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Villarreal v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 17:30 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

The La Liga is the focus for both Villarreal and Real Madrid on Saturday evening, as bosses Marcelino Toral and Carlo Ancelotti go head to head at the Estadio de la Cerámica. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will update as you browse each of the betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both Real Madrid and Villarreal fans should have some reason to cheer as their teams go head-to-head, with our prediction of both teams to score looking a far stronger pick than any bet on the full time result market. The two teams have plenty in attack, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookmakers odds are not finding anything to pick between the sides, as striking power and defensive options suggest each team is capable of both scoring and conceding. Both teams to score is the tip of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
36%
11/5
7%
21/10
7%
Draw
23%
13/514/5
3%
Real Madrid
41%
11/10
5%
23/20
Draw 1-1
10%
13/213/2
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Villarreal 2-1
8%
11/19/1
5%
Draw 2-2
7%
9/19/1
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
12/19/1
9%
Villarreal 1-0
6%
16/1
13%
11/1
Real Madrid 2-0
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Villarreal 2-0
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Villarreal 3-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/114/1
Villarreal 3-2
4%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/112/1
13%
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Villarreal 3-0
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1/210/21
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/86/4
4%
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/5
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/13
3%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
66%
4/94/9
BTTS - No
34%
13/88/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4/1
5%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
25%
12/5
3%
9/4
2%
Home/draw
59%
7/10
2%
7/10
2%
Away/draw
64%
4/114/11
3%
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/71/7
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6/523/20
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
4/613/20
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3/1
7%
5/2
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
11/25/1
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/91/10
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Home DNB
52%
11/8
8%
5/4
5%
Away DNB
57%
8/15
6%
4/7
3%
Villarreal win to nil
14%
7/1
14%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
16%
7/2
10%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
17%
4/1
11%
18/5
2%
Villarreal / Real Madrid
4%
20/116/1
Villarreal / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Villarreal
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Draw / Real Madrid
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Draw
13%
11/25/1
Real Madrid / Villarreal
4%
22/118/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
24%
12/5
3%
9/4
2%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Villarreal have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. Villarreal are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Villarreal have conceded 12 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Villarreal have played 12 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 57 points in the La Liga league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 57 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 14 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2618354657 
l
 
1-5A
May 18
l
 
0-4A
May 11
2
Real Madrid A2717643157 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
-
-
3
A.Madrid2716832656 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
4
A.Bilbao27131042149 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
5
Villarreal Home2612861244 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
6
Real Betis271188241 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 13
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
7
Mallorca2710710-737 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
May 14
d
 
1-1F
8
R.Vallecano27999036 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
9
Celta2710611-136 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 23
May 4
w
 
1-2F
10
Sevilla27999-436 
May 25
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-2F
May 18
11
R.Sociedad2710413-534 
Apr 20
l
 
1-0A
May 25
w
 
0-2F
12
Getafe278910133 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 30
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
13
Girona279612-533 
d
 
2-2F
May 11
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
14
Osasuna267127-533 
May 4
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Espanyol267712-1228 
Apr 9
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
16
Valencia276912-1527 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
w
 
1-2A
17
Leganes276912-1627 
May 14
w
 
2-5A
Mar 29
w
 
0-3F
18
Alaves276813-1026 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
19
Las Palmas276615-1524 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
20
Valladolid274419-4416 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Villarreal 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal1 - 1Valencia
Villarreal5 - 1Valladolid
Villarreal4 - 0Mallorca
Villarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 2Real Betis
Villarreal2 - 2Girona
Villarreal3 - 0Alaves
Villarreal1 - 1Getafe
Villarreal3 - 1Las Palmas
Villarreal1 - 5Barcelona
Villarreal4 - 3Celta
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
Villarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
Villarreal3 - 2Sevilla
Villarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0Valencia
Villarreal5 - 1Granada
Villarreal1 - 1Getafe
Villarreal0 - 0Cadiz
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVillarreal0 - 1Alaves
AVillarreal1 - 0R.Vallecano
HVillarreal1 - 1Valencia
AVillarreal2 - 1Las Palmas
HVillarreal5 - 1Valladolid
AVillarreal1 - 1A.Madrid
HVillarreal4 - 0Mallorca
AVillarreal0 - 1R.Sociedad
AVillarreal5 - 2Leganes
HVillarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
HVillarreal1 - 2Real Betis
AVillarreal0 - 2A.Bilbao
HVillarreal2 - 2Girona
AVillarreal2 - 2Osasuna
HVillarreal3 - 0Alaves
AVillarreal2 - 1Valladolid
HVillarreal1 - 1Getafe
AVillarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
HVillarreal3 - 1Las Palmas
AVillarreal2 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
Girona0 - 3Real Madrid
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
Leganes0 - 3Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
Granada0 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 4Real Madrid
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Villarreal have not lost to Real Madrid in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Villarreal since 2014
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
16
17
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
VIL
2
D
6
RMD
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Villarreal
Draw4 - 4Draw
Villarreal2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 0
0 - 2Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
20
11
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
VIL
2
D
3
RMD
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
2 - 3Villarreal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
0 - 1Villarreal
Draw1 - 1Draw
Real Madrid3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Villarreal have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Real Madrid on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Villarreal 5th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Villarreal have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
+18
Real Madrid have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278421/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.6
1.7
Attack rating
VIL
RMD
16%
better
view stats
Games scored22
25
Failed to score4
2
Scored first15
18
Goals scored48
57
Avg. goals scored1.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
VIL
RMD
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
17
Clean sheets3
10
Conceded first11
9
Goals conceded36
26
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Villarreal v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251178
S CardonaA PérezÁlex BaenaÁlex Baena
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Cardona DEF2516
5
-
T Barry FWD2583
3
-
Álex Baena MID2467
8
-
S Comesaña MID2432
5
-
P Gueye MID242
4
1
D Parejo MID2431
6
-
Y Pino MID2314
8
-
K Femenía DEF211
6
-
D Conde GLK201
2
-
L Costa DEF202
2
-
A Pérez FWD1911
3
-
N Pépé FWD1812
1
-
Albiol DEF15
5
-
D Suárez MID1412
-
G Moreno FWD1231
-
I Akhomach FWD111
1
-
E Bailly DEF10
2
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF10
-
J Foyth DEF9
2
-
W. Kambwala DEF9
1
L Júnior GLK7
-
T Buchanan MID4
-
A Pedraza DEF2
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251869
K MbappéK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID2624
8
-
F Valverde MID2553
4
-
K Mbappé FWD25183
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF24
3
-
Rodrygo FWD2465
-
T Courtois GLK23
-
L Vázquez DEF2213
2
-
B Díaz MID2242
1
-
A Tchouameni MID22
2
-
F García DEF211
-
J Bellingham MID2176
2
1
V Junior FWD21105
7
2
A Güler MID1713
1
-
Endrick FWD161
1
-
D Ceballos MID15
4
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF141
-
F Mendy DEF141
1
1
E Camavinga MID132
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Alaba DEF5
1
-
A Lunin GLK41
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-