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Valencia CF v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 17:30 BST, Mestalla, Valencia

Carlos Corberan's Valencia CF side will have home backing in the La Liga on Saturday evening, as Diego Simeone's Atletico de Madrid visit the Mestalla. This preview has the best odds for 17 different markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Valencia and A.Madrid no more than 3 goals combined during this La Liga fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Valencia
29%
4.75
5%
4.80
9%
Draw
27%
3.50
3%
3.60
A.Madrid
44%
1.75
1%
1.75
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50
7%
6.50
A.Madrid 1-0
13%
6.005.75
Valencia 1-0
10%
11.0010.00
5%
Draw 0-0
9%
8.508.00
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8.508.00
A.Madrid 2-0
8%
7.507.00
7%
Valencia 2-1
7%
15.00
12%
13.00
Valencia 2-0
5%
23.0019.00
12%
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0015.00
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
15.0013.00
A.Madrid 3-0
4%
13.0012.00
Valencia 3-1
2%
41.0029.00
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Valencia 3-0
2%
51.0041.00
21%
Valencia 3-2
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
2.102.05
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
1.731.70
2%
Home 1st Goal
44%
3.00
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.50-
No 1st Goal
6%
8.50-
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.002.00
BTTS - No
53%
1.751.73
BTTS - Home Win
12%
10.00
9%
8.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.005.00
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4.334.00
Home/draw
56%
2.00
2%
2.05
5%
Away/draw
71%
1.18
1%
1.18
2%
Home/away
73%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1.361.36
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
3.202.90
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
4.003.70
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1.251.25
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8.007.00
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.081.08
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
17.0015.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Home DNB
48%
3.503.30
6%
Away DNB
63%
1.291.29
3%
Valencia win to nil
17%
8.00-
A.Madrid win to nil
27%
2.62-
Valencia / Valencia
11%
8.00
6%
7.00
8%
Valencia / A.Madrid
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
Valencia / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Draw / Valencia
9%
9.509.00
6%
Draw / A.Madrid
19%
4.334.33
2%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.004.80
A.Madrid / Valencia
2%
41.0029.00
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
29%
2.88
5%
2.70
4%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Valencia have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Valencia have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Valencia have played 12 games at home, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 2nd place on 49 points in the La Liga league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 11 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Valencia
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid2315532950 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
2
A.Madrid Away2314722349 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
Barcelona2315353948 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
7-1A
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
4
A.Bilbao2312831644 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
5
Villarreal2311751240 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
6
R.Vallecano23986335 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
7
R.Sociedad239410031 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
May 11
d
 
1-1F
8
Girona249411-331 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
w
 
3-0F
May 25
9
Osasuna237106-431 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 2
w
 
1-0F
May 14
10
Mallorca239410-931 
Mar 30
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Getafe24798230 
May 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
12
Real Betis23788-429 
w
 
4-2F
May 25
May 18
l
 
1-0A
13
Celta238411-328 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1F
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
14
Sevilla23779-928 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-3F
Apr 6
15
Leganes245910-1324 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
16
Las Palmas236512-1023 
l
 
2-3F
May 4
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
17
Espanyol236512-1323 
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
18
Alaves245712-1022 
d
 
2-2A
May 14
w
 
2-1A
May 4
19
Valencia Home235711-1322 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
20
Valladolid234316-3315 
Mar 9
l
 
1-0A
Apr 13
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Valencia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Valencia2 - 0Leganes
Valencia2 - 1Celta
Valencia1 - 0R.Sociedad
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
Valencia2 - 2Alaves
Valencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
Valencia4 - 2Real Betis
Valencia2 - 3Las Palmas
Valencia0 - 0Osasuna
Valencia2 - 0Girona
Valencia1 - 1Villarreal
Valencia1 - 2Barcelona
Valencia1 - 3Girona
Valencia0 - 0R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 1Alaves
Valencia1 - 2Real Betis
Valencia0 - 0Mallorca
Valencia1 - 0Getafe
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
Valencia0 - 0Sevilla
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HValencia2 - 0Leganes
HValencia2 - 1Celta
AValencia1 - 7Barcelona
HValencia1 - 0R.Sociedad
AValencia1 - 1Sevilla
HValencia1 - 2Real Madrid
HValencia2 - 2Alaves
AValencia1 - 1Espanyol
AValencia0 - 1Valladolid
HValencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
AValencia1 - 2Mallorca
HValencia4 - 2Real Betis
AValencia1 - 1Getafe
HValencia2 - 3Las Palmas
AValencia0 - 0Leganes
AValencia0 - 3R.Sociedad
HValencia0 - 0Osasuna
HValencia2 - 0Girona
AValencia0 - 3A.Madrid
HValencia1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Leganes1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 2A.Madrid
Valladolid0 - 5A.Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis1 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Celta0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 3A.Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 0A.Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
Cadiz2 - 0A.Madrid
Almeria2 - 2A.Madrid
Sevilla1 - 0A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
AA.Madrid0 - 1Real Betis
HA.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Sociedad
HA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Madrid1 - 0Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
AA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Valencia since 2014
Valencia
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
VAL
2
D
4
ATM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valencia
Valencia3 - 0
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1A.Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2A.Madrid
1 - 3A.Madrid
Valencia3 - 1
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Valencia
Goals: Scored
25
8
Games: Scored
11 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
0 / 11
D
2
ATM
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid3 - 2
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Diego Simeone's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive La Liga games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Valencia CF makes sense in this context.

Valencia 18th A.Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Valencia will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Valencia have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278395/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Valencia
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1
1.3
Attack rating
VAL
ATM
24%
better
view stats
Games scored16
20
Failed to score7
3
Scored first13
13
Goals scored24
38
Avg. goals scored1
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
VAL
ATM
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
12
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded37
15
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
12
Conversion rate against20%
8%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+36%

Valencia v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22748
C MosqueraH DuroD LópezPepelu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D López FWD2334
1
-
C Mosquera DEF221
5
-
J Guerra MID2212
1
-
L Rioja FWD2252
2
-
D Foulquier DEF21
4
-
C Tárrega DEF202
3
-
Pepelu MID2011
7
1
A Almeida MID201
1
-
H Duro FWD2072
3
-
G Mamardashvili GLK19
1
-
E Barrenechea MID1711
4
-
Y. Gasiorowski Hernandis DEF14
1
-
S Canós FWD14
3
-
J Vázquez DEF13
3
-
T Correia DEF11
1
-
F Pérez MID11
-
H Guillamón MID11
2
-
J Gayà DEF101
1
-
R Mir FWD61
1
-
S Dimitrievski GLK4
1
-
M. Tejón Fauli FWD4
-
M Diakhaby DEF31
-
U Sadiq  FWD3
1
-
M Aarons DEF1
-
I Jaime MID1
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22846
J OblakA GriezmannA GriezmannC Lenglet
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Álvarez FWD2372
4
-
A Griezmann FWD2384
2
-
J Oblak GLK22
-
Koke MID2211
4
-
R Paul MID2133
5
-
Ángel Correa FWD2121
3
-
A Sörloth FWD2082
1
-
S Lino FWD1932
3
-
P Barrios MID182
3
-
M Llorente MID1822
1
1
G Simeone FWD1813
3
-
N Molina DEF173
-
J Giménez DEF17
3
-
C Gallagher MID172
2
-
R Mandava DEF16
3
-
C Lenglet DEF1311
6
-
R Normand DEF13
5
-
J Galán DEF132
6
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
R Riquelme MID112
-
C Azpilicueta DEF7
-
J Musso GLK1
-
T Lemar MID1
-