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Arsenal v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Apr, 20:00 BST, ,

Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Arsenal and PSG will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arsenal 47%	11/10	-
Draw 25%	12/5 5%	-
PSG 29%	5/2 3%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2 8%	-
Arsenal 1-0 10%	15/2	-
Arsenal 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Arsenal 2-0 8%	9/1	-
PSG 1-0 7%	11/1	-
PSG 2-1 7%	11/1 8%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	-
Arsenal 3-1 5%	16/1	-
PSG 2-0 4%	18/1	-
Arsenal 3-0 4%	18/1	-
Arsenal 3-2 3%	22/1 12%	-
PSG 3-1 3%	25/1 10%	-
PSG 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Arsenal 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	7/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	7/10	-
BTTS - No 44%	21/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	-
Home/draw 71%	2/7	-
Away/draw 53%	7/10	-
Home/away 75%	3/10 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	2/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4 6%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	11/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	-
Home DNB 64%	1/2	-
Away DNB 46%	6/4	-
Arsenal win to nil 24%	11/4	-
PSG win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Arsenal / Arsenal 25%	12/5	-
Arsenal / PSG 3%	28/1	-
Arsenal / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Arsenal 15%	9/2 10%	-
Draw / PSG 11%	13/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
PSG / Arsenal 4%	22/1	-
PSG / PSG 15%	9/2	-
PSG / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Champions League table

Arsenal have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Champions League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 6 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

PSG are in 15th position in the Champions League on 13 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 2. PSG have conceded 11 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Arsenal PSG
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Liverpool	8	7	0	1	12	21	-	-	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
2	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	15	19	-	-	-	-
3	Arsenal Home	8	6	1	1	13	19	-	-	May 7	l 2-0A
4	Inter	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	l 1-0A	-	-
5	A.Madrid	8	6	0	2	8	18	-	-	l 1-2F	-
6	Leverkusen	8	5	1	2	8	16	-	-	-	-
7	Lille	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
8	A Villa	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	w 3-1A	l 3-2F
9	Atalanta	8	4	3	1	14	15	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
10	Dortmund	8	5	0	3	10	15	-	-	-	-
11	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	8	15	w 3-0F	w 1-2F	-	-
12	Bayern	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	l 1-0A
13	Milan	8	5	0	3	3	15	-	-	-	-
14	PSV	8	4	2	2	4	14	d 2-2F	w 1-7F	d 1-1A	-
15	PSG Away	8	4	1	3	5	13	w 2-0F	May 7	-	-
16	Benfica	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	-	-
17	Monaco	8	4	1	3	0	13	w 3-0F	-	-	-
18	Brest	8	4	1	3	-1	13	-	-	w 7-0F	w 0-3F
19	Feyenoord	8	4	1	3	-3	13	-	-	-	-
20	Juventus	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	-	-	-
22	Man City	8	3	2	3	4	11	-	-	w 4-2A	-
23	S. Lisbon	8	3	2	3	1	11	-	w 1-5F	-	-
24	Brugge	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	-
25	D. Zagreb	8	3	2	3	-7	11	w 3-0F	-	-	-
26	Stuttgart	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	-	-	w 1-4F
27	Shakhtar	8	2	1	5	-8	7	w 1-0F	-	-	-
28	Bologna	8	1	3	4	-5	6	-	-	-	-
29	Red Star Bel.	8	2	0	6	-9	6	-	-	-	-
30	Sturm Graz	8	2	0	6	-9	6	-	-	-	-
31	Sparta	8	1	1	6	-14	4	-	-	-	-
32	RB Leipzig	8	1	0	7	-7	3	-	-	-	-
33	Girona	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	w 1-2A	w 1-0F	-
34	Salzburg	8	1	0	7	-22	3	-	-	-	w 0-3F
35	S. Bratislava	8	0	0	8	-20	0	-	-	-	-
36	Young Boys	8	0	0	8	-21	0	-	-	-	-

	Next round
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Win / draw / win form

Arsenal have not lost in 15 consecutive home european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

