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Real Valladolid v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 30th Nov, 20:00 BST, José Zorrilla, Valladolid

Diego Simeone pays counterpart Paulo César Pezzolano Suárez a visit on Saturday night in the La Liga, as their Atletico de Madrid and Real Valladolid sides face each other at the José Zorrilla. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on La Liga match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Valladolid and A.Madrid go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in terms of who could claim victory. The stats do not supply any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.62 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valladolid
22%
19/4
15%
19/5
Draw
30%
11/4
7%
12/5
6%
A.Madrid
48%
3/5
8%
4/5
3%
A.Madrid 1-0
17%
5/19/2
5%
Draw 0-0
14%
15/2
6%
6/1
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2
7%
11/2
A.Madrid 2-0
11%
6/16/1
8%
Valladolid 1-0
10%
12/1
18%
17/2
6%
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
15/27/1
Valladolid 2-1
5%
18/1
12%
12/1
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
10/1
15%
11/1
9%
Valladolid 2-0
4%
28/1
26%
16/1
A.Madrid 3-1
3%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
A.Madrid 4-0
1%
22/1
21%
20/1
A.Madrid 3-2
1%
33/122/1
Valladolid 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
28/1
A.Madrid 4-1
1%
28/1
15%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
11/10
5%
6/5
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
8/11
4%
3/5
Home 1st Goal
38%
12/5
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
2/5
7%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
37%
21/2011/10
2%
BTTS - No
63%
7/104/6
3%
BTTS - Home Win
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
3/1
8%
16/5
3%
Home/draw
52%
13/10
12%
1/1
2%
Away/draw
78%
1/7
3%
2/11
Home/away
70%
1/4
3%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
4/11
3%
2/5
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
11/5
7%
7/4
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
11/4
6%
3/1
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
2/7
3%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
6/1
22%
7/1
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/10
3%
1/16
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
11%
16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/401/150
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/14
1%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
8/1
13%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
43%
3/1
7%
12/5
Away DNB
69%
2/9
2%
2/7
Valladolid win to nil
15%
8/1
13%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
34%
11/8
9%
-
Valladolid / Valladolid
9%
9/1
18%
13/2
Valladolid / A.Madrid
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Valladolid / Draw
5%
16/112/1
13%
Draw / Valladolid
8%
10/1
10%
8/1
Draw / A.Madrid
19%
3/1
8%
16/5
Draw / Draw
17%
4/117/5
8%
A.Madrid / Valladolid
2%
40/133/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
30%
6/4
9%
9/5
4%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Valladolid have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Valladolid have conceded 25 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Valladolid have played 7 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 3rd place on 26 points in the La Liga league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Valladolid
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1311022833 
May 4
l
 
7-0A
Mar 16
Dec 21
2
Real Madrid128311427 
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
3
A.Madrid 137511226 
Nov 30
Apr 13
-
-
4
Villarreal12732424 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 2
Jan 26
d
 
2-2A
5
Osasuna13634-321 
Apr 20
l
 
1-0A
Jan 11
May 14
6
A.Bilbao13553620 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 23
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
7
Real Betis13553220 
Jan 11
Apr 23
May 18
l
 
1-0A
8
R.Sociedad13535118 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
May 11
d
 
1-1F
9
Mallorca13535018 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
Feb 2
w
 
0-1F
10
Girona13535-118 
May 14
Dec 20
w
 
3-0F
May 25
11
Celta13526-217 
Mar 16
l
 
3-1A
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
12
R.Vallecano12444016 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 9
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
13
Sevilla13436-615 
Feb 16
l
 
2-1A
Dec 8
Apr 6
14
Leganes13355-314 
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
w
 
3-1A
Jan 19
15
Alaves13418-813 
May 18
w
 
2-3A
Nov 23
May 4
16
Las Palmas13337-612 
Mar 2
Dec 7
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
17
Getafe13175-310 
Apr 6
Nov 22
Dec 15
Mar 9
18
Espanyol12318-1110 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 19
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
19
Valladolid 13238-159 
-
-
Apr 13
Nov 30
20
Valencia11146-97 
Dec 13
Mar 9
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
Win / draw / win form
6
Valladolid have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Valladolid 19TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
A.Madrid have beaten Valladolid in 5 consecutive league meetings
8
A.Madrid have not lost to Valladolid in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Valladolid since 2018
Valladolid
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
D
1
ATM
3
League games at A.Madrid since 2019
A.Madrid
Valladolid
Goals: Scored
7
0
Games: Scored
4 / 4
0 / 4
Clean sheets
4 / 4
0 / 4
ATM
4
Goal Statistics
Valladolid 19th A.Madrid 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Valladolid scoring 1 goal or less
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
4+
There is a 65% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Valladolid have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-22
A.Madrid have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278309/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Valladolid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
0.7
1.2
Attack rating
VLD
ATM
40%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score5
2
Scored first3
7
Goals scored10
19
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
VLD
ATM
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
6
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded25
7
Avg. goals conceded1.9
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
16
Conversion rate against17%
6%
Avg. XG against1.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+50%

Valladolid v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valladolid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13315
K HeinR MoroR MoroL Rosa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Hein GLK13
-
L Pérez DEF13
1
-
R Moro FWD1331
1
-
E Cömert DEF12
4
-
L Rosa DEF12
5
-
K Pérez MID121
4
-
V Meseguer MID11
-
S Juric MID11
4
-
I Sánchez FWD1111
2
-
S Amallah  MID1021
1
-
M Martín MID101
3
1
M Sylla FWD1021
1
-
D Torres DEF9
4
-
J Latasa FWD9
4
-
J Sánchez DEF7
2
-
M André FWD7
2
-
A Ndiaye FWD61
-
Anuar  MID51
2
-
D Machís FWD5
-
I. San José Cantalejo MID4
1
-
C Özkacar DEF3
-
Kenedy FWD1
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12444
J OblakJ ÁlvarezA GriezmannC Lenglet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Koke MID131
3
-
J Álvarez FWD1341
1
-
A Sörloth FWD1342
-
A Griezmann FWD1334
1
-
J Oblak GLK12
-
R Mandava DEF12
3
-
J Giménez DEF12
1
-
R Paul MID122
2
-
Ángel Correa FWD122
1
-
N Molina DEF101
-
C Gallagher MID102
1
-
S Lino MID101
1
-
R Riquelme FWD91
-
A Witsel DEF81
-
M Llorente MID821
1
1
P Barrios MID81
1
-
R Normand DEF7
2
-
C Azpilicueta DEF5
-
J Galán DEF51
2
-
C Lenglet DEF4
4
-
J Musso GLK1
-
T Lemar MID1
-