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Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 15:15 BST, Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sevilla are in La Liga action on Sunday afternoon, as Francisco Javier García Pimienta looks to get one over on Ernesto Valverde Tejedor and his Athletic Bilbao side at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to La Liga match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Sevilla and A.Bilbao go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of A.Bilbao coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sevilla
33%
3.00
14%
3.00
14%
Draw
29%
3.20
3%
3.20
A.Bilbao
38%
2.45
17%
2.45
14%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
A.Bilbao 1-0
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
8%
Sevilla 1-0
11%
7.50
12%
7.00
13%
Draw 0-0
10%
8.007.00
8%
A.Bilbao 2-1
8%
10.00
5%
9.00
6%
A.Bilbao 2-0
7%
11.00
22%
10.00
18%
Sevilla 2-1
7%
11.00
15%
10.00
9%
Sevilla 2-0
6%
13.00
24%
12.00
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
17.0013.00
13%
A.Bilbao 3-1
3%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
A.Bilbao 3-0
3%
23.00
21%
19.00
27%
Sevilla 3-1
3%
26.00
24%
21.00
9%
Sevilla 3-0
2%
29.00
29%
23.00
21%
A.Bilbao 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Sevilla 3-2
2%
41.0026.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.302.25
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.621.60
2%
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.25
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.83
10%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
8.00-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.95
3%
1.95
3%
BTTS - No
54%
1.80
3%
1.75
1%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6.50
19%
6.00
14%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.50
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
9%
Home/draw
62%
1.53
10%
1.53
8%
Away/draw
67%
1.36
5%
1.40
9%
Home/away
72%
1.36
2%
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.44
3%
1.40
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2.75
8%
2.70
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4.334.00
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.221.20
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9.008.00
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.071.06
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.081.08
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8.007.00
Home DNB
53%
2.00
20%
2.05
15%
Away DNB
58%
1.73
15%
1.70
13%
Sevilla win to nil
20%
4.50
18%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
23%
3.75
10%
-
Sevilla / Sevilla
17%
5.00
17%
4.60
16%
Sevilla / A.Bilbao
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Sevilla / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Sevilla
13%
6.50
13%
6.00
14%
Draw / A.Bilbao
15%
5.50
10%
5.50
15%
Draw / Draw
18%
4.504.20
A.Bilbao / Sevilla
3%
34.0026.00
10%
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
20%
4.00
14%
3.90
15%
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Sevilla have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Sevilla have conceded 22 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 1 match and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sevilla have played 13 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

A.Bilbao lay in 4th place on 49 points in the La Liga league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 10 and losing 1 game. They have scored 42 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Bilbao have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

A.Bilbao have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sevilla
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2618354657 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-1A
May 25
l
 
2-1A
2
Real Madrid2717643157 
May 18
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
3
A.Madrid2716832656 
Apr 6
l
 
4-3A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Bilbao Away27131042149 
Mar 16
d
 
1-1A
-
-
5
Villarreal2612861244 
l
 
1-2A
May 25
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
6
Real Betis271188241 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
7
Mallorca2710710-737 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
R.Vallecano27999036 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
w
 
1-2A
9
Celta2710611-136 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
10
Sevilla Home27999-436 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
11
R.Sociedad2710413-534 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 4
12
Getafe278910133 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
May 14
13
Girona279612-533 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Osasuna267127-533 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 23
Mar 28
w
 
1-2A
15
Espanyol267712-1228 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
16
Valencia276912-1527 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 13
w
 
1-0F
May 18
17
Leganes276912-1627 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
18
Alaves276813-1026 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
May 11
d
 
1-1F
19
Las Palmas276615-1524 
May 14
d
 
2-2F
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
20
Valladolid274419-4416 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
7-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Sevilla 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sevilla since 2015
Sevilla
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
8 / 10
4 / 10
Clean sheets
6 / 10
2 / 10
SEV
6
D
2
ATH
2
League games at A.Bilbao since 2014
A.Bilbao
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
16
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
SEV
3
D
1
ATH
7
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's defensive record is very strong, E. Valverde Tejedor's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive La Liga outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Sevilla makes sense in this context.

Sevilla 10th A.Bilbao 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
9%
4+
There is a 67% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Sevilla have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278424/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sevilla
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
SEV
ATH
19%
better
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score5
4
Scored first10
14
Goals scored32
45
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
SEV
ATH
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first15
11
Goals conceded36
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+9%

Sevilla v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261168
D LukébakioD LukébakioS ÑíguezI. Romero Bernal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Lukébakio FWD27111
2
-
J Carmona DEF25
6
-
L Agoumé MID25
3
1
I. Romero Bernal FWD2333
8
-
L Badé DEF2211
5
-
J Sánchez DEF2243
3
1
D Sow MID2211
4
-
N Gudelj MID221
4
-
A Pedrosa DEF2111
6
-
K Salas DEF2112
3
-
Örjan Nyland GLK20
1
-
P Fernández  FWD181
1
-
C Ejuke FWD1721
-
A Lokonga MID162
4
-
S Ñíguez MID1516
5
1
M Marcão DEF11
5
1
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID1011
-
Suso MID9
1
-
Álvaro Fernández GLK8
2
-
R Vargas MID811
-
T Nianzou DEF6
2
1
M Bueno MID61
-
?. García Pascual FWD2
2
-
R. Martinez Gil DEF1
-
D. Benavides Fuentes DEF1
1
-
A Adams FWD1
-
L Antonetti FWD1
-
I. Dominguez Velasco FWD1
-
M. Mejia FWD1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241386
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Berenguer FWD2656
3
-
G Guruzeta FWD2662
2
-
I Williams FWD2658
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID2421
4
1
D Vivian DEF233
2
-
N Williams FWD2345
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF222
3
-
U Gómez MID2212
1
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF214
-
B Prados MID211
6
-
O Sancet MID21131
2
-
M Vesga MID19
1
-
I Galarreta MID182
4
-
A Paredes DEF163
3
1
Y Álvarez DEF16
4
-
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
A Gorosabel DEF132
3
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD131
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF12
1
-
U Simón GLK10
-
I Lekue DEF10
1
-
U Núñez DEF5
1
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID5
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD51
-
E. Bujan de Rueda FWD1
-