7 / 20

Clean sheets

13 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal	3 - 0	Real Madrid
Arsenal	2 - 2	PSV
Arsenal	3 - 0	D. Zagreb
Arsenal	3 - 0	Monaco
Arsenal	1 - 0	Shakhtar
Arsenal	2 - 0	PSG
Arsenal	2 - 2	Bayern
Arsenal	1 - 0	Porto
Arsenal	6 - 0	Lens
Arsenal	2 - 0	Sevilla
Arsenal	4 - 0	PSV
Arsenal	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Arsenal	1 - 0	Zurich
Arsenal	1 - 0	PSV
Arsenal	3 - 0	Bodø
Arsenal	0 - 0	Villarreal
Arsenal	1 - 1	Slavia
Arsenal	0 - 1	Olympiakos
Arsenal	3 - 2	Benfica
Arsenal	4 - 1	Rapid Wien

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Arsenal	2 - 1	Real Madrid
H	Arsenal	3 - 0	Real Madrid
H	Arsenal	2 - 2	PSV
A	Arsenal	7 - 1	PSV
A	Arsenal	2 - 1	Girona
H	Arsenal	3 - 0	D. Zagreb
H	Arsenal	3 - 0	Monaco
A	Arsenal	5 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Arsenal	0 - 1	Inter
H	Arsenal	1 - 0	Shakhtar
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	PSG
A	Arsenal	0 - 0	Atalanta
A	Arsenal	0 - 1	Bayern
H	Arsenal	2 - 2	Bayern
H	Arsenal	1 - 0	Porto
A	Arsenal	0 - 1	Porto
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	PSV
H	Arsenal	6 - 0	Lens
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	Sevilla
A	Arsenal	2 - 1	Sevilla

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
Liverpool	0 - 1	PSG
Brest	0 - 3	PSG
Stuttgart	1 - 4	PSG
Salzburg	0 - 3	PSG
Bayern	1 - 0	PSG
Arsenal	2 - 0	PSG
Dortmund	1 - 0	PSG
Barcelona	1 - 4	PSG
R.Sociedad	1 - 2	PSG
Dortmund	1 - 1	PSG
Milan	2 - 1	PSG
Newcastle	4 - 1	PSG
Bayern	2 - 0	PSG
Juventus	1 - 2	PSG
Benfica	1 - 1	PSG
M. Haifa	1 - 3	PSG
Real Madrid	3 - 1	PSG
Man City	2 - 1	PSG
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	PSG

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	PSG	2 - 3	A Villa
H	PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
A	PSG	1 - 0	Liverpool
H	PSG	0 - 1	Liverpool
H	PSG	7 - 0	Brest
A	PSG	3 - 0	Brest
A	PSG	4 - 1	Stuttgart
H	PSG	4 - 2	Man City
A	PSG	3 - 0	Salzburg
A	PSG	0 - 1	Bayern
H	PSG	1 - 2	A.Madrid
H	PSG	1 - 1	PSV
A	PSG	0 - 2	Arsenal
H	PSG	1 - 0	Girona
H	PSG	0 - 1	Dortmund
A	PSG	0 - 1	Dortmund
A	PSG	4 - 1	Barcelona
H	PSG	2 - 3	Barcelona
A	PSG	2 - 1	R.Sociedad
H	PSG	2 - 0	R.Sociedad

Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Arsenal's defensive record is to be admired, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Champions League outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Paris Saint-Germain makes sense in this context.

	Arsenal 3rd	PSG 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that PSG will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-8 PSG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season

ARS

PSG

30%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		19
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	13		16
Goals scored	37		66
Avg. goals scored	1.9		3.3
Avg. shots per game	9		14
Avg. shots per goal	5		4
Conversion rate for	21		23
Avg. XG for	1.7		2.3
KickOff rating		+30%

ARS

PSG

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		13
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	5		4
Goals conceded	16		18
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Arsenal v PSG will show here when available.

Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	4	2	3
D Raya	K Havertz	L Trossard	R Sterling

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Trossard FWD	10	2	2	-
D Raya GLK	9			1 -
J Timber DEF	9	1	1	2 -
G Magalhães DEF	9	1		1 -
D Rice MID	9	2	2	2 -
T Partey MID	9			1 -
G Martinelli FWD	9	1	1	2 -
M Merino MID	8	1	2	1 -
K Havertz FWD	8	4	2	-
W Saliba DEF	7			-
R Calafiori DEF	7	1	1	1 -
M Ødegaard MID	7	3	1	-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	6		1	1 -
J Kiwior DEF	6			1 -
E Nwaneri MID	6	2		-
Jorginho MID	6	1		-
R Sterling FWD	6		2	3 -
O Zinchenko DEF	5	1		-
B White DEF	5			1 -
B Saka FWD	5	4	2	-
G Jesus FWD	5		1	1 -
K Tierney DEF	3			-
Neto GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	2	9
K Havertz	B Saka	L Trossard	K Havertz

