommel GLK1
-
T Land MID1
-