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Real Madrid v Valencia CF : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Apr, 15:15 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Valencia CF are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Carlos Corberan takes his side to visit Real Madrid and Carlo Ancelotti at the Santiago Bernabéu in the La Liga. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this La Liga match, a bet on win / draw / win for Real Madrid to win on home turf is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Valencia, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. There could be some bumps along the way, but Real Madrid claiming victory is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
64%
4/11
11%
-
Draw
20%
17/4
19%
-
Valencia
16%
6/1
36%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
10%
13/2
7%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2
11%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
23%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
17/2
19%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
17%
-
Valencia 2-1
5%
20/1
19%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
19%
-
Valencia 1-0
4%
20/1
19%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
4%
16/1
13%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
14/1
36%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
-
Valencia 2-0
2%
40/1
20%
-
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
8/15
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
6/4
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
11/4
17%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - No
44%
19/20
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/2
19%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11/1
29%
-
Home/draw
84%
1/10
5%
-
Away/draw
36%
2/1
25%
-
Home/away
80%
1/6
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/8
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/7
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
24%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
33%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
19%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/8
5%
-
Away DNB
30%
5/1
33%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
33%
11/8
13%
-
Valencia win to nil
7%
12/1
32%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
41%
1/1
16%
-
Real Madrid / Valencia
2%
40/1
20%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
21%
3/1-
Draw / Valencia
5%
16/1
19%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
21%
-
Valencia / Real Madrid
4%
18/1
12%
-
Valencia / Valencia
6%
12/1
38%
-
Valencia / Draw
4%
18/1
17%
-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Valencia are in 16th position in the La Liga on 28 points having played 28 matches so far this season. Valencia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 8 and won 4. Valencia have conceded 39 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Valencia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2719354860 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
l
 
1-2F
l
 
7-1A
2
Real Madrid H2818643260 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Apr 5
3
A.Madrid2816842456 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
4
A.Bilbao28141042252 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
May 18
l
 
1-0A
5
Villarreal2712871144 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
6
Real Betis281288344 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-2F
May 25
7
Mallorca2811710-640 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
Mar 30
l
 
2-1F
8
Celta2811611039 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1F
9
R.Vallecano289109037 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
10
Getafe289910236 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
May 11
d
 
1-1F
11
Sevilla289910-536 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
12
R.Sociedad2810513-535 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
13
Girona289712-534 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
14
Osasuna277128-633 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
15
Espanyol277713-1328 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
16
Valencia Away2861012-1528 
Apr 5
w
 
1-2A
-
-
17
Alaves286913-1027 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
d
 
2-2A
May 14
18
Leganes286913-1727 
Mar 29
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
19
Las Palmas286715-1525 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
May 4
20
Valladolid284420-4516 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
3
Valencia have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
17
Valencia have not won in 17 consecutive away league games
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 0Girona
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
Real Madrid2 - 0Getafe
Real Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
Real Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Real Madrid3 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
Real Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
Real Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
Real Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
Real Madrid3 - 2Barcelona
Real Madrid2 - 0A.Bilbao
Real Madrid4 - 0Celta
Real Madrid1 - 0Sevilla
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid2 - 1Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid1 - 2Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 1Osasuna
HReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
AReal Madrid0 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
HReal Madrid4 - 1Las Palmas
AReal Madrid2 - 1Valencia
HReal Madrid4 - 2Sevilla
AReal Madrid3 - 3R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid3 - 0Girona
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
Valencia 16TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Girona1 - 1Valencia
Osasuna3 - 3Valencia
Villarreal1 - 1Valencia
Barcelona7 - 1Valencia
Sevilla1 - 1Valencia
Espanyol1 - 1Valencia
Valladolid1 - 0Valencia
Mallorca2 - 1Valencia
Getafe1 - 1Valencia
Leganes0 - 0Valencia
R.Sociedad3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
Celta3 - 1Valencia
Celta2 - 2Valencia
R.Sociedad1 - 0Valencia
Barcelona4 - 2Valencia
Osasuna0 - 1Valencia
Granada0 - 1Valencia
Villarreal1 - 0Valencia
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AValencia1 - 1Girona
HValencia2 - 1Valladolid
AValencia3 - 3Osasuna
HValencia0 - 3A.Madrid
AValencia1 - 1Villarreal
HValencia2 - 0Leganes
HValencia2 - 1Celta
AValencia1 - 7Barcelona
HValencia1 - 0R.Sociedad
AValencia1 - 1Sevilla
HValencia1 - 2Real Madrid
HValencia2 - 2Alaves
AValencia1 - 1Espanyol
AValencia0 - 1Valladolid
HValencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
AValencia1 - 2Mallorca
HValencia4 - 2Real Betis
AValencia1 - 1Getafe
HValencia2 - 3Las Palmas
AValencia0 - 0Leganes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Real Madrid have beaten Valencia in 6 consecutive home league meetings
10
Real Madrid have not lost to Valencia in 10 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Valencia
Goals: Scored
27
9
Games: Scored
10 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
0 / 10
RMD
8
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid5 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Valencia since 2015
Valencia
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
19
17
Games: Scored
11 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
0 / 11
RMD
3
D
3
VAL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Valencia
1 - 2Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
Valencia1 - 0
1 - 2Real Madrid
Valencia4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Valencia2 - 1
1 - 4Real Madrid
Valencia2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Valencia2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Real Madrid 2nd Valencia 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.0
goals
0.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Valencia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Real Madrid have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-10
Valencia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278436/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Valencia
0
0
Attack rating
34%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games scored26
20
Failed to score2
8
Scored first18
16
Goals scored59
31
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
27%
better
RMD
VAL
view stats
Games conceded18
23
Clean sheets10
5
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded27
46
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
20%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+27%

Real Madrid v Valencia La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262069
K MbappéK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Modric MID2724
8
-
F Valverde MID2653
4
-
K Mbappé FWD26203
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF25
3
-
Rodrygo FWD2565
-
T Courtois GLK24
-
L Vázquez DEF2314
2
-
B Díaz MID2342
1
-
A Tchouameni MID23
3
-
F García DEF221
-
J Bellingham MID2276
2
1
V Junior FWD22105
7
2
A Güler MID1813
1
-
Endrick FWD161
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF151
-
D Ceballos MID15
4
-
F Mendy DEF141
1
1
E Camavinga MID142
1
-
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Alaba DEF5
1
-
A Lunin GLK41
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-
Valencia La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27749
C MosqueraH DuroD LópezPepelu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D López FWD2864
2
-
C Mosquera DEF271
5
-
J Guerra MID2713
2
-
L Rioja FWD2753
3
-
D Foulquier DEF261
4
-
C Tárrega DEF252
3
-
Pepelu MID2511
8
1
A Almeida MID251
1
-
G Mamardashvili GLK24
1
-
H Duro FWD2272
3
-
E Barrenechea MID2112
4
-
F Pérez MID16
1
-
S Canós FWD161
3
-
J Gayà DEF151
4
-
Y. Gasiorowski Hernandis DEF14
1
-
J Vázquez DEF13
3
-
T Correia DEF11
1
-
H Guillamón MID11
2
-
R Mir FWD101
1
-
U Sadiq  FWD84
2
-
M Diakhaby DEF51
-
I Jaime MID5
-
S Dimitrievski GLK4
1
-
M. Tejón Fauli FWD4
-
M Aarons DEF1
-