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Saka FWD	4	8	2	4
K Havertz FWD	4	7	2	9
M Ødegaard MID	3	3	1	8
E Nwaneri MID	2	6		1
L Trossard FWD	2	3	2	7
D Rice MID	2	3	2	5
G Magalhães DEF	1	1
O Zinchenko DEF	1	1		3
M Merino MID	1	4	2	2
R Calafiori DEF	1	3	1	3
J Timber DEF	1	1	1	2
G Martinelli FWD	1	5	1	7
Jorginho MID	1	1		2
K Tierney DEF				2
G Jesus FWD		4	1	4
B White DEF		1		1
T Partey MID		2		5
R Sterling FWD		4	2	3
J Kiwior DEF				1
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
568	17	40
G Magalhães	M Merino	M Merino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Magalhães DEF	568	5	37
W Saliba DEF	426	14	30
T Partey MID	406	12	27
D Rice MID	341	11	23
D Raya GLK	257		3
J Kiwior DEF	253	12	20
M Ødegaard MID	248	4	12
Jorginho MID	234	5	9
J Timber DEF	224	12	38
B White DEF	212	4	9
L Trossard FWD	202	2	15
R Calafiori DEF	184	12	24
K Havertz FWD	180	5	31
M Merino MID	176	17	40
B Saka FWD	154	8	23
G Martinelli FWD	148	8	29
O Zinchenko DEF	129		5
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	115	2	11
R Sterling FWD	99	3	19
G Jesus FWD	84	7	17
E Nwaneri MID	56	5	13
K Tierney DEF	46	2	3
Neto GLK	31

PSG Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	7	5	3
A Hakimi	O Dembélé	A Hakimi	N Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Hakimi DEF	13	1	5	1 -
W Pacho DEF	13			-
F Ruiz MID	13		4	2 -
Vitinha MID	13	2	1	-
J Neves MID	13	1	1	1 -
B Barcola FWD	13	3	3	1 -
N Mendes DEF	12	3	1	3 -
Marquinhos DEF	12			3 -
D Doué FWD	12	3	3	-
G Donnarumma GLK	11			-
W Zaïre-Emery MID	11	1		-
O Dembélé FWD	11	7	2	1 1
K Lee FWD	11			-
G Ramos FWD	9	3	1	-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	5	2	1	-
L Beraldo DEF	4			-
L Hernández DEF	3			-
S. Mayulu MID	3	1		-
M Safonov GLK	2			-
P Kimpembe DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	18	5	18
O Dembélé	O Dembélé	A Hakimi	A Hakimi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Dembélé FWD	7	18	2	11
B Barcola FWD	3	12	3	13
N Mendes DEF	3	3	1	3
G Ramos FWD	3	5	1	3
D Doué FWD	3	11	3	4
Vitinha MID	2	6	1	7
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	2	7	1	2
A Hakimi DEF	1	11	5	18
S. Mayulu MID	1	1
W Zaïre-Emery MID	1	2		7
J Neves MID	1	5	1	9
W Pacho DEF				2
K Lee FWD		6		15
Marquinhos DEF		2		4
L Beraldo DEF		1
F Ruiz MID		4	4	11

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1125	42	93
Vitinha	J Neves	N Mendes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Vitinha MID	1125	14	44
A Hakimi DEF	991	25	64
W Pacho DEF	990	23	57
Marquinhos DEF	969	23	54
J Neves MID	835	42	78
N Mendes DEF	790	34	93
F Ruiz MID	481	18	23
O Dembélé FWD	469	6	44
W Zaïre-Emery MID	364	12	29
B Barcola FWD	327	9	47
K Lee FWD	303	9	22
G Donnarumma GLK	266		13
D Doué FWD	247	13	37
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	208	6	28
L Beraldo DEF	124	2	4
L Hernández DEF	61	1	1
M Safonov GLK	55
G Ramos FWD	40	1	8
S. Mayulu MID	19	1	3
P Kimpembe DEF	19	1	1

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Arsenal v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arsenal have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Champions League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

PSG are in 15th position in the Champions League on 13 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Arsenal v PSG will show here when available.

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