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FC Lugano v Winterthur : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 15:30 BST, Comunale di Cornaredo, Lugano

Mattia Croci-Torti's FC Lugano side will have home backing in the Super League on Sunday afternoon, as Antonio Di Natale's Winterthur travel to the Comunale di Cornaredo. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will update as you explore each of the betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our predictions will too.

Best Tip: FC Lugano to win

As the stadium fills and the FC Lugano players prepare themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Comunale di Cornaredo hasn't been an easy place to go for Winterthur in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think FC Lugano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
FC Lugano 62%	2/5	4/11
Draw 20%	15/4	18/5
Winterthur 18%	6/1	19/4
FC Lugano 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
FC Lugano 2-0 10%	7/1	6/1
Draw 1-1 9%	17/2	15/2
FC Lugano 1-0 9%	15/2	13/2
FC Lugano 3-1 7%	10/1	17/2
FC Lugano 3-0 7%	9/1	8/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Winterthur 2-1 5%	20/1	14/1
Winterthur 1-0 4%	20/1	14/1
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1	12/1
FC Lugano 4-1 4%	18/1	14/1
FC Lugano 3-2 4%	20/1	14/1
FC Lugano 4-0 4%	16/1	12/1
Winterthur 2-0 2%	40/1	22/1
FC Lugano 4-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	8/15	1/2
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	7/5	13/10
Home 1st Goal 56%	2/7	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	13/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	16/1	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	8/11	3/4
BTTS - No 43%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 31%	15/8	7/4
BTTS - Draw 16%	5/1	19/4
BTTS - Away Win 10%	10/1	17/2
Home/draw 82%	1/10	1/9
Away/draw 38%	7/4	9/5
Home/away 80%	2/11	1/6
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6	1/7
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	4/1	7/2
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	5/4	5/4
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	4/7	8/15
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	3/1	27/10
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	2/9	2/9
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	7/1	11/2
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/12	1/14
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/200
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	16/1	11/1
Home DNB 76%	1/7	1/7
Away DNB 32%	9/2	4/1
FC Lugano win to nil 31%	6/4	-
Winterthur win to nil 8%	12/1	-
FC Lugano / FC Lugano 39%	11/10	21/20
FC Lugano / Winterthur 2%	40/1	33/1
FC Lugano / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1
Draw / FC Lugano 19%	10/3	16/5
Draw / Winterthur 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Draw 11%	13/2	6/1
Winterthur / FC Lugano 5%	18/1	14/1
Winterthur / Winterthur 8%	11/1	17/2
Winterthur / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Super League table

FC Lugano have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. FC Lugano have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

FC Lugano have played 14 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Winterthur are in 12th position in the Super League on 20 points having played 27 matches so far this season. Winterthur are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Winterthur have conceded 56 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	FC Lugano Winterthur
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Servette	27	9	48	w 3-1A	l 3-0A	Mar 29	-	l 0-1A	d 1-1A	-	l 3-1F
2	Basel	27	27	46	d 2-2A	w 1-2F	-	Apr 6	l 1-6A	l 5-0A	Mar 30	-
3	FC Luzern	27	6	44	l 2-3F	w 1-4F	w 2-0F	-	l 3-4A	l 3-0A	-	l 3-2F
4	FC Lugano H	27	4	42	-	-	-	-	l 2-3F	l 2-1F	-	Mar 16
5	Young Boys	27	8	40	w 2-0F	l 2-1A	-	l 1-0A	l 1-4A	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	-
6	St Gallen	27	4	39	d 1-1A	l 2-1F	Apr 13	-	w 1-0F	d 2-2F	w 4-0F	-
7	Zurich	27	-1	39	w 4-1A	d 1-1F	l 0-3A	-	l 0-2A	l 4-2A	Apr 5	-
8	Lausanne	27	6	37	l 1-4A	w 1-2F	-	Apr 19	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	Apr 12	-
9	Sion	27	-6	33	w 3-2A	d 0-00-0	-	l 2-1A	l 1-3A	l 2-0A	-	Apr 2
10	Yverdon Sport	27	-17	28	w 2-0F	l 2-0A	-	Apr 1	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A	-	l 2-1A
11	Grasshoppers	27	-11	26	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	-	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	-	Apr 19
12	Winterthur A	27	-29	20	w 2-1A	w 2-3A	Mar 16	-	-	-	-	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
FC Lugano	0 - 3	Zurich
FC Lugano	2 - 0	FC Luzern
FC Lugano	1 - 1	Grasshoppers
FC Lugano	3 - 2	Sion
FC Lugano	2 - 2	Basel
FC Lugano	1 - 4	Lausanne
FC Lugano	4 - 1	Zurich
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Yverdon Sport
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Young Boys
FC Lugano	2 - 1	Winterthur
FC Lugano	1 - 1	St Gallen
FC Lugano	2 - 3	FC Luzern
FC Lugano	3 - 1	Servette
FC Lugano	2 - 1	Grasshoppers
FC Lugano	0 - 2	Servette
FC Lugano	4 - 2	Winterthur
FC Lugano	0 - 1	St Gallen
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Lausanne
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Basel
FC Lugano	2 - 0	Yverdon Sport

