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Valencia CF v Las Palmas : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Oct, 20:00 BST, Mestalla, Valencia

Valencia CF are in La Liga action on Monday night, as Rubén Baraja Vegas attempts to outsmart Luis Miguel Carrión Delgado and his Las Palmas side at the Mestalla. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 79% chance of Valencia and Las Palmas 3 goals or less combined during this La Liga fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valencia
57%
1.75
3%
1.80
3%
Draw
25%
3.60
5%
3.50
3%
Las Palmas
18%
4.75
16%
4.80
9%
Valencia 1-0
15%
5.505.25
5%
Valencia 2-0
12%
7.007.00
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00
7%
6.50
Valencia 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 0-0
9%
8.00
6%
7.00
Las Palmas 1-0
7%
10.00
11%
9.50
6%
Valencia 3-0
6%
13.0012.00
Valencia 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Las Palmas 2-1
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
9%
15.00
Las Palmas 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Valencia 4-0
3%
29.0023.00
Valencia 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
Valencia 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
13%
Las Palmas 3-1
1%
41.0034.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
2.302.25
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.621.57
2%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.50-
Away 1st Goal
37%
3.10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8.00
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
2.10
5%
2.15
2%
BTTS - No
57%
1.67
3%
1.65
1%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.504.33
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.50
8%
5.00
4%
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11.00
10%
9.50
12%
Home/draw
82%
1.18
2%
1.18
2%
Away/draw
43%
2.002.00
5%
Home/away
75%
1.29
6%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.40
3%
1.40
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.00
9%
2.70
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
4.334.00
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.221.20
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9.008.00
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.071.06
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
19.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.08
1%
1.08
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8.00
6%
7.00
Home DNB
75%
1.29
3%
1.29
3%
Away DNB
35%
3.50
8%
3.30
6%
Valencia win to nil
37%
2.62
5%
-
Las Palmas win to nil
11%
7.00
8%
-
Valencia / Valencia
29%
2.88
5%
2.75
5%
Valencia / Las Palmas
2%
41.0034.00
17%
Valencia / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Valencia
19%
4.334.33
2%
Draw / Las Palmas
9%
9.509.00
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
4.754.50
2%
Las Palmas / Valencia
3%
26.0021.00
Las Palmas / Las Palmas
10%
8.507.50
7%
Las Palmas / Draw
5%
17.0015.00
15%
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table
 

Las Palmas are in 20th position in the La Liga on 3 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Las Palmas are winless in the 9 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Las Palmas have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 1 game.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Las Palmas have conceded 17 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Valencia
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Las Palmas
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2F
Jan 26
 Barcelona98011924 
Feb 23
Dec 1
Nov 2
Apr 6
 Real Madrid96301321 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
Feb 23
l
 
3-0A
 A.Madrid9450817 
Apr 20
Nov 3
d
 
1-1F
Feb 16
 Villarreal9522017 
Feb 9
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 2
 Osasuna9432-115 
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
May 18
l
 
1-0A
 A.Bilbao9423314 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 23
Mar 30
Dec 1
 Mallorca9423114 
Nov 24
Feb 16
Dec 8
Apr 20
 R.Vallecano9342213 
May 11
Nov 8
Feb 2
l
 
3-1F
 Celta9414113 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 30
Nov 24
May 25
 Real Betis9333012 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
 Girona9333-112 
Oct 26
Feb 2
Apr 13
Jan 11
 Sevilla9333-112 
d
 
2-2A
May 14
Dec 22
May 14
 Alaves9315-410 
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
Apr 23
Nov 9
 Espanyol9315-410 
Dec 22
May 25
Jan 19
l
 
3-0A
 R.Sociedad9234-19 
Apr 6
Dec 15
May 11
Oct 27
 Getafe9153-18 
Jan 11
Apr 13
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
 Leganes9153-48 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Valencia Home9135-86 
May 4
Oct 21
Mar 9
Dec 15
 Valladolid9126-145 
Dec 8
Mar 2
Oct 21
May 4
 Las Palmas Away9036-83 
-
-
Win / draw / win form
4
Las Palmas have lost 4 consecutive away league games
23
Las Palmas have not won in 23 consecutive league games
3
Valencia have failed to score in 3 consecutive league games
Valencia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Las Palmas 20TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
23
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Draw
6
Lost
14
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Valencia since 2015
Valencia
Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
VAL
2
D
1
LPA
1
League games at Las Palmas since 2016
Las Palmas
Valencia
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
LPA
4
Goal Statistics

Valencia CF's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday night, not least because Las Palmas have conceded in each of their last 10 La Liga games. A PG of 1.6 for R. Baraja Vegas's side suggests that run should continue.

Valencia 18th Las Palmas 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Valencia will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Las Palmas scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Valencia have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
Las Palmas have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278260/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Valencia
PG (predicted goals)
Las Palmas
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
VAL
LPA
23%
better
view stats
Games scored4
7
Failed to score5
2
Scored first4
2
Goals scored5
9
Avg. goals scored0.6
1
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal12
10
Conversion rate for8
10
Avg. XG for0.7
1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
31%
better
VAL
LPA
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets3
0
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded13
17
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
2
KickOff rating
+31%

Valencia v Las Palmas La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9214
G MamardashviliH DuroPepeluPepelu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Mamardashvili GLK9
-
C Mosquera DEF9
2
-
T Correia DEF9
-
Pepelu MID91
4
-
D López FWD911
-
J Vázquez DEF8
2
-
D Foulquier DEF8
1
-
A Almeida MID8
-
J Guerra MID8
1
-
L Rioja FWD81
-
D Gómez FWD81
-
C Tárrega DEF7
2
-
H Duro FWD72
1
-
H Guillamón MID6
2
-
E Barrenechea MID5
-
S Canós FWD5
1
-
R Mir FWD41
1
-
Y. Gasiorowski Hernandis DEF3
-
G Valera FWD3
-
F Pérez MID1
-
Las Palmas La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8323
A MoleiroA MoleiroO McBurnieF Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Muñoz MID91
-
A Moleiro MID93
1
-
O McBurnie FWD92
-
V Rozada DEF81
1
-
K Rodríguez  MID81
1
-
J Mata FWD8
1
-
J Cillessen GLK7
1
-
A Suárez DEF7
2
-
Álex Muñoz DEF71
-
S Ramírez FWD731
1
-
M Mármol DEF6
2
-
S McKenna DEF6
-
E Loiodice MID6
1
-
B Ramírez FWD6
1
-
M Park FWD6
-
F Silva FWD51
3
-
M Fuster FWD5
-
J. Herzog DEF4
-
J Campaña MID4
1
-
D Essugo MID4
-
A Januzaj FWD41
2
-
M Cardona FWD3
-
D Horkas GLK2
1
-
D Sinkgraven DEF2
-
F González MID1
-