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Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 20:00 BST, Anoeta, San Sebastián (Guipúzcoa)

Sunday night sees Imanol Alguacil’s Real Sociedad and Ernesto Valverde Tejedor’s Athletic Bilbao go up against one another in a La Liga battle at the Anoeta. We've analysed both teams' last 20 La Liga matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Sociedad
34%
--
Draw
30%
--
A.Bilbao
35%
--
Draw 1-1
14%
--
A.Bilbao 1-0
13%
--
R.Sociedad 1-0
13%
--
Draw 0-0
13%
--
A.Bilbao 2-1
7%
--
R.Sociedad 2-1
7%
--
A.Bilbao 2-0
7%
--
R.Sociedad 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
--
A.Bilbao 3-0
2%
--
R.Sociedad 3-1
2%
--
R.Sociedad 3-0
2%
--
A.Bilbao 3-2
1%
--
R.Sociedad 3-2
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
66%
--
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
41%
--
BTTS - No
59%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
70%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
39%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
--
Home DNB
56%
--
Away DNB
57%
--
R.Sociedad win to nil
23%
--
A.Bilbao win to nil
23%
--
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Sociedad have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 3. R.Sociedad have conceded 18 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Sociedad have played 16 games at home, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

A.Bilbao lay in 4th place on 57 points in the La Liga league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 12 and losing 1 game. They have scored 46 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Bilbao have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

A.Bilbao have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3223455673 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
May 25
l
 
2-1A
2
Real Madrid3120653366 
l
 
0-2A
May 25
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
3
A.Madrid3218952663 
d
 
1-1A
May 11
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
A.Bilbao Away31151242457 
May 4
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
Villarreal31141071352 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Real Betis311399348 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
7
Mallorca3212812-644 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Celta3212713-243 
May 14
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
9
R.Sociedad Home3212614-442 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 4
10
R.Vallecano32101111-441 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2A
11
Osasuna329149-741 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
12
Getafe3210913239 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
May 14
13
Espanyol3110813-638 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
14
Valencia3291112-1238 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 18
15
Sevilla3291013-837 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Girona319715-1034 
May 18
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
17
Las Palmas328816-1432 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
Apr 23
w
 
2-3F
18
Alaves3271015-1231 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 23
May 11
d
 
1-1F
19
Leganes3261115-1929 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
20
Valladolid324424-5316 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
7-1F
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
R.Sociedad 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
R.Sociedad2 - 1Valladolid
R.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
R.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
R.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
R.Sociedad0 - 3Getafe
R.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
R.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
R.Sociedad2 - 0Real Betis
R.Sociedad1 - 0Barcelona
R.Sociedad0 - 2Osasuna
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
R.Sociedad3 - 0Valencia
R.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Alaves
R.Sociedad1 - 2R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad0 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 0Valencia
R.Sociedad2 - 0Las Palmas
R.Sociedad0 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Sociedad0 - 2Mallorca
AR.Sociedad3 - 1Las Palmas
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Valladolid
AR.Sociedad2 - 2R.Vallecano
HR.Sociedad0 - 1Sevilla
AR.Sociedad0 - 4Barcelona
HR.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
AR.Sociedad0 - 3Real Betis
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Espanyol
AR.Sociedad1 - 2Osasuna
HR.Sociedad0 - 3Getafe
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Valencia
HR.Sociedad1 - 0Villarreal
AR.Sociedad0 - 2Celta
HR.Sociedad0 - 0Las Palmas
AR.Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
HR.Sociedad2 - 0Real Betis
AR.Sociedad0 - 1A.Bilbao
HR.Sociedad1 - 0Barcelona
AR.Sociedad2 - 0Sevilla
A.Bilbao 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal0 - 0A.Bilbao
Sevilla0 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
Espanyol1 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Betis2 - 2A.Bilbao
Celta1 - 2A.Bilbao
Osasuna1 - 2A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
Valladolid1 - 1A.Bilbao
Mallorca0 - 0A.Bilbao
Girona2 - 1A.Bilbao
Leganes0 - 2A.Bilbao
Las Palmas2 - 3A.Bilbao
Barcelona2 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
Celta2 - 1A.Bilbao
Getafe0 - 2A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
9
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 0Sevilla
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
AA.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
HA.Bilbao7 - 1Valladolid
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Girona
AA.Bilbao2 - 2Real Betis
HA.Bilbao0 - 0Leganes
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Celta
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Osasuna
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Alaves
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Villarreal
HA.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
AA.Bilbao2 - 1R.Vallecano
HA.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Valladolid
HA.Bilbao1 - 1Real Betis
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
RSO
5
D
4
ATH
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Sociedad
R.Sociedad3 - 0
R.Sociedad3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Sociedad2 - 1
R.Sociedad2 - 1
R.Sociedad3 - 1
0 - 2A.Bilbao
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
8 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
3 / 11
RSO
3
D
2
ATH
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Bilbao
A.Bilbao1 - 0
A.Bilbao2 - 1
A.Bilbao2 - 0
A.Bilbao4 - 0
0 - 1R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao2 - 0
1 - 3R.Sociedad
Draw0 - 0Draw
A.Bilbao3 - 2
0 - 1R.Sociedad
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Athletic Bilbao's defensive record is very strong, E. Valverde Tejedor's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive La Liga matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Real Sociedad makes sense in this context.

R.Sociedad 10th A.Bilbao 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that R.Sociedad will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that A.Bilbao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
R.Sociedad have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278478/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
R.Sociedad
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1
1
Attack rating
%
better
RSO
ATH
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RSO
ATH
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

R.Sociedad v A.Bilbao La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29658
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalS GómezJ Aramburu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK29
-
S Gómez DEF2925
3
-
M Zubimendi MID2921
3
-
T Kubo FWD285
5
-
J Aramburu DEF2711
8
-
M Oyarzabal FWD2762
3
1
I Zubeldia DEF25
6
1
J López DEF24
4
-
A Barrenetxea FWD2413
5
-
L Sučić MID2111
3
-
B Méndez MID2132
3
-
O Óskarsson FWD213
-
N Aguerd DEF20
5
-
S Becker FWD2021
1
1
Olasagasti MID1811
2
-
B Turrientes  MID17
5
-
A Muñoz DEF16
4
-
A Elustondo DEF16
1
1
P Marín MID152
2
-
J Pacheco DEF12
3
-
H Traoré DEF71
1
-
J. Martín Vicente DEF71
2
-
A Zakharyan MID31
-
Álvaro Odriozola DEF2
1
-
U Marrero GLK1
-
A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271386
I WilliamsO SancetI WilliamsB Prados
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Berenguer FWD2957
4
-
G Guruzeta FWD2962
2
-
I Williams FWD2958
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID2721
4
1
N Williams FWD2645
1
-
Y Berchiche DEF252
3
-
U Gómez MID2512
1
-
D Vivian DEF243
2
-
B Prados MID241
6
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF224
-
O Sancet MID22131
2
-
M Vesga MID20
1
-
I Galarreta MID192
4
-
A Paredes DEF183
3
1
Y Álvarez DEF181
4
-
A Gorosabel DEF162
4
-
J Agirrezabala GLK14
1
1
U Simón GLK13
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF13
1
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD131
-
I Lekue DEF11
1
-
U Núñez DEF8
3
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD81
-
P. Canales Urtasun MID6
-
E. Bujan de Rueda FWD1
-