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Sion
H	FC Lugano	0 - 3	Zurich
A	FC Lugano	0 - 1	Young Boys
H	FC Lugano	2 - 0	FC Luzern
H	FC Lugano	1 - 1	Grasshoppers
A	FC Lugano	1 - 2	St Gallen
H	FC Lugano	3 - 2	Sion
A	FC Lugano	3 - 2	Winterthur
H	FC Lugano	2 - 2	Basel
H	FC Lugano	1 - 4	Lausanne
A	FC Lugano	4 - 1	FC Luzern
A	FC Lugano	0 - 3	Servette
H	FC Lugano	4 - 1	Zurich
A	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Young Boys
H	FC Lugano	2 - 0	Yverdon Sport
A	FC Lugano	1 - 1	Grasshoppers
H	FC Lugano	2 - 0	Young Boys
A	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Yverdon Sport
A	FC Lugano	1 - 1	Zurich
H	FC Lugano	2 - 1	Winterthur

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Yverdon Sport	2 - 1	Winterthur
Servette	3 - 1	Winterthur
FC Luzern	3 - 2	Winterthur
Yverdon Sport	3 - 0	Winterthur
Young Boys	0 - 0	Winterthur
Servette	1 - 1	Winterthur
Grasshoppers	1 - 1	Winterthur
Basel	5 - 0	Winterthur
St Gallen	2 - 2	Winterthur
Lausanne	2 - 0	Winterthur
FC Lugano	2 - 1	Winterthur
FC Luzern	3 - 0	Winterthur
Sion	2 - 0	Winterthur
Zurich	4 - 2	Winterthur
Young Boys	3 - 0	Winterthur
FC Lugano	4 - 2	Winterthur
Servette	2 - 1	Winterthur
L-Ouchy	0 - 1	Winterthur
Zurich	0 - 0	Winterthur
Basel	1 - 1	Winterthur

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Winterthur	1 - 2	Yverdon Sport
H	Winterthur	4 - 0	St Gallen
A	Winterthur	1 - 3	Servette
H	Winterthur	1 - 0	Young Boys
A	Winterthur	2 - 3	FC Luzern
H	Winterthur	0 - 2	Zurich
A	Winterthur	0 - 3	Yverdon Sport
H	Winterthur	2 - 3	FC Lugano
A	Winterthur	0 - 0	Young Boys
H	Winterthur	3 - 4	FC Luzern
A	Winterthur	1 - 1	Servette
H	Winterthur	1 - 3	Sion
A	Winterthur	1 - 1	Grasshoppers
H	Winterthur	1 - 0	Lausanne
A	Winterthur	0 - 5	Basel
A	Winterthur	2 - 2	St Gallen
H	Winterthur	1 - 6	Basel
A	Winterthur	0 - 2	Lausanne
H	Winterthur	1 - 0	Grasshoppers
A	Winterthur	1 - 2	FC Lugano

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

FC Lugano have beaten Winterthur in 5 consecutive home league meetings

FC Lugano have not lost to Winterthur in 7 consecutive league meetings

FC Lugano

Winterthur

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

LUG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT FC Lugano
FC Lugano		2 - 1
FC Lugano		4 - 2
FC Lugano		2 - 1
FC Lugano		2 - 1
FC Lugano		3 - 1

Winterthur

FC Lugano

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

0 / 5

LUG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Winterthur
	2 - 3	FC Lugano
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	FC Lugano
Winterthur	1 - 0
	1 - 4	FC Lugano

Goal Statistics

FC Lugano's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Super League matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

	FC Lugano 4th	Winterthur 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 17% There is a 63% probability that FC Lugano will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Winterthur will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+4 FC Lugano’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-28 Winterthur have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Super League - 2024/2024 season

20%

better

LUG

view stats

Games scored	22		18
Failed to score	5		9
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	43		27
Avg. goals scored	1.6		1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		13
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.2
KickOff rating		+20%

LUG

better

view stats

Games conceded	23		20
Clean sheets	4		7
Conceded first	17		15
Goals conceded	39		56
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		15
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.4		2.1
KickOff rating		+4%

FC Lugano v Winterthur Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

FC Lugano Super League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	7	4	8
A Saipi	R Steffen	Y Cimignani	A Hajdari

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Saipi GLK	26			3 -
A Grgic MID	25	6	2	4 -
Y Cimignani MID	24	3	4	4 -
O Doumbia MID	24		1	4 -
M Bottani MID	23	1		2 -
D Correia MID	23		2	2 -
H Mahmoud MID	23	4		1
L Mai DEF	22			5 -
U Bislimi MID	22	1	1	6 -
A Hajdari DEF	21	1		8 -
A Papadopoulos DEF	21	1		8 -
K Przybylko FWD	19	4	1	2 -
M Zanotti DEF	17		3	5 -
H Mahou FWD	17	1	2	1 -
R Steffen FWD	17	7	3	4 -
M Marques DEF	16			1 -
S Vladi FWD	16	3	2	-
M Valenzuela DEF	15		3	3 -
I Aliseda FWD	15	6	3	-
Z Brault-Guillard DEF	13		1	2 -
R Macek MID	10			3 -
G Koutsias FWD	9	2		2 -
A Wafi DEF	8			1 -
A Arigoni DEF	3			-
S Osigwe GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	14	4	25
R Steffen	I Aliseda	Y Cimignani	U Bislimi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Steffen FWD	7	12	3	19
I Aliseda FWD	6	14	3	9
A Grgic MID	6	8	2	23
H Mahmoud MID	4	11		7
K Przybylko FWD	4	11	1	8
Y Cimignani MID	3	10	4	12
S Vladi FWD	3	10	2	4
G Koutsias FWD	2	7		2
A Hajdari DEF	1	2		4
M Bottani MID	1	10		11
U Bislimi MID	1	8	1	25
A Papadopoulos DEF	1	4		5
H Mahou FWD	1	8	2	10
R Macek MID		1
A Wafi DEF		1		2
Z Brault-Guillard DEF		1	1	5
M Zanotti DEF		8	3	11
M Valenzuela DEF		1	3	10
M Marques DEF		2		5
L Mai DEF		1		1
D Correia MID		13	2	9
O Doumbia MID		1	1	7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1206	51	121
A Grgic	L Mai	L Mai

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Grgic MID	1206	23	47
A Hajdari DEF	1201	44	105
A Papadopoulos DEF	1174	39	101
U Bislimi MID	1141	36	78
A Saipi GLK	1091	1	5
L Mai DEF	1022	51	121
O Doumbia MID	703	29	70
M Valenzuela DEF	609	31	65
M Zanotti DEF	584	35	106
R Steffen FWD	578	10	59
M Marques DEF	572	37	76
H Mahmoud MID	551	39	74
Y Cimignani MID	533	13	67
M Bottani MID	464	19	64
D Correia MID	418	21	61
Z Brault-Guillard DEF	412	14	39
A Wafi DEF	381	9	24
H Mahou FWD	337	7	49
I Aliseda FWD	333	5	36
K Przybylko FWD	307	3	51
R Macek MID	174	5	11
G Koutsias FWD	96	2	16
S Vladi FWD	80		10
S Osigwe GLK	24		1
A Arigoni DEF	15	2	4

Winterthur Super League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	3	6
M Giusto	M Giusto	R Schneider	A Durrer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Giusto MID	27	6	1	-
R Arnold DEF	25	1	1	4 1
R Schneider MID	23	1	3	3 -
S Kapino GLK	22			3 -
T Schättin DEF	21		1	2 2
S Sidler DEF	21			3 -
B Stillhart DEF	20	1	1	3 -
F Frei MID	20	1	2	5 -
L Zuffi MID	19	3		1 -
G Lekaj DEF	17	1		3 1
A Durrer MID	17		2	6 -
L. Bajrami FWD	17	3		1 -
J Lukembila FWD	16		1	1 -
C. Louis Gomis FWD	16	2	1	2 -
L Lüthi DEF	15			2 -
S Diaby DEF	13			3 -
L Mühl DEF	12			-
B Fofana FWD	12			1 -
N Burkart FWD	11	2	2	-
D Ulrich MID	8			1 -
M Kuster GLK	7			-
S Cueni MID	7			-
R Buess FWD	5	1		2 -
A. Krasniqi FWD	5			1 -
F Rohner MID	4		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	20	3	20
M Giusto	M Giusto	R Schneider	M Giusto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Giusto MID	6	20	1	20
L Zuffi MID	3	4		11
L. Bajrami FWD	3	6		3
C. Louis Gomis FWD	2	6	1	4
N Burkart FWD	2	6	2	5
R Schneider MID	1	9	3	9
R Buess FWD	1	1		1
B Stillhart DEF	1	4	1	10
F Frei MID	1	5	2	16
G Lekaj DEF	1	1		1
R Arnold DEF	1	3	1	5
B Fofana FWD		7		1
D Ulrich MID		1		1
J Lukembila FWD		5	1	8
L Mühl DEF		1
S Diaby DEF		1
L Lüthi DEF		3
A Durrer MID		4	2	4
S Sidler DEF		2		7
T Schättin DEF			1	6
F Rohner MID			1	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
970	42	111
R Arnold	R Arnold	R Arnold

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Arnold DEF	970	42	111
F Frei MID	830	27	49
M Giusto MID	779	34	87
G Lekaj DEF	724	20	52
S Sidler DEF	700	30	60
S Kapino GLK	692	1	3
L Lüthi DEF	673	23	62
L Zuffi MID	664	19	41
B Stillhart DEF	608	29	66
T Schättin DEF	591	19	80
R Schneider MID	517	35	79
L Mühl DEF	501	25	44
S Diaby DEF	355	24	41
A Durrer MID	257	21	47
M Kuster GLK	234		3
C. Louis Gomis FWD	213	14	59
D Ulrich MID	205	10	27
J Lukembila FWD	181	13	51
N Burkart FWD	154	5	31
L. Bajrami FWD	97	3	12
B Fofana FWD	91	1	19
S Cueni MID	72	6	11
F Rohner MID	58	4	12
A. Krasniqi FWD	32	1	4
R Buess FWD	16	1	4

Swiss Super League match betting previews, predictions and odds

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FC Lugano v Winterthur

Sun 16th Mar, 15:30

FC Lugano v Winterthur : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

FC Lugano have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Winterthur are in 12th position in the Super League on 20 points having played 27 matches so far this season. Winterthur are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

FC Lugano v Winterthur Